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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Notre Dame

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:14 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.543
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.523
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40225


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville neutral 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321 -0.00198
Oklahoma Oklahoma 29 16 0.644 0.513 0.450 0.00116
Oklahoma Oklahoma 29 16 0.644 0.513 0.450 0.00116
Oklahoma Oklahoma 29 16 0.644 0.513 0.450 0.00116
Incarnate Word neutral 13 27 0.325 0.463 0.278 -0.00303
Villanova neutral 15 20 0.429 0.419 0.319 -0.00203
Northwestern neutral 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301 -0.00247
Incarnate Word neutral 13 27 0.325 0.463 0.278 -0.00303
Belmont neutral 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385 -0.00042
Akron neutral 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358 -0.00108
Mercer Mercer 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431 0.00070
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00119
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00119
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00119
Savannah State Savannah State 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289 -0.00276
Clemson Clemson 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 -0.00003
Clemson Clemson 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 -0.00003
Clemson Clemson 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 -0.00003
Central Michigan Notre Dame 27 14 0.659 0.448 0.442 0.00097
Louisville Notre Dame 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516 0.00277
Louisville Notre Dame 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516 0.00277
Louisville Notre Dame 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516 0.00277
Western Michigan Notre Dame 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311 -0.00223
Virginia Notre Dame 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461 0.00143
Virginia Notre Dame 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461 0.00143
Virginia Notre Dame 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461 0.00143
Eastern Michigan Notre Dame 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335 -0.00164
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323 -0.00193
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323 -0.00193
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323 -0.00193
Valparaiso Notre Dame 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314 -0.00215
Florida State Notre Dame 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00253
Florida State Notre Dame 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00253
Florida State Notre Dame 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00253
Toledo Notre Dame 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00218
North Carolina State Notre Dame 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405 0.00007
North Carolina State Notre Dame 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405 0.00007
North Carolina State Notre Dame 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405 0.00007
Indiana neutral 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437 0.00085
Chicago State Notre Dame 9 29 0.237 0.429 0.226 -0.00430
Wake Forest Wake Forest 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 -0.00003
Wake Forest Wake Forest 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 -0.00003
Wake Forest Wake Forest 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 -0.00003

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 110.49 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428
Bowling Green State 136.18 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313
Butler 127.91 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Central Michigan 149.32 27 14 0.659 0.448 0.442
Chicago State 71.16 9 29 0.237 0.429 0.226
Eastern Michigan 138.05 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335
IPFW 70.64 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381
Illinois-Chicago 74.12 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380
Michigan 133.64 25 16 0.610 0.499 0.430
Michigan State 114.21 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426
Northern Illinois 132.42 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292
Northwestern 79.58 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301
Purdue 94.56 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285
Toledo 135.97 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313
Valparaiso 44.66 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314
Western Michigan 51.80 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 130.20 21 14 0.600 0.452 0.413

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 248.24 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358
Bradley 188.53 24 10 0.706 0.551 0.491
Cincinnati 198.95 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Dayton 172.09 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
Eastern Illinois 184.32 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Eastern Kentucky 292.16 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Evansville 266.20 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404
Illinois 152.08 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543
Illinois State 165.74 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368
Indiana 174.74 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Indiana State 165.41 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
Iowa 274.84 24 11 0.686 0.503 0.469
Kent State 256.06 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414
Kentucky 269.55 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Louisville 242.44 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Miami, Ohio 170.02 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Morehead State 283.89 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Northern Kentucky 206.39 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Oakland 168.56 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249
Ohio 271.38 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Ohio State 203.92 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 282.85 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321
St. Louis 298.89 27 13 0.675 0.488 0.460
Western Illinois 247.05 10 25 0.286 0.507 0.270
Wright State 174.56 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Xavier 198.56 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261
Youngstown State 285.27 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation