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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northern Illinois

Last updated: Thu May 5 06:58:17 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.469
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.487
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.35625


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Boston College neutral 24 17 0.585 0.543 0.428 0.00163
Boston College neutral 24 17 0.585 0.543 0.428 0.00163
Boston College neutral 24 17 0.585 0.543 0.428 0.00163
Boston College neutral 24 17 0.585 0.543 0.428 0.00163
Murray State Murray State 20 23 0.465 0.485 0.354 -0.00005
Murray State Murray State 20 23 0.465 0.485 0.354 -0.00005
Murray State Murray State 20 23 0.465 0.485 0.354 -0.00005
Murray State Murray State 20 23 0.465 0.485 0.354 -0.00005
Evansville Evansville 24 17 0.585 0.494 0.416 0.00136
Evansville Evansville 24 17 0.585 0.494 0.416 0.00136
Evansville Evansville 24 17 0.585 0.494 0.416 0.00136
Belmont Belmont 25 19 0.568 0.427 0.391 0.00079
Belmont Belmont 25 19 0.568 0.427 0.391 0.00079
Belmont Belmont 25 19 0.568 0.427 0.391 0.00079
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 35 10 0.778 0.537 0.523 0.00379
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 26 16 0.619 0.530 0.442 0.00195
Illinois neutral 22 19 0.537 0.530 0.401 0.00102
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 25 18 0.581 0.492 0.413 0.00129
Illinois neutral 22 19 0.537 0.530 0.401 0.00102
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 25 18 0.581 0.492 0.413 0.00129
Ohio Ohio 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346 -0.00023
Ohio Ohio 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346 -0.00023
Ohio Ohio 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346 -0.00023
Iowa Iowa 18 21 0.462 0.564 0.372 0.00036
Miami, Ohio Northern Illinois 21 22 0.488 0.493 0.367 0.00024
Miami, Ohio Northern Illinois 21 22 0.488 0.493 0.367 0.00024
Miami, Ohio Northern Illinois 21 22 0.488 0.493 0.367 0.00024
Minnesota Minnesota 26 13 0.667 0.536 0.468 0.00254
Central Michigan Northern Illinois 11 32 0.256 0.498 0.253 -0.00235
Central Michigan Northern Illinois 11 32 0.256 0.498 0.253 -0.00235
Central Michigan Northern Illinois 11 32 0.256 0.498 0.253 -0.00235
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 18 23 0.439 0.467 0.336 -0.00046
Western Michigan Western Michigan 13 26 0.333 0.463 0.282 -0.00169
Western Michigan Western Michigan 13 26 0.333 0.463 0.282 -0.00169
Western Michigan Western Michigan 13 26 0.333 0.463 0.282 -0.00169
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Northern Illinois 19 20 0.487 0.464 0.359 0.00006
Buffalo Northern Illinois 14 26 0.350 0.462 0.290 -0.00151
Buffalo Northern Illinois 14 26 0.350 0.462 0.290 -0.00151
Buffalo Northern Illinois 14 26 0.350 0.462 0.290 -0.00151
Illinois-Chicago Northern Illinois 18 23 0.439 0.467 0.336 -0.00046
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284 -0.00164
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284 -0.00164
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284 -0.00164
Valparaiso Northern Illinois 19 21 0.475 0.517 0.367 0.00024

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 96.10 17 16 0.515 0.475 0.376
Chicago State 62.24 10 34 0.227 0.437 0.223
Illinois 130.22 22 19 0.537 0.530 0.401
Illinois State 98.78 14 28 0.333 0.499 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 58.36 18 23 0.439 0.467 0.336
Iowa 144.18 18 21 0.462 0.564 0.372
Northwestern 56.57 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243
Notre Dame 132.42 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424
Purdue 140.87 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221
Valparaiso 95.92 19 21 0.475 0.517 0.367
Western Illinois 141.53 12 26 0.316 0.480 0.278
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 91.52 19 20 0.487 0.464 0.359

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 211.36 27 18 0.600 0.439 0.410
Bowling Green State 268.60 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284
Butler 198.64 10 31 0.244 0.464 0.238
Central Michigan 232.43 11 32 0.256 0.498 0.253
Cincinnati 296.20 21 23 0.477 0.551 0.376
Dayton 283.42 16 29 0.356 0.481 0.298
Eastern Illinois 172.63 5 36 0.122 0.518 0.191
Eastern Michigan 263.96 17 24 0.415 0.501 0.333
Evansville 281.42 24 17 0.585 0.494 0.416
IPFW 198.34 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317
Indiana 224.54 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424
Indiana State 184.16 27 16 0.628 0.514 0.443
Miami, Ohio 269.98 21 22 0.488 0.493 0.367
Michigan 259.22 30 12 0.714 0.521 0.487
Michigan State 225.95 30 11 0.732 0.488 0.488
Missouri 279.18 24 22 0.522 0.558 0.401
Oakland 289.03 17 17 0.500 0.465 0.366
Southern Illinois 293.26 25 18 0.581 0.492 0.413
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 226.32 9 30 0.231 0.526 0.247
St. Louis 240.51 19 25 0.432 0.439 0.326
Toledo 267.85 10 34 0.227 0.494 0.237
Western Michigan 164.60 13 26 0.333 0.463 0.282
Wright State 288.44 30 13 0.698 0.459 0.464
Xavier 296.71 19 26 0.422 0.511 0.339

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation