Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Penn State

Last updated: Sat Apr 30 07:01:28 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.509
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.502
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Monmouth neutral 20 20 0.500 0.463 0.366 -0.00033
Army neutral 15 28 0.349 0.496 0.298 -0.00195
Army neutral 15 28 0.349 0.496 0.298 -0.00195
Bryant neutral 30 7 0.811 0.475 0.524 0.00343
South Carolina South Carolina 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547 0.00398
South Carolina South Carolina 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547 0.00398
South Carolina South Carolina 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547 0.00398
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.529 0.501 0.00288
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.529 0.501 0.00288
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.529 0.501 0.00288
Duke Duke 24 18 0.571 0.569 0.428 0.00114
New York Tech neutral 17 21 0.447 0.400 0.324 -0.00133
Princeton neutral 19 17 0.528 0.521 0.394 0.00033
Richmond Richmond 22 16 0.579 0.482 0.410 0.00071
Niagara Penn State 12 26 0.316 0.480 0.278 -0.00243
Niagara Penn State 12 26 0.316 0.480 0.278 -0.00243
Niagara Penn State 12 26 0.316 0.480 0.278 -0.00243
West Virginia Penn State 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394 0.00033
Rhode Island Penn State 17 20 0.459 0.513 0.358 -0.00052
Illinois Illinois 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400 0.00048
Illinois Illinois 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400 0.00048
Illinois Illinois 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400 0.00048
Youngstown State Penn State 9 26 0.257 0.516 0.258 -0.00290
Binghamton Penn State 17 20 0.459 0.501 0.355 -0.00060
Purdue Penn State 7 31 0.184 0.520 0.222 -0.00376
Purdue Penn State 7 31 0.184 0.520 0.222 -0.00376
Purdue Penn State 7 31 0.184 0.520 0.222 -0.00376
Pittsburgh Penn State 21 14 0.600 0.554 0.439 0.00140
Lafayette Lafayette 13 26 0.333 0.468 0.284 -0.00229
Michigan State Penn State 28 10 0.737 0.465 0.485 0.00250
Michigan State Penn State 28 10 0.737 0.465 0.485 0.00250
Michigan State Penn State 28 10 0.737 0.465 0.485 0.00250
Bucknell Penn State 16 29 0.356 0.420 0.283 -0.00231
Northwestern Northwestern 10 29 0.256 0.488 0.250 -0.00310
Northwestern Northwestern 10 29 0.256 0.488 0.250 -0.00310
Northwestern Northwestern 10 29 0.256 0.488 0.250 -0.00310
Bucknell Penn State 16 29 0.356 0.420 0.283 -0.00231
Kent State Kent State 30 10 0.750 0.446 0.486 0.00252
Rutgers Rutgers 21 20 0.512 0.561 0.396 0.00038
Rutgers Rutgers 21 20 0.512 0.561 0.396 0.00038
Rutgers Rutgers 21 20 0.512 0.561 0.396 0.00038
Kent State Penn State 30 10 0.750 0.446 0.486 0.00252
Maryland Penn State 22 18 0.550 0.569 0.417 0.00088

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 131.53 17 20 0.459 0.501 0.355
Bucknell 51.12 16 29 0.356 0.420 0.283
Coppin State 129.46 9 31 0.225 0.352 0.201
Cornell 133.17 13 19 0.406 0.437 0.312
Delaware 136.46 24 16 0.600 0.451 0.413
George Mason 139.54 13 28 0.317 0.449 0.271
George Washington 141.21 19 23 0.452 0.468 0.343
Georgetown 128.57 19 23 0.452 0.484 0.347
Lafayette 136.89 13 26 0.333 0.468 0.284
Lehigh 131.64 19 26 0.422 0.434 0.320
Maryland 134.83 22 18 0.550 0.569 0.417
Maryland-Baltimore County 123.75 19 18 0.514 0.435 0.366
Mount St. Mary's 82.78 9 27 0.250 0.366 0.216
Navy 145.22 34 11 0.756 0.418 0.482
Pittsburgh 113.70 21 14 0.600 0.554 0.439
St. Bonaventure 93.50 18 16 0.529 0.383 0.360
St. Joseph's 148.31 21 15 0.583 0.484 0.412
Temple 146.50 0.000
Towson 117.82 15 27 0.357 0.471 0.296
Villanova 142.89 15 25 0.375 0.483 0.308
West Virginia 138.18 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 191.80 0.000
Albany 244.42 16 20 0.444 0.475 0.341
Army 206.84 15 28 0.349 0.496 0.298
Buffalo 158.15 12 24 0.333 0.434 0.275
Canisius 154.59 23 18 0.561 0.430 0.388
Central Connecticut State 271.44 18 21 0.462 0.475 0.350
Columbia 205.83 14 23 0.378 0.480 0.309
Connecticut 298.28 22 18 0.550 0.538 0.410
Delaware State 165.98 10 30 0.250 0.437 0.234
Fairfield 240.81 21 18 0.538 0.426 0.376
Fairleigh Dickinson 199.95 19 21 0.475 0.437 0.347
Fordham 207.53 22 21 0.512 0.449 0.368
Hartford 275.25 26 12 0.684 0.475 0.461
Hofstra 222.68 13 27 0.325 0.476 0.281
Iona 213.53 8 28 0.222 0.491 0.234
James Madison 172.27 17 24 0.415 0.501 0.333
Kent State 183.41 30 10 0.750 0.446 0.486
LIU Brooklyn 202.87 11 26 0.297 0.450 0.261
LaSalle 151.78 12 30 0.286 0.450 0.256
Liberty 249.35 22 22 0.500 0.519 0.380
Longwood 244.86 24 18 0.571 0.479 0.405
Manhattan 206.82 13 25 0.342 0.501 0.296
Marist 212.90 18 19 0.486 0.452 0.356
Marshall 263.25 21 17 0.553 0.528 0.409
Maryland-Eastern Shore 213.60 13 27 0.325 0.374 0.256
Massachusetts 295.49 11 19 0.367 0.426 0.290
Monmouth 205.14 20 20 0.500 0.463 0.366
New Jersey Tech 192.78 15 23 0.395 0.443 0.308
New York Tech 222.26 17 21 0.447 0.400 0.324
Niagara 169.16 12 26 0.316 0.480 0.278
Norfolk State 287.06 20 17 0.541 0.360 0.361
Ohio 247.39 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327
Ohio State 277.71 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439
Old Dominion 283.85 25 16 0.610 0.543 0.441
Pennsylvania 152.25 18 19 0.486 0.429 0.350
Princeton 171.19 19 17 0.528 0.521 0.394
Quinnipiac 261.60 17 23 0.425 0.423 0.318
Radford 292.03 12 29 0.293 0.541 0.282
Richmond 224.04 22 16 0.579 0.482 0.410
Rider 167.13 13 25 0.342 0.489 0.293
Rutgers 179.73 21 20 0.512 0.561 0.396
Sacred Heart 244.52 21 16 0.568 0.453 0.397
Seton Hall 188.67 30 12 0.714 0.438 0.466
Siena 249.08 13 26 0.333 0.448 0.279
St. John's 212.55 21 16 0.568 0.432 0.392
St. Peter's 196.72 6 31 0.162 0.434 0.190
Stony Brook 247.22 17 19 0.472 0.481 0.356
VMI 225.26 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322
Virginia 194.38 27 17 0.614 0.595 0.456
Virginia Commonwealth 224.86 28 14 0.667 0.490 0.456
Virginia Tech 284.08 14 28 0.333 0.538 0.301
Wagner 198.02 11 26 0.297 0.454 0.262
William and Mary 250.69 20 21 0.488 0.517 0.373
Yale 257.18 15 23 0.395 0.500 0.323
Youngstown State 153.89 9 26 0.257 0.516 0.258

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation