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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for South Alabama

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:39 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.525
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.510
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Tennessee Tech South Alabama 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468 0.00166
Tennessee Tech South Alabama 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468 0.00166
Tennessee Tech South Alabama 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468 0.00166
Alabama State South Alabama 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427 0.00079
New Orleans New Orleans 10 32 0.238 0.512 0.247 -0.00304
New Orleans New Orleans 10 32 0.238 0.512 0.247 -0.00304
Jacksonville State South Alabama 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402 0.00026
Arkansas Arkansas 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436 0.00098
Arkansas Arkansas 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436 0.00098
Arkansas Arkansas 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436 0.00098
Jackson State Jackson State 22 23 0.489 0.374 0.338 -0.00111
Mississippi State Mississippi State 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455 0.00138
Southern Illinois South Alabama 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350 -0.00085
Southern Illinois South Alabama 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350 -0.00085
Southern Illinois South Alabama 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350 -0.00085
Southern Mississippi Southern Mississippi 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00060
Troy South Alabama 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345 -0.00096
Troy South Alabama 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345 -0.00096
Louisiana State Louisiana State 35 13 0.729 0.543 0.500 0.00234
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354 -0.00077
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354 -0.00077
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354 -0.00077
Nicholls State South Alabama 26 23 0.531 0.493 0.389 -0.00002
Texas-Arlington South Alabama 22 25 0.468 0.527 0.366 -0.00051
Texas-Arlington South Alabama 22 25 0.468 0.527 0.366 -0.00051
Texas-Arlington South Alabama 22 25 0.468 0.527 0.366 -0.00051
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 29 21 0.580 0.492 0.413 0.00049
Southern Mississippi South Alabama 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00060
Texas State Texas State 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00051
Texas State Texas State 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00051
Texas State Texas State 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00051
Nicholls State Nicholls State 26 23 0.531 0.493 0.389 -0.00002
Arkansas State South Alabama 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426 0.00077
Arkansas State South Alabama 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426 0.00077
Arkansas State South Alabama 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426 0.00077
Southeastern Louisiana South Alabama 29 21 0.580 0.492 0.413 0.00049
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00038
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00038
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00038
Auburn Auburn 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408 0.00038
Louisiana-Monroe South Alabama 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00115
Louisiana-Monroe South Alabama 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00115
Louisiana-Monroe South Alabama 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00115
Alabama State Alabama State 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427 0.00079
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00051
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00051
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00051

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
New Orleans 120.08 10 32 0.238 0.512 0.247
Southeastern Louisiana 136.54 29 21 0.580 0.492 0.413
Southern Mississippi 81.47 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418
Tulane 126.15 21 25 0.457 0.531 0.361

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 177.77 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459
Alabama A&M 297.57 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304
Alabama State 160.56 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427
Alabama-Birmingham 210.55 30 16 0.652 0.484 0.447
Alcorn State 192.60 10 39 0.204 0.447 0.214
Auburn 206.16 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408
Florida A&M 232.40 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356
Florida State 231.50 37 11 0.771 0.562 0.526
Grambling State 294.85 14 30 0.318 0.384 0.255
Jackson State 162.52 22 23 0.489 0.374 0.338
Jacksonville State 258.20 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402
Louisiana State 179.74 35 13 0.729 0.543 0.500
Louisiana Tech 291.90 15 29 0.341 0.529 0.303
Louisiana-Lafayette 232.08 43 7 0.860 0.511 0.558
Louisiana-Monroe 261.28 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336
Mississippi 265.43 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497
Mississippi State 194.79 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455
Nicholls State 168.31 26 23 0.531 0.493 0.389
Northwestern State 299.08 26 21 0.553 0.496 0.401
Samford 208.05 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429
Southern 178.75 10 25 0.286 0.385 0.239
Troy 152.40 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation