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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northern Illinois

Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:12 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.463
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.487
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.35325


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Boston College neutral 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00162
Boston College neutral 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00162
Boston College neutral 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00162
Boston College neutral 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00162
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356 0.00005
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356 0.00005
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356 0.00005
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356 0.00005
Evansville Evansville 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380 0.00048
Evansville Evansville 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380 0.00048
Evansville Evansville 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380 0.00048
Belmont Belmont 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388 0.00062
Belmont Belmont 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388 0.00062
Belmont Belmont 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388 0.00062
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00241
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422 0.00123
Illinois neutral 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410 0.00101
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00091
Illinois neutral 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410 0.00101
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00091
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331 -0.00040
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331 -0.00040
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331 -0.00040
Iowa Iowa 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395 0.00075
Miami, Ohio Northern Illinois 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 0.00007
Miami, Ohio Northern Illinois 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 0.00007
Miami, Ohio Northern Illinois 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 0.00007
Minnesota Minnesota 34 22 0.607 0.522 0.434 0.00144
Central Michigan Northern Illinois 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00072
Central Michigan Northern Illinois 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00072
Central Michigan Northern Illinois 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00072
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00022
Western Michigan Western Michigan 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00068
Western Michigan Western Michigan 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00068
Western Michigan Western Michigan 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00068
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Northern Illinois 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00051
Buffalo Northern Illinois 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314 -0.00070
Buffalo Northern Illinois 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314 -0.00070
Buffalo Northern Illinois 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314 -0.00070
Illinois-Chicago Northern Illinois 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00022
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00150
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00150
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00150
Valparaiso Northern Illinois 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00042
Toledo Northern Illinois 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00109
Toledo Northern Illinois 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00109
Toledo Northern Illinois 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00109
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00058
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00058
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00058
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00051
Ball State Northern Illinois 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 0.00058
Ball State Northern Illinois 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 0.00058
Ball State Northern Illinois 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 0.00058
Toledo neutral 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00109
Eastern Michigan neutral 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00058

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 96.10 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393
Chicago State 62.24 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
Illinois 130.22 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Illinois State 98.78 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 58.36 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341
Iowa 144.18 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395
Northwestern 56.57 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262
Notre Dame 132.42 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Purdue 140.87 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Valparaiso 95.92 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
Western Illinois 141.53 13 35 0.271 0.486 0.257
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 91.52 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 211.36 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Bowling Green State 268.60 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Butler 198.64 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Central Michigan 232.43 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313
Cincinnati 296.20 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Dayton 283.42 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Eastern Illinois 172.63 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Eastern Michigan 263.96 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
Evansville 281.42 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
IPFW 198.34 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Indiana 224.54 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Indiana State 184.16 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
Miami, Ohio 269.98 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Michigan 259.22 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Michigan State 225.95 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Missouri 279.18 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366
Oakland 289.03 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339
Southern Illinois 293.26 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 226.32 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215
St. Louis 240.51 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331
Toledo 267.85 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
Western Michigan 164.60 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315
Wright State 288.44 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 296.71 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation