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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Penn State

Last updated: Tue May 31 06:48:10 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.519
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.511
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38725


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Monmouth neutral 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377 -0.00019
Army neutral 16 32 0.333 0.488 0.288 -0.00180
Army neutral 16 32 0.333 0.488 0.288 -0.00180
Bryant neutral 47 10 0.825 0.464 0.528 0.00256
South Carolina South Carolina 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510 0.00223
South Carolina South Carolina 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510 0.00223
South Carolina South Carolina 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510 0.00223
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 39 17 0.696 0.512 0.476 0.00161
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 39 17 0.696 0.512 0.476 0.00161
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 39 17 0.696 0.512 0.476 0.00161
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445 0.00105
New York Tech neutral 17 26 0.395 0.405 0.299 -0.00160
Princeton neutral 24 19 0.558 0.496 0.403 0.00029
Richmond Richmond 28 24 0.538 0.458 0.384 -0.00006
Niagara Penn State 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00222
Niagara Penn State 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00222
Niagara Penn State 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00222
West Virginia Penn State 36 22 0.621 0.516 0.440 0.00096
Rhode Island Penn State 30 25 0.545 0.497 0.397 0.00018
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411 0.00043
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411 0.00043
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411 0.00043
Youngstown State Penn State 14 38 0.269 0.500 0.260 -0.00231
Binghamton Penn State 30 23 0.566 0.481 0.403 0.00029
Purdue Penn State 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223 -0.00299
Purdue Penn State 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223 -0.00299
Purdue Penn State 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223 -0.00299
Pittsburgh Penn State 25 26 0.490 0.549 0.382 -0.00010
Lafayette Lafayette 14 29 0.326 0.462 0.279 -0.00197
Michigan State Penn State 36 20 0.643 0.493 0.445 0.00105
Michigan State Penn State 36 20 0.643 0.493 0.445 0.00105
Michigan State Penn State 36 20 0.643 0.493 0.445 0.00105
Bucknell Penn State 18 34 0.346 0.471 0.291 -0.00175
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.487 0.263 -0.00226
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.487 0.263 -0.00226
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.487 0.263 -0.00226
Bucknell Penn State 18 34 0.346 0.471 0.291 -0.00175
Kent State Kent State 43 14 0.754 0.446 0.488 0.00183
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.528 0.378 -0.00017
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.528 0.378 -0.00017
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.528 0.378 -0.00017
Kent State Penn State 43 14 0.754 0.446 0.488 0.00183
Maryland Penn State 30 27 0.526 0.567 0.405 0.00032
Maryland Penn State 30 27 0.526 0.567 0.405 0.00032
Maryland Penn State 30 27 0.526 0.567 0.405 0.00032
Texas Christian Penn State 42 15 0.737 0.535 0.502 0.00209
Texas Christian Penn State 42 15 0.737 0.535 0.502 0.00209
Texas Christian Penn State 42 15 0.737 0.535 0.502 0.00209
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.549 0.382 -0.00010
Nebraska Nebraska 37 20 0.649 0.515 0.453 0.00120
Nebraska Nebraska 37 20 0.649 0.515 0.453 0.00120
Nebraska Nebraska 37 20 0.649 0.515 0.453 0.00120
Iowa Penn State 27 26 0.509 0.563 0.395 0.00014
Iowa Penn State 27 26 0.509 0.563 0.395 0.00014
Iowa Penn State 27 26 0.509 0.563 0.395 0.00014

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 131.53 30 23 0.566 0.481 0.403
Bucknell 51.12 18 34 0.346 0.471 0.291
Coppin State 129.46 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
Cornell 133.17 14 22 0.389 0.448 0.306
Delaware 136.46 31 22 0.585 0.481 0.413
George Mason 139.54 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 141.21 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 128.57 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351
Lafayette 136.89 14 29 0.326 0.462 0.279
Lehigh 131.64 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332
Maryland 134.83 30 27 0.526 0.567 0.405
Maryland-Baltimore County 123.75 28 23 0.549 0.449 0.387
Mount St. Mary's 82.78 11 37 0.229 0.437 0.224
Navy 145.22 41 14 0.745 0.416 0.476
Pittsburgh 113.70 25 26 0.490 0.549 0.382
St. Bonaventure 93.50 26 22 0.542 0.409 0.373
St. Joseph's 148.31 31 23 0.574 0.487 0.409
Temple 146.50 0.000
Towson 117.82 20 35 0.364 0.493 0.305
Villanova 142.89 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314
West Virginia 138.18 36 22 0.621 0.516 0.440

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 191.80 0.000
Albany 244.42 23 30 0.434 0.464 0.333
Army 206.84 16 32 0.333 0.488 0.288
Buffalo 158.15 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314
Canisius 154.59 32 27 0.542 0.431 0.379
Central Connecticut State 271.44 23 34 0.404 0.512 0.330
Columbia 205.83 17 24 0.415 0.498 0.332
Connecticut 298.28 37 23 0.617 0.509 0.436
Delaware State 165.98 13 37 0.260 0.444 0.241
Fairfield 240.81 32 24 0.571 0.432 0.393
Fairleigh Dickinson 199.95 28 28 0.500 0.421 0.355
Fordham 207.53 29 29 0.500 0.452 0.363
Hartford 275.25 37 18 0.673 0.485 0.458
Hofstra 222.68 15 37 0.288 0.490 0.266
Iona 213.53 11 39 0.220 0.462 0.226
James Madison 172.27 24 31 0.436 0.508 0.345
Kent State 183.41 43 14 0.754 0.446 0.488
LIU Brooklyn 202.87 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
LaSalle 151.78 15 39 0.278 0.458 0.254
Liberty 249.35 31 28 0.525 0.524 0.394
Longwood 244.86 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Manhattan 206.82 24 31 0.436 0.462 0.334
Marist 212.90 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341
Marshall 263.25 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440
Maryland-Eastern Shore 213.60 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Massachusetts 295.49 18 27 0.400 0.454 0.314
Monmouth 205.14 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377
New Jersey Tech 192.78 16 36 0.308 0.478 0.273
New York Tech 222.26 17 26 0.395 0.405 0.299
Niagara 169.16 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265
Norfolk State 287.06 29 21 0.580 0.371 0.383
Ohio 247.39 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331
Ohio State 277.71 43 18 0.705 0.501 0.478
Old Dominion 283.85 32 24 0.571 0.522 0.416
Pennsylvania 152.25 19 22 0.463 0.438 0.341
Princeton 171.19 24 19 0.558 0.496 0.403
Quinnipiac 261.60 21 31 0.404 0.457 0.316
Radford 292.03 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Richmond 224.04 28 24 0.538 0.458 0.384
Rider 167.13 18 33 0.353 0.452 0.289
Rutgers 179.73 27 28 0.491 0.528 0.378
Sacred Heart 244.52 30 28 0.517 0.464 0.374
Seton Hall 188.67 38 20 0.655 0.441 0.438
Siena 249.08 25 32 0.439 0.424 0.326
St. John's 212.55 28 26 0.519 0.492 0.383
St. Peter's 196.72 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203
Stony Brook 247.22 27 27 0.500 0.482 0.370
VMI 225.26 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306
Virginia 194.38 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470
Virginia Commonwealth 224.86 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456
Virginia Tech 284.08 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303
Wagner 198.02 19 33 0.365 0.457 0.297
William and Mary 250.69 29 29 0.500 0.531 0.383
Yale 257.18 18 28 0.391 0.490 0.318
Youngstown State 153.89 14 38 0.269 0.500 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation