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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Southern California

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:39 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.546
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.524
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.404


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Northwestern Southern California 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00302
Northwestern Southern California 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00302
Northwestern Southern California 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00302
Cal State Fullerton Southern California 24 20 0.545 0.533 0.406 0.00004
North Dakota State Southern California 15 21 0.417 0.397 0.308 -0.00213
North Dakota State Southern California 15 21 0.417 0.397 0.308 -0.00213
North Dakota State Southern California 15 21 0.417 0.397 0.308 -0.00213
Long Beach State Long Beach State 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 -0.00018
Cal Poly Southern California 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00276
Cal Poly Southern California 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00276
UC Irvine UC Irvine 33 14 0.702 0.531 0.484 0.00178
Houston Southern California 36 13 0.735 0.583 0.513 0.00242
Pepperdine Southern California 32 13 0.711 0.505 0.482 0.00173
UCLA Southern California 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383 -0.00047
Loyola Marymount Southern California 28 20 0.583 0.486 0.413 0.00020
Oregon Oregon 34 14 0.708 0.528 0.486 0.00182
Oregon Oregon 34 14 0.708 0.528 0.486 0.00182
Oregon Oregon 34 14 0.708 0.528 0.486 0.00182
Stony Brook Southern California 27 15 0.643 0.450 0.434 0.00067
Stanford Stanford 22 20 0.524 0.595 0.411 0.00016
Stanford Stanford 22 20 0.524 0.595 0.411 0.00016
Stanford Stanford 22 20 0.524 0.595 0.411 0.00016
Loyola Marymount Loyola Marymount 28 20 0.583 0.486 0.413 0.00020
Washington Southern California 33 11 0.750 0.501 0.500 0.00213
Washington Southern California 33 11 0.750 0.501 0.500 0.00213
Washington Southern California 33 11 0.750 0.501 0.500 0.00213
Long Beach State Southern California 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 -0.00018
Arizona State Arizona State 24 20 0.545 0.573 0.416 0.00027
Arizona State Arizona State 24 20 0.545 0.573 0.416 0.00027
Arizona State Arizona State 24 20 0.545 0.573 0.416 0.00027
Pepperdine Pepperdine 32 13 0.711 0.505 0.482 0.00173
Utah Southern California 14 28 0.333 0.553 0.305 -0.00220
Utah Southern California 14 28 0.333 0.553 0.305 -0.00220
Utah Southern California 14 28 0.333 0.553 0.305 -0.00220
Arizona Southern California 18 28 0.391 0.555 0.334 -0.00156
Arizona Southern California 18 28 0.391 0.555 0.334 -0.00156
Arizona Southern California 18 28 0.391 0.555 0.334 -0.00156
Hawaii Southern California 19 25 0.432 0.555 0.355 -0.00109
UCLA UCLA 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383 -0.00047
UCLA UCLA 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383 -0.00047
UCLA UCLA 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383 -0.00047
UC Irvine Southern California 33 14 0.702 0.531 0.484 0.00178
Washington State Washington State 20 23 0.465 0.535 0.366 -0.00084
Washington State Washington State 20 23 0.465 0.535 0.366 -0.00084
Washington State Washington State 20 23 0.465 0.535 0.366 -0.00084

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 102.53 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324
Cal State Fullerton 25.04 24 20 0.545 0.533 0.406
Cal State Northridge 20.39 17 30 0.362 0.541 0.316
Long Beach State 19.09 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396
Loyola Marymount 8.75 28 20 0.583 0.486 0.413
Pepperdine 24.14 32 13 0.711 0.505 0.482
San Diego 107.29 32 17 0.653 0.495 0.450
San Diego State 111.07 33 16 0.673 0.491 0.459
UC Irvine 36.15 33 14 0.702 0.531 0.484
UC Riverside 51.98 20 23 0.465 0.591 0.380
UC Santa Barbara 93.35 27 14 0.659 0.502 0.455
UCLA 10.01 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal Poly 161.50 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528
Fresno State 209.65 25 24 0.510 0.545 0.391
Nevada-Las Vegas 228.82 29 18 0.617 0.534 0.442

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation