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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northern Kentucky

Last updated: Mon Jun 27 06:47:30 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.464
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.478
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3515


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00103
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00103
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00103
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00103
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00014
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00014
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00014
Western Illinois neutral 13 35 0.271 0.486 0.257 -0.00175
Western Illinois neutral 13 35 0.271 0.486 0.257 -0.00175
Western Illinois neutral 13 35 0.271 0.486 0.257 -0.00175
Western Illinois neutral 13 35 0.271 0.486 0.257 -0.00175
Alabama State Alabama State 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448 0.00179
Alabama State Alabama State 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448 0.00179
Alabama State Alabama State 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448 0.00179
Alabama State Alabama State 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448 0.00179
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331 -0.00038
Valparaiso Northern Kentucky 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00047
Valparaiso Northern Kentucky 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00047
Valparaiso Northern Kentucky 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00047
Northwestern Northern Kentucky 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262 -0.00166
Oakland Northern Kentucky 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00023
Oakland Northern Kentucky 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00023
Oakland Northern Kentucky 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00023
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00119
Butler Northern Kentucky 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00208
Wright State Wright State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00245
Wright State Wright State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00245
Wright State Wright State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00245
Miami, Ohio Northern Kentucky 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 0.00010
Illinois-Chicago Northern Kentucky 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00019
Illinois-Chicago Northern Kentucky 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00019
Illinois-Chicago Northern Kentucky 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00019
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00171
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00171
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00171
Xavier Northern Kentucky 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00077
Dayton Northern Kentucky 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00108
Oakland Oakland 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00023
Oakland Oakland 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00023
Wright State Northern Kentucky 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00245
Wright State Northern Kentucky 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00245
Ball State Ball State 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 0.00064
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00056
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00056
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00056
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00019
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00019
Valparaiso Valparaiso 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00047
Valparaiso Valparaiso 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00047
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Northern Kentucky 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00056
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Northern Kentucky 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00056
Youngstown State Northern Kentucky 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00171
Youngstown State Northern Kentucky 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00171
Valparaiso neutral 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00047

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 96.67 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Butler 106.97 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Cincinnati 7.48 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Dayton 50.78 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Eastern Kentucky 89.72 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
IPFW 148.33 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Indiana 110.54 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Kentucky 69.15 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Louisville 90.19 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 36.44 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Morehead State 80.47 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Ohio 127.85 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 102.39 44 20 0.688 0.511 0.472
Wright State 56.87 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 8.47 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 210.65 0.000
Appalachian State 246.72 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Austin Peay State 233.50 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Belmont 236.27 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Bowling Green State 168.43 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Bradley 295.33 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393
Chicago State 248.65 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
East Tennessee State 220.14 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Eastern Illinois 201.21 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Eastern Michigan 227.20 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
Evansville 181.11 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
Illinois 213.66 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Illinois State 261.77 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 257.75 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341
Indiana State 160.91 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
Kent State 220.13 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
Lipscomb 239.14 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Marshall 160.20 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Michigan 227.02 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Michigan State 255.91 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Middle Tennessee State 243.01 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
Murray State 267.93 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
North Carolina-Asheville 257.61 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
Northwestern 269.81 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262
Notre Dame 206.39 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Oakland 260.25 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339
Pittsburgh 258.27 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Purdue 163.69 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Radford 250.27 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Southeast Missouri State 299.82 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449
Southern Illinois 273.35 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 298.93 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215
Tennessee 214.74 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Tennessee Tech 205.14 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
Toledo 186.27 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
VMI 285.09 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Valparaiso 215.80 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
Vanderbilt 237.01 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Virginia Tech 252.72 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
West Virginia 243.21 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Western Carolina 267.03 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
Western Kentucky 178.22 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355
Western Michigan 232.77 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315
Youngstown State 247.60 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation