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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northern Illinois

Last updated: Tue May 24 06:53:50 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.470
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.487
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.35675


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Boston College neutral 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445 0.00163
Boston College neutral 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445 0.00163
Boston College neutral 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445 0.00163
Boston College neutral 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445 0.00163
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.485 0.357 0.00000
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.485 0.357 0.00000
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.485 0.357 0.00000
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.485 0.357 0.00000
Evansville Evansville 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382 0.00047
Evansville Evansville 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382 0.00047
Evansville Evansville 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382 0.00047
Belmont Belmont 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389 0.00060
Belmont Belmont 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389 0.00060
Belmont Belmont 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389 0.00060
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 41 15 0.732 0.567 0.508 0.00280
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 32 21 0.604 0.495 0.426 0.00128
Illinois neutral 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412 0.00102
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410 0.00099
Illinois neutral 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412 0.00102
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410 0.00099
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332 -0.00046
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332 -0.00046
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332 -0.00046
Iowa Iowa 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385 0.00052
Miami, Ohio Northern Illinois 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364 0.00013
Miami, Ohio Northern Illinois 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364 0.00013
Miami, Ohio Northern Illinois 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364 0.00013
Minnesota Minnesota 32 18 0.640 0.514 0.449 0.00171
Central Michigan Northern Illinois 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304 -0.00098
Central Michigan Northern Illinois 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304 -0.00098
Central Michigan Northern Illinois 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304 -0.00098
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 23 28 0.451 0.479 0.345 -0.00022
Western Michigan Western Michigan 18 31 0.367 0.460 0.298 -0.00109
Western Michigan Western Michigan 18 31 0.367 0.460 0.298 -0.00109
Western Michigan Western Michigan 18 31 0.367 0.460 0.298 -0.00109
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Northern Illinois 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388 0.00058
Buffalo Northern Illinois 21 31 0.404 0.452 0.315 -0.00077
Buffalo Northern Illinois 21 31 0.404 0.452 0.315 -0.00077
Buffalo Northern Illinois 21 31 0.404 0.452 0.315 -0.00077
Illinois-Chicago Northern Illinois 23 28 0.451 0.479 0.345 -0.00022
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00162
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00162
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00162
Valparaiso Northern Illinois 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372 0.00028
Toledo Northern Illinois 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00118
Toledo Northern Illinois 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00118
Toledo Northern Illinois 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00118
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310 -0.00087
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310 -0.00087
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310 -0.00087
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388 0.00058
Ball State Northern Illinois 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396 0.00073
Ball State Northern Illinois 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396 0.00073
Ball State Northern Illinois 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396 0.00073

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 96.10 23 19 0.548 0.480 0.394
Chicago State 62.24 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222
Illinois 130.22 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412
Illinois State 98.78 17 35 0.327 0.512 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 58.36 23 28 0.451 0.479 0.345
Iowa 144.18 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385
Northwestern 56.57 15 38 0.283 0.492 0.264
Notre Dame 132.42 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386
Purdue 140.87 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225
Valparaiso 95.92 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372
Western Illinois 141.53 13 35 0.271 0.492 0.259
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 91.52 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 211.36 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396
Bowling Green State 268.60 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269
Butler 198.64 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240
Central Michigan 232.43 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304
Cincinnati 296.20 26 28 0.481 0.542 0.376
Dayton 283.42 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295
Eastern Illinois 172.63 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
Eastern Michigan 263.96 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310
Evansville 281.42 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382
IPFW 198.34 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365
Indiana 224.54 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417
Indiana State 184.16 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449
Miami, Ohio 269.98 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364
Michigan 259.22 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454
Michigan State 225.95 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448
Missouri 279.18 26 29 0.473 0.547 0.373
Oakland 289.03 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345
Southern Illinois 293.26 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 226.32 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
St. Louis 240.51 24 29 0.453 0.457 0.341
Toledo 267.85 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293
Western Michigan 164.60 18 31 0.367 0.460 0.298
Wright State 288.44 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483
Xavier 296.71 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation