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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for South Alabama

Last updated: Tue May 3 06:55:26 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.504
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.517
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38125


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Evansville South Alabama 23 17 0.575 0.493 0.411 0.00066
Evansville South Alabama 23 17 0.575 0.493 0.411 0.00066
Evansville South Alabama 23 17 0.575 0.493 0.411 0.00066
Alabama State South Alabama 31 14 0.689 0.427 0.451 0.00155
Georgia Georgia 22 23 0.489 0.649 0.407 0.00057
Western Kentucky neutral 24 20 0.545 0.526 0.404 0.00051
Cincinnati neutral 21 22 0.488 0.547 0.381 -0.00001
Southern Mississippi South Alabama 31 14 0.689 0.556 0.483 0.00226
Southern Mississippi neutral 31 14 0.689 0.556 0.483 0.00226
Middle Tennessee State South Alabama 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329 -0.00116
Middle Tennessee State South Alabama 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329 -0.00116
Middle Tennessee State South Alabama 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329 -0.00116
Mississippi State Mississippi State 30 14 0.682 0.600 0.491 0.00244
Arkansas-Little Rock South Alabama 21 20 0.512 0.527 0.388 0.00015
Arkansas-Little Rock South Alabama 21 20 0.512 0.527 0.388 0.00015
Arkansas-Little Rock South Alabama 21 20 0.512 0.527 0.388 0.00015
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 31 13 0.705 0.497 0.477 0.00213
Texas-Arlington South Alabama 23 22 0.511 0.540 0.391 0.00022
Texas-Arlington South Alabama 23 22 0.511 0.540 0.391 0.00022
Texas-Arlington South Alabama 23 22 0.511 0.540 0.391 0.00022
New Orleans New Orleans 26 17 0.605 0.544 0.439 0.00128
Texas State Texas State 23 22 0.511 0.492 0.379 -0.00005
Texas State Texas State 23 22 0.511 0.492 0.379 -0.00005
Texas State Texas State 23 22 0.511 0.492 0.379 -0.00005
Nicholls State neutral 20 24 0.455 0.484 0.349 -0.00072
Louisiana-Monroe South Alabama 16 28 0.364 0.547 0.319 -0.00138
Louisiana-Monroe South Alabama 16 28 0.364 0.547 0.319 -0.00138
Louisiana-Monroe South Alabama 16 28 0.364 0.547 0.319 -0.00138
Alabama State Alabama State 31 14 0.689 0.427 0.451 0.00155
New Orleans South Alabama 26 17 0.605 0.544 0.439 0.00128
Arkansas State South Alabama 20 23 0.465 0.521 0.363 -0.00041
Arkansas State South Alabama 20 23 0.465 0.521 0.363 -0.00041
Arkansas State South Alabama 20 23 0.465 0.521 0.363 -0.00041
Southeastern Louisiana South Alabama 31 13 0.705 0.497 0.477 0.00213
Appalachian State Appalachian State 13 31 0.295 0.498 0.272 -0.00243
Appalachian State Appalachian State 13 31 0.295 0.498 0.272 -0.00243
Appalachian State Appalachian State 13 31 0.295 0.498 0.272 -0.00243
Alabama Alabama 25 20 0.556 0.562 0.419 0.00084
Southern South Alabama 8 24 0.250 0.430 0.232 -0.00332
Southern South Alabama 8 24 0.250 0.430 0.232 -0.00332
Southern South Alabama 8 24 0.250 0.430 0.232 -0.00332
Auburn Auburn 20 24 0.455 0.586 0.374 -0.00016
Georgia State Georgia State 19 22 0.463 0.476 0.351 -0.00067
Georgia State Georgia State 19 22 0.463 0.476 0.351 -0.00067
Georgia State Georgia State 19 22 0.463 0.476 0.351 -0.00067

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
New Orleans 120.08 26 17 0.605 0.544 0.439
Southeastern Louisiana 136.54 31 13 0.705 0.497 0.477
Southern Mississippi 81.47 31 14 0.689 0.556 0.483
Tulane 126.15 28 14 0.667 0.547 0.470

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 177.77 25 20 0.556 0.562 0.419
Alabama A&M 297.57 12 36 0.250 0.369 0.217
Alabama State 160.56 31 14 0.689 0.427 0.451
Alabama-Birmingham 210.55 18 24 0.429 0.583 0.360
Alcorn State 192.60 11 28 0.282 0.421 0.246
Auburn 206.16 20 24 0.455 0.586 0.374
Florida A&M 232.40 24 17 0.585 0.467 0.409
Florida State 231.50 29 12 0.707 0.616 0.507
Grambling State 294.85 17 20 0.459 0.415 0.333
Jackson State 162.52 16 22 0.421 0.386 0.307
Jacksonville State 258.20 28 15 0.651 0.522 0.456
Louisiana State 179.74 28 16 0.636 0.616 0.472
Louisiana Tech 291.90 27 14 0.659 0.497 0.454
Louisiana-Lafayette 232.08 29 16 0.644 0.588 0.469
Louisiana-Monroe 261.28 16 28 0.364 0.547 0.319
Mississippi 265.43 33 12 0.733 0.595 0.515
Mississippi State 194.79 30 14 0.682 0.600 0.491
Nicholls State 168.31 20 24 0.455 0.484 0.349
Northwestern State 299.08 25 18 0.581 0.562 0.431
Samford 208.05 26 19 0.578 0.544 0.425
Southern 178.75 8 24 0.250 0.430 0.232
Troy 152.40 25 19 0.568 0.534 0.417

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation