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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northwestern

Last updated: Fri May 27 06:56:11 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.489
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.506
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.371


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Nevada neutral 34 22 0.607 0.487 0.425 0.00102
Nevada neutral 34 22 0.607 0.487 0.425 0.00102
Nevada neutral 34 22 0.607 0.487 0.425 0.00102
Nevada neutral 34 22 0.607 0.487 0.425 0.00102
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.472 0.330 -0.00077
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.472 0.330 -0.00077
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.472 0.330 -0.00077
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.472 0.330 -0.00077
Boston College neutral 31 20 0.608 0.541 0.439 0.00128
Butler neutral 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240 -0.00247
Illinois State neutral 17 36 0.321 0.515 0.289 -0.00155
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 28 0.462 0.477 0.350 -0.00040
San Diego State San Diego State 20 37 0.351 0.545 0.312 -0.00111
San Diego State San Diego State 20 37 0.351 0.545 0.312 -0.00111
San Diego State San Diego State 20 37 0.351 0.545 0.312 -0.00111
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.541 0.367 -0.00008
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.541 0.367 -0.00008
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.541 0.367 -0.00008
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.469 0.302 -0.00130
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 27 0.500 0.470 0.367 -0.00008
Ohio State Ohio State 39 17 0.696 0.493 0.471 0.00189
Ohio State Ohio State 39 17 0.696 0.493 0.471 0.00189
Ohio State Ohio State 39 17 0.696 0.493 0.471 0.00189
Chicago State Northwestern 12 41 0.226 0.437 0.222 -0.00281
Michigan Northwestern 35 20 0.636 0.524 0.449 0.00147
Michigan Northwestern 35 20 0.636 0.524 0.449 0.00147
Michigan Northwestern 35 20 0.636 0.524 0.449 0.00147
Illinois-Chicago Northwestern 24 28 0.462 0.477 0.350 -0.00040
Nebraska Nebraska 37 19 0.661 0.520 0.461 0.00170
Nebraska Nebraska 37 19 0.661 0.520 0.461 0.00170
Nebraska Nebraska 37 19 0.661 0.520 0.461 0.00170
Bradley Northwestern 24 19 0.558 0.478 0.399 0.00053
Penn State Northwestern 28 27 0.509 0.522 0.385 0.00026
Penn State Northwestern 28 27 0.509 0.522 0.385 0.00026
Penn State Northwestern 28 27 0.509 0.522 0.385 0.00026
Chicago State Chicago State 12 41 0.226 0.437 0.222 -0.00281
Minnesota Northwestern 32 19 0.627 0.514 0.442 0.00134
Minnesota Northwestern 32 19 0.627 0.514 0.442 0.00134
Minnesota Northwestern 32 19 0.627 0.514 0.442 0.00134
Indiana Indiana 31 23 0.574 0.496 0.411 0.00075
Indiana Indiana 31 23 0.574 0.496 0.411 0.00075
Indiana Indiana 31 23 0.574 0.496 0.411 0.00075
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 28 0.462 0.477 0.350 -0.00040
Purdue Northwestern 10 44 0.185 0.526 0.224 -0.00277
Purdue Northwestern 10 44 0.185 0.526 0.224 -0.00277
Purdue Northwestern 10 44 0.185 0.526 0.224 -0.00277
California Northwestern 30 20 0.600 0.516 0.429 0.00109
California Northwestern 30 20 0.600 0.516 0.429 0.00109
California Northwestern 30 20 0.600 0.516 0.429 0.00109
California Northwestern 30 20 0.600 0.516 0.429 0.00109
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.533 0.379 0.00015
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.533 0.379 0.00015
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.533 0.379 0.00015

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 137.30 24 19 0.558 0.478 0.399
Chicago State 24.73 12 41 0.226 0.437 0.222
IPFW 148.99 28 24 0.538 0.403 0.370
Illinois 139.02 28 23 0.549 0.548 0.412
Illinois State 126.93 17 36 0.321 0.515 0.289
Illinois-Chicago 14.17 24 28 0.462 0.477 0.350
Northern Illinois 56.57 24 31 0.436 0.465 0.334
Notre Dame 79.58 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386
Purdue 119.20 10 44 0.185 0.526 0.224
Valparaiso 54.02 27 26 0.509 0.486 0.376
Western Michigan 108.03 19 31 0.380 0.460 0.305
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 72.43 28 24 0.538 0.475 0.388

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 174.08 32 25 0.561 0.441 0.391
Bowling Green State 214.84 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269
Butler 172.94 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240
Central Michigan 180.69 20 36 0.357 0.487 0.300
Cincinnati 262.70 26 30 0.464 0.541 0.367
Dayton 243.27 19 36 0.345 0.488 0.294
Eastern Illinois 180.73 12 39 0.235 0.484 0.238
Eastern Michigan 207.50 20 35 0.364 0.503 0.308
Evansville 282.86 26 26 0.500 0.505 0.376
Indiana 209.04 31 23 0.574 0.496 0.411
Indiana State 179.49 34 20 0.630 0.514 0.444
Iowa 200.70 25 25 0.500 0.561 0.390
Louisville 285.65 47 10 0.825 0.582 0.558
Miami, Ohio 234.77 27 27 0.500 0.470 0.367
Michigan 202.74 35 20 0.636 0.524 0.449
Michigan State 169.77 35 18 0.660 0.485 0.451
Northern Kentucky 269.81 20 34 0.370 0.469 0.302
Oakland 232.51 21 27 0.438 0.483 0.340
Ohio State 281.68 39 17 0.696 0.493 0.471
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 256.86 9 40 0.184 0.497 0.216
St. Louis 272.21 24 31 0.436 0.457 0.332
Toledo 212.92 19 36 0.345 0.501 0.298
Western Illinois 190.56 13 35 0.271 0.492 0.259
Wright State 247.13 41 15 0.732 0.464 0.482
Xavier 262.81 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation