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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northern Kentucky

Last updated: Fri Apr 29 07:02:20 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.459
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.476
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3485


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Troy Troy 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415 0.00158
Troy Troy 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415 0.00158
Troy Troy 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415 0.00158
Troy Troy 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415 0.00158
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306 -0.00101
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306 -0.00101
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306 -0.00101
Western Illinois neutral 10 24 0.294 0.495 0.271 -0.00185
Western Illinois neutral 10 24 0.294 0.495 0.271 -0.00185
Western Illinois neutral 10 24 0.294 0.495 0.271 -0.00185
Western Illinois neutral 10 24 0.294 0.495 0.271 -0.00185
Alabama State Alabama State 28 14 0.667 0.431 0.441 0.00220
Alabama State Alabama State 28 14 0.667 0.431 0.441 0.00220
Alabama State Alabama State 28 14 0.667 0.431 0.441 0.00220
Alabama State Alabama State 28 14 0.667 0.431 0.441 0.00220
Ohio Ohio 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327 -0.00051
Valparaiso Northern Kentucky 18 18 0.500 0.530 0.383 0.00082
Valparaiso Northern Kentucky 18 18 0.500 0.530 0.383 0.00082
Valparaiso Northern Kentucky 18 18 0.500 0.530 0.383 0.00082
Northwestern Northern Kentucky 10 29 0.256 0.488 0.250 -0.00235
Oakland Northern Kentucky 16 15 0.516 0.443 0.369 0.00049
Oakland Northern Kentucky 16 15 0.516 0.443 0.369 0.00049
Oakland Northern Kentucky 16 15 0.516 0.443 0.369 0.00049
Kentucky Kentucky 26 15 0.634 0.572 0.460 0.00265
Butler Northern Kentucky 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246 -0.00244
Wright State Wright State 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464 0.00275
Wright State Wright State 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464 0.00275
Wright State Wright State 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464 0.00275
Miami, Ohio Northern Kentucky 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368 0.00046
Illinois-Chicago Northern Kentucky 16 22 0.421 0.460 0.326 -0.00054
Illinois-Chicago Northern Kentucky 16 22 0.421 0.460 0.326 -0.00054
Illinois-Chicago Northern Kentucky 16 22 0.421 0.460 0.326 -0.00054
Youngstown State Youngstown State 9 26 0.257 0.516 0.258 -0.00215
Youngstown State Youngstown State 9 26 0.257 0.516 0.258 -0.00215
Youngstown State Youngstown State 9 26 0.257 0.516 0.258 -0.00215
Xavier Northern Kentucky 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321 -0.00065
Dayton Northern Kentucky 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284 -0.00154
Oakland Oakland 16 15 0.516 0.443 0.369 0.00049
Oakland Oakland 16 15 0.516 0.443 0.369 0.00049
Wright State Northern Kentucky 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464 0.00275
Wright State Northern Kentucky 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464 0.00275
Ball State Ball State 25 17 0.595 0.440 0.407 0.00139

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 96.67 25 17 0.595 0.440 0.407
Butler 106.97 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246
Cincinnati 7.48 20 21 0.488 0.542 0.380
Dayton 50.78 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284
Eastern Kentucky 89.72 17 25 0.405 0.484 0.324
IPFW 148.33 16 21 0.432 0.415 0.320
Indiana 110.54 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414
Kentucky 69.15 26 15 0.634 0.572 0.460
Louisville 90.19 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 36.44 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368
Morehead State 80.47 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404
Ohio 127.85 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327
Ohio State 102.39 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439
Wright State 56.87 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464
Xavier 8.47 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 210.65 0.000
Appalachian State 246.72 11 30 0.268 0.506 0.261
Austin Peay State 233.50 25 14 0.641 0.530 0.453
Belmont 236.27 24 17 0.585 0.401 0.393
Bowling Green State 168.43 15 25 0.375 0.427 0.294
Bradley 295.33 15 15 0.500 0.465 0.366
Chicago State 248.65 9 31 0.225 0.432 0.221
East Tennessee State 220.14 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306
Eastern Illinois 201.21 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199
Eastern Michigan 227.20 15 22 0.405 0.509 0.330
Evansville 181.11 22 15 0.595 0.507 0.424
Illinois 213.66 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400
Illinois State 261.77 12 27 0.308 0.481 0.274
Illinois-Chicago 257.75 16 22 0.421 0.460 0.326
Indiana State 160.91 24 16 0.600 0.495 0.424
Kent State 220.13 30 10 0.750 0.446 0.486
Lipscomb 239.14 20 21 0.488 0.446 0.355
Marshall 160.20 21 17 0.553 0.528 0.409
Michigan 227.02 28 10 0.737 0.511 0.496
Michigan State 255.91 28 10 0.737 0.465 0.485
Middle Tennessee State 243.01 17 25 0.405 0.562 0.343
Murray State 267.93 19 20 0.487 0.456 0.357
North Carolina-Asheville 257.61 14 27 0.341 0.424 0.277
Northwestern 269.81 10 29 0.256 0.488 0.250
Notre Dame 206.39 24 16 0.600 0.541 0.435
Oakland 260.25 16 15 0.516 0.443 0.369
Pittsburgh 258.27 21 14 0.600 0.554 0.439
Purdue 163.69 7 31 0.184 0.520 0.222
Radford 250.27 12 29 0.293 0.541 0.282
Southeast Missouri State 299.82 28 11 0.718 0.485 0.480
Southern Illinois 273.35 23 17 0.575 0.506 0.414
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 298.93 8 28 0.222 0.543 0.247
Tennessee 214.74 24 18 0.571 0.560 0.425
Tennessee Tech 205.14 21 18 0.538 0.412 0.372
Toledo 186.27 9 32 0.220 0.506 0.236
VMI 285.09 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322
Valparaiso 215.80 18 18 0.500 0.530 0.383
Vanderbilt 237.01 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512
Virginia Tech 252.72 14 28 0.333 0.539 0.301
West Virginia 243.21 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394
Western Carolina 267.03 21 19 0.525 0.508 0.390
Western Kentucky 178.22 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415
Western Michigan 232.77 11 25 0.306 0.485 0.274
Youngstown State 247.60 9 26 0.257 0.516 0.258

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation