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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Notre Dame

Last updated: Mon May 2 06:55:24 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.541
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.528
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4025


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Santa Clara Santa Clara 19 21 0.475 0.517 0.367 -0.00087
Santa Clara Santa Clara 19 21 0.475 0.517 0.367 -0.00087
Santa Clara Santa Clara 19 21 0.475 0.517 0.367 -0.00087
Bradley neutral 17 16 0.515 0.478 0.377 -0.00062
Texas Southern neutral 13 20 0.394 0.390 0.294 -0.00265
Incarnate Word neutral 11 32 0.256 0.495 0.252 -0.00367
Gonzaga neutral 25 15 0.625 0.510 0.440 0.00091
Alabama neutral 25 20 0.556 0.565 0.419 0.00040
Bucknell neutral 16 31 0.340 0.438 0.280 -0.00299
Brown neutral 15 24 0.385 0.456 0.306 -0.00235
Niagara neutral 14 26 0.350 0.470 0.292 -0.00270
Louisville Louisville 35 9 0.795 0.581 0.543 0.00343
Louisville Louisville 35 9 0.795 0.581 0.543 0.00343
Louisville Louisville 35 9 0.795 0.581 0.543 0.00343
Toledo Notre Dame 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228 -0.00426
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 11 0.738 0.601 0.519 0.00284
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 11 0.738 0.601 0.519 0.00284
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 11 0.738 0.601 0.519 0.00284
Illinois-Chicago Notre Dame 16 23 0.410 0.468 0.322 -0.00196
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 15 29 0.341 0.538 0.305 -0.00238
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 15 29 0.341 0.538 0.305 -0.00238
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 15 29 0.341 0.538 0.305 -0.00238
Oregon Notre Dame 19 17 0.528 0.522 0.395 -0.00018
Wake Forest Notre Dame 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00113
Wake Forest Notre Dame 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00113
Wake Forest Notre Dame 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00113
Michigan Notre Dame 29 11 0.725 0.516 0.491 0.00216
Miami, Florida Notre Dame 30 8 0.789 0.594 0.543 0.00343
Chicago State Notre Dame 10 32 0.238 0.436 0.228 -0.00426
Valparaiso Notre Dame 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389 -0.00033
Boston College Notre Dame 22 17 0.564 0.552 0.420 0.00043
Boston College Notre Dame 22 17 0.564 0.552 0.420 0.00043
Boston College Notre Dame 22 17 0.564 0.552 0.420 0.00043
Michigan State Michigan State 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482 0.00194
Central Michigan Notre Dame 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243 -0.00389
Florida State Florida State 28 12 0.700 0.617 0.504 0.00248
Florida State Florida State 28 12 0.700 0.617 0.504 0.00248
Florida State Florida State 28 12 0.700 0.617 0.504 0.00248
Indiana neutral 25 16 0.610 0.459 0.420 0.00043
Eastern Michigan Notre Dame 17 22 0.436 0.502 0.344 -0.00143
Ohio Notre Dame 17 23 0.425 0.440 0.323 -0.00194
Ohio Notre Dame 17 23 0.425 0.440 0.323 -0.00194
Ohio Notre Dame 17 23 0.425 0.440 0.323 -0.00194

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 110.49 27 18 0.600 0.435 0.409
Bowling Green State 136.18 15 27 0.357 0.436 0.287
Butler 127.91 10 29 0.256 0.463 0.244
Central Michigan 149.32 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243
Chicago State 71.16 10 32 0.238 0.436 0.228
Eastern Michigan 138.05 17 22 0.436 0.502 0.344
IPFW 70.64 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317
Illinois-Chicago 74.12 16 23 0.410 0.468 0.322
Michigan 133.64 29 11 0.725 0.516 0.491
Michigan State 114.21 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482
Northern Illinois 132.42 17 25 0.405 0.462 0.318
Northwestern 79.58 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245
Purdue 94.56 7 33 0.175 0.532 0.221
Toledo 135.97 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228
Valparaiso 44.66 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389
Western Michigan 51.80 13 25 0.342 0.472 0.289
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 130.20 18 19 0.486 0.469 0.360

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 248.24 0.000
Bradley 188.53 17 16 0.515 0.478 0.377
Cincinnati 198.95 21 22 0.488 0.546 0.381
Dayton 172.09 16 29 0.356 0.479 0.298
Eastern Illinois 184.32 5 36 0.122 0.519 0.191
Eastern Kentucky 292.16 20 25 0.444 0.465 0.338
Evansville 266.20 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420
Illinois 152.08 21 18 0.538 0.522 0.400
Illinois State 165.74 13 28 0.317 0.489 0.281
Indiana 174.74 25 16 0.610 0.459 0.420
Indiana State 165.41 26 16 0.619 0.508 0.436
Iowa 274.84 16 20 0.444 0.572 0.365
Kent State 256.06 31 11 0.738 0.451 0.482
Kentucky 269.55 26 17 0.605 0.560 0.443
Louisville 242.44 35 9 0.795 0.581 0.543
Miami, Ohio 170.02 21 21 0.500 0.483 0.371
Morehead State 283.89 25 19 0.568 0.510 0.411
Northern Kentucky 206.39 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
Oakland 168.56 17 17 0.500 0.466 0.366
Ohio 271.38 17 23 0.425 0.440 0.323
Ohio State 203.92 27 14 0.659 0.458 0.444
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 282.85 9 30 0.231 0.526 0.247
St. Louis 298.89 17 25 0.405 0.437 0.312
Western Illinois 247.05 11 25 0.306 0.486 0.274
Wright State 174.56 30 13 0.698 0.461 0.464
Xavier 198.56 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327
Youngstown State 285.27 10 27 0.270 0.517 0.264

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation