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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northwestern

Last updated: Mon Mar 2 11:45:58 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.497
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.490
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.371


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Oregon State neutral 45 14 0.763 0.538 0.516 0.00290
New Mexico neutral 37 20 0.649 0.489 0.447 0.00152
Michigan State neutral 31 26 0.544 0.511 0.400 0.00058
Incarnate Word neutral 18 32 0.360 0.459 0.295 -0.00152
Villanova neutral 16 34 0.320 0.488 0.282 -0.00178
Notre Dame neutral 21 31 0.404 0.507 0.329 -0.00084
Villanova neutral 16 34 0.320 0.488 0.282 -0.00178
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 38 25 0.603 0.514 0.430 0.00118
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 38 25 0.603 0.514 0.430 0.00118
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 38 25 0.603 0.514 0.430 0.00118

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 137.30 22 27 0.449 0.504 0.351
Chicago State 24.73 15 37 0.288 0.423 0.250
IPFW 148.99 17 36 0.321 0.451 0.273
Illinois 139.02 32 21 0.604 0.512 0.430
Illinois State 126.93 29 22 0.569 0.500 0.409
Illinois-Chicago 14.17 24 27 0.471 0.412 0.338
Northern Illinois 56.57 17 36 0.321 0.517 0.290
Notre Dame 79.58 21 31 0.404 0.507 0.329
Purdue 119.20 13 37 0.260 0.548 0.267
Valparaiso 54.02 24 27 0.471 0.446 0.347
Western Michigan 108.03 24 31 0.436 0.475 0.337
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 72.43 18 28 0.391 0.410 0.298

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 174.08 37 18 0.673 0.474 0.455
Bowling Green State 214.84 25 27 0.481 0.493 0.364
Butler 172.94 16 30 0.348 0.482 0.294
Central Michigan 180.69 34 23 0.596 0.455 0.412
Cincinnati 262.70 22 31 0.415 0.518 0.337
Dayton 243.27 23 30 0.434 0.468 0.334
Eastern Illinois 180.73 21 33 0.389 0.531 0.327
Eastern Michigan 207.50 16 34 0.320 0.441 0.270
Evansville 282.86 33 20 0.623 0.491 0.434
Indiana 209.04 44 15 0.746 0.549 0.510
Indiana State 179.49 35 18 0.660 0.516 0.459
Iowa 200.70 28 23 0.549 0.492 0.398
Louisville 285.65 50 17 0.746 0.537 0.507
Miami, Ohio 234.77 30 27 0.526 0.509 0.390
Michigan 202.74 30 29 0.508 0.521 0.384
Michigan State 169.77 31 26 0.544 0.511 0.400
Northern Kentucky 269.81 14 37 0.275 0.483 0.258
Oakland 232.51 12 33 0.267 0.484 0.255
Ohio State 281.68 30 28 0.517 0.509 0.386
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 256.86 20 32 0.385 0.469 0.310
St. Louis 272.21 34 21 0.618 0.434 0.417
Toledo 212.92 22 32 0.407 0.488 0.326
Western Illinois 190.56 20 31 0.392 0.477 0.315
Wright State 247.13 35 22 0.614 0.468 0.424
Xavier 262.81 30 29 0.508 0.522 0.385

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation