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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northern Kentucky
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:12 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.464 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.478 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.3515 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Troy | Troy | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.522 | 0.407 | 0.00103 |
Troy | Troy | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.522 | 0.407 | 0.00103 |
Troy | Troy | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.522 | 0.407 | 0.00103 |
Troy | Troy | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.522 | 0.407 | 0.00103 |
East Tennessee State | East Tennessee State | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 | -0.00014 |
East Tennessee State | East Tennessee State | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 | -0.00014 |
East Tennessee State | East Tennessee State | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 | -0.00014 |
Western Illinois | neutral | 13 | 35 | 0.271 | 0.486 | 0.257 | -0.00175 |
Western Illinois | neutral | 13 | 35 | 0.271 | 0.486 | 0.257 | -0.00175 |
Western Illinois | neutral | 13 | 35 | 0.271 | 0.486 | 0.257 | -0.00175 |
Western Illinois | neutral | 13 | 35 | 0.271 | 0.486 | 0.257 | -0.00175 |
Alabama State | Alabama State | 38 | 17 | 0.691 | 0.409 | 0.448 | 0.00179 |
Alabama State | Alabama State | 38 | 17 | 0.691 | 0.409 | 0.448 | 0.00179 |
Alabama State | Alabama State | 38 | 17 | 0.691 | 0.409 | 0.448 | 0.00179 |
Alabama State | Alabama State | 38 | 17 | 0.691 | 0.409 | 0.448 | 0.00179 |
Ohio | Ohio | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.439 | 0.331 | -0.00038 |
Valparaiso | Northern Kentucky | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.489 | 0.377 | 0.00047 |
Valparaiso | Northern Kentucky | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.489 | 0.377 | 0.00047 |
Valparaiso | Northern Kentucky | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.489 | 0.377 | 0.00047 |
Northwestern | Northern Kentucky | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 | -0.00166 |
Oakland | Northern Kentucky | 21 | 27 | 0.438 | 0.481 | 0.339 | -0.00023 |
Oakland | Northern Kentucky | 21 | 27 | 0.438 | 0.481 | 0.339 | -0.00023 |
Oakland | Northern Kentucky | 21 | 27 | 0.438 | 0.481 | 0.339 | -0.00023 |
Kentucky | Kentucky | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.542 | 0.416 | 0.00119 |
Butler | Northern Kentucky | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 | -0.00208 |
Wright State | Wright State | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00245 |
Wright State | Wright State | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00245 |
Wright State | Wright State | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00245 |
Miami, Ohio | Northern Kentucky | 27 | 29 | 0.482 | 0.466 | 0.357 | 0.00010 |
Illinois-Chicago | Northern Kentucky | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 | -0.00019 |
Illinois-Chicago | Northern Kentucky | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 | -0.00019 |
Illinois-Chicago | Northern Kentucky | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 | -0.00019 |
Youngstown State | Youngstown State | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.498 | 0.259 | -0.00171 |
Youngstown State | Youngstown State | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.498 | 0.259 | -0.00171 |
Youngstown State | Youngstown State | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.498 | 0.259 | -0.00171 |
Xavier | Northern Kentucky | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 | 0.00077 |
Dayton | Northern Kentucky | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 | -0.00108 |
Oakland | Oakland | 21 | 27 | 0.438 | 0.481 | 0.339 | -0.00023 |
Oakland | Oakland | 21 | 27 | 0.438 | 0.481 | 0.339 | -0.00023 |
Wright State | Northern Kentucky | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00245 |
Wright State | Northern Kentucky | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00245 |
Ball State | Ball State | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 | 0.00064 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 | 0.00056 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 | 0.00056 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 | 0.00056 |
Illinois-Chicago | Illinois-Chicago | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 | -0.00019 |
Illinois-Chicago | Illinois-Chicago | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 | -0.00019 |
Valparaiso | Valparaiso | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.489 | 0.377 | 0.00047 |
Valparaiso | Valparaiso | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.489 | 0.377 | 0.00047 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | Northern Kentucky | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 | 0.00056 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | Northern Kentucky | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 | 0.00056 |
Youngstown State | Northern Kentucky | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.498 | 0.259 | -0.00171 |
Youngstown State | Northern Kentucky | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.498 | 0.259 | -0.00171 |
Valparaiso | neutral | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.489 | 0.377 | 0.00047 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Ball State | 96.67 | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 |
Butler | 106.97 | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 |
Cincinnati | 7.48 | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.538 | 0.367 |
Dayton | 50.78 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 |
Eastern Kentucky | 89.72 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.471 | 0.336 |
IPFW | 148.33 | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.413 | 0.367 |
Indiana | 110.54 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 |
Kentucky | 69.15 | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.542 | 0.416 |
Louisville | 90.19 | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 |
Miami, Ohio | 36.44 | 27 | 29 | 0.482 | 0.466 | 0.357 |
Morehead State | 80.47 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 |
Ohio | 127.85 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.439 | 0.331 |
Ohio State | 102.39 | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 |
Wright State | 56.87 | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 |
Xavier | 8.47 | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Akron | 210.65 | 0.000 | ||||
Appalachian State | 246.72 | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 |
Austin Peay State | 233.50 | 34 | 23 | 0.596 | 0.497 | 0.422 |
Belmont | 236.27 | 33 | 27 | 0.550 | 0.451 | 0.388 |
Bowling Green State | 168.43 | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.473 | 0.269 |
Bradley | 295.33 | 25 | 21 | 0.543 | 0.486 | 0.393 |
Chicago State | 248.65 | 12 | 41 | 0.226 | 0.431 | 0.221 |
East Tennessee State | 220.14 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 |
Eastern Illinois | 201.21 | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 |
Eastern Michigan | 227.20 | 23 | 36 | 0.390 | 0.502 | 0.321 |
Evansville | 181.11 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.502 | 0.380 |
Illinois | 213.66 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 |
Illinois State | 261.77 | 17 | 37 | 0.315 | 0.510 | 0.285 |
Illinois-Chicago | 257.75 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 |
Indiana State | 160.91 | 35 | 21 | 0.625 | 0.509 | 0.440 |
Kent State | 220.13 | 43 | 14 | 0.754 | 0.444 | 0.488 |
Lipscomb | 239.14 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.458 | 0.382 |
Marshall | 160.20 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.521 | 0.439 |
Michigan | 227.02 | 36 | 21 | 0.632 | 0.522 | 0.447 |
Michigan State | 255.91 | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 |
Middle Tennessee State | 243.01 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.539 | 0.317 |
Murray State | 267.93 | 25 | 28 | 0.472 | 0.479 | 0.356 |
North Carolina-Asheville | 257.61 | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 |
Northwestern | 269.81 | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 |
Notre Dame | 206.39 | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.538 | 0.385 |
Oakland | 260.25 | 21 | 27 | 0.438 | 0.481 | 0.339 |
Pittsburgh | 258.27 | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 |
Purdue | 163.69 | 10 | 44 | 0.185 | 0.518 | 0.222 |
Radford | 250.27 | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 |
Southeast Missouri State | 299.82 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.506 | 0.449 |
Southern Illinois | 273.35 | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 |
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville | 298.93 | 9 | 40 | 0.184 | 0.493 | 0.215 |
Tennessee | 214.74 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 |
Tennessee Tech | 205.14 | 31 | 24 | 0.564 | 0.439 | 0.392 |
Toledo | 186.27 | 19 | 38 | 0.333 | 0.502 | 0.292 |
VMI | 285.09 | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 |
Valparaiso | 215.80 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.489 | 0.377 |
Vanderbilt | 237.01 | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.566 | 0.488 |
Virginia Tech | 252.72 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 |
West Virginia | 243.21 | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 |
Western Carolina | 267.03 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.531 | 0.383 |
Western Kentucky | 178.22 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.530 | 0.355 |
Western Michigan | 232.77 | 22 | 34 | 0.393 | 0.472 | 0.315 |
Youngstown State | 247.60 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.498 | 0.259 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |