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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northwestern

Last updated: Sun May 1 06:56:29 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.492
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.498
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3705


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Nevada neutral 21 20 0.512 0.499 0.381 0.00026
Nevada neutral 21 20 0.512 0.499 0.381 0.00026
Nevada neutral 21 20 0.512 0.499 0.381 0.00026
Nevada neutral 21 20 0.512 0.499 0.381 0.00026
Pacific Pacific 17 22 0.436 0.478 0.338 -0.00079
Pacific Pacific 17 22 0.436 0.478 0.338 -0.00079
Pacific Pacific 17 22 0.436 0.478 0.338 -0.00079
Pacific Pacific 17 22 0.436 0.478 0.338 -0.00079
Boston College neutral 21 17 0.553 0.556 0.416 0.00111
Butler neutral 10 29 0.256 0.458 0.242 -0.00313
Illinois State neutral 13 28 0.317 0.486 0.280 -0.00221
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 16 23 0.410 0.462 0.321 -0.00121
San Diego State San Diego State 12 28 0.300 0.561 0.290 -0.00196
San Diego State San Diego State 12 28 0.300 0.561 0.290 -0.00196
San Diego State San Diego State 12 28 0.300 0.561 0.290 -0.00196
Cincinnati Cincinnati 21 21 0.500 0.545 0.386 0.00038
Cincinnati Cincinnati 21 21 0.500 0.545 0.386 0.00038
Cincinnati Cincinnati 21 21 0.500 0.545 0.386 0.00038
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 15 28 0.349 0.462 0.290 -0.00196
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 20 21 0.488 0.481 0.364 -0.00016
Ohio State Ohio State 27 14 0.659 0.463 0.445 0.00182
Ohio State Ohio State 27 14 0.659 0.463 0.445 0.00182
Ohio State Ohio State 27 14 0.659 0.463 0.445 0.00182
Chicago State Northwestern 9 32 0.220 0.434 0.218 -0.00372
Michigan Northwestern 29 10 0.744 0.511 0.500 0.00316
Michigan Northwestern 29 10 0.744 0.511 0.500 0.00316
Michigan Northwestern 29 10 0.744 0.511 0.500 0.00316
Illinois-Chicago Northwestern 16 23 0.410 0.462 0.321 -0.00121
Nebraska Nebraska 26 16 0.619 0.497 0.434 0.00155
Nebraska Nebraska 26 16 0.619 0.497 0.434 0.00155
Nebraska Nebraska 26 16 0.619 0.497 0.434 0.00155
Bradley Northwestern 16 16 0.500 0.474 0.368 -0.00006
Penn State Northwestern 24 19 0.558 0.507 0.406 0.00087
Penn State Northwestern 24 19 0.558 0.507 0.406 0.00087
Penn State Northwestern 24 19 0.558 0.507 0.406 0.00087
Chicago State Chicago State 9 32 0.220 0.434 0.218 -0.00372
Minnesota Northwestern 24 13 0.649 0.534 0.458 0.00213
Minnesota Northwestern 24 13 0.649 0.534 0.458 0.00213
Minnesota Northwestern 24 13 0.649 0.534 0.458 0.00213
Indiana Indiana 25 16 0.610 0.465 0.421 0.00123
Indiana Indiana 25 16 0.610 0.465 0.421 0.00123

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 137.30 16 16 0.500 0.474 0.368
Chicago State 24.73 9 32 0.220 0.434 0.218
IPFW 148.99 17 22 0.436 0.417 0.322
Illinois 139.02 21 18 0.538 0.523 0.400
Illinois State 126.93 13 28 0.317 0.486 0.280
Illinois-Chicago 14.17 16 23 0.410 0.462 0.321
Northern Illinois 56.57 16 25 0.390 0.461 0.310
Notre Dame 79.58 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440
Purdue 119.20 7 33 0.175 0.527 0.219
Valparaiso 54.02 19 18 0.514 0.526 0.389
Western Michigan 108.03 12 25 0.324 0.478 0.281
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 72.43 17 19 0.472 0.474 0.354

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 174.08 26 17 0.605 0.441 0.413
Bowling Green State 214.84 15 26 0.366 0.430 0.290
Butler 172.94 10 29 0.256 0.458 0.242
Central Michigan 180.69 10 31 0.244 0.502 0.247
Cincinnati 262.70 21 21 0.500 0.545 0.386
Dayton 243.27 16 28 0.364 0.472 0.300
Eastern Illinois 180.73 5 35 0.125 0.523 0.193
Eastern Michigan 207.50 16 22 0.421 0.507 0.337
Evansville 282.86 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Indiana 209.04 25 16 0.610 0.465 0.421
Indiana State 179.49 26 16 0.619 0.504 0.435
Iowa 200.70 16 20 0.444 0.575 0.366
Louisville 285.65 34 9 0.791 0.581 0.541
Miami, Ohio 234.77 20 21 0.488 0.481 0.364
Michigan 202.74 29 10 0.744 0.511 0.500
Michigan State 169.77 28 11 0.718 0.473 0.477
Northern Kentucky 269.81 15 28 0.349 0.462 0.290
Oakland 232.51 16 17 0.485 0.458 0.357
Ohio State 281.68 27 14 0.659 0.463 0.445
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 256.86 8 29 0.216 0.539 0.243
St. Louis 272.21 17 24 0.415 0.433 0.316
Toledo 212.92 9 33 0.214 0.506 0.233
Western Illinois 190.56 11 24 0.314 0.488 0.279
Wright State 247.13 30 12 0.714 0.457 0.471
Xavier 262.81 17 26 0.395 0.519 0.327

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation