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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Southern Illinois

Last updated: Tue May 31 06:48:10 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.510
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.509
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38225


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
McNeese State McNeese State 31 25 0.554 0.504 0.403 0.00037
McNeese State McNeese State 31 25 0.554 0.504 0.403 0.00037
McNeese State McNeese State 31 25 0.554 0.504 0.403 0.00037
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 34 23 0.596 0.499 0.423 0.00073
Western Illinois Southern Illinois 13 35 0.271 0.490 0.258 -0.00222
Western Illinois Southern Illinois 13 35 0.271 0.490 0.258 -0.00222
Western Illinois Southern Illinois 13 35 0.271 0.490 0.258 -0.00222
Southeast Missouri State Southern Illinois 38 19 0.667 0.500 0.459 0.00137
Iowa Southern Illinois 27 26 0.509 0.563 0.395 0.00023
Iowa Southern Illinois 27 26 0.509 0.563 0.395 0.00023
Iowa Southern Illinois 27 26 0.509 0.563 0.395 0.00023
Belmont Belmont 33 27 0.550 0.453 0.388 0.00010
St. John's Southern Illinois 28 26 0.519 0.492 0.383 0.00001
St. John's Southern Illinois 28 26 0.519 0.492 0.383 0.00001
Arkansas State Arkansas State 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382 -0.00000
Northern Illinois Southern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.464 0.331 -0.00092
Illinois Southern Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411 0.00051
Illinois Southern Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411 0.00051
Northern Illinois Southern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.464 0.331 -0.00092
Memphis Southern Illinois 22 39 0.361 0.507 0.307 -0.00134
Memphis Southern Illinois 22 39 0.361 0.507 0.307 -0.00134
Memphis Southern Illinois 22 39 0.361 0.507 0.307 -0.00134
Austin Peay State Southern Illinois 34 23 0.596 0.499 0.423 0.00073
Murray State Southern Illinois 25 28 0.472 0.481 0.356 -0.00047
Jacksonville State Southern Illinois 34 24 0.586 0.519 0.423 0.00073
Jacksonville State Southern Illinois 34 24 0.586 0.519 0.423 0.00073
Jacksonville State Southern Illinois 34 24 0.586 0.519 0.423 0.00073
Belmont Southern Illinois 33 27 0.550 0.453 0.388 0.00010
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.481 0.356 -0.00047
Indiana State Southern Illinois 35 21 0.625 0.511 0.440 0.00103
Indiana State Southern Illinois 35 21 0.625 0.511 0.440 0.00103
Indiana State Southern Illinois 35 21 0.625 0.511 0.440 0.00103
Eastern Illinois Southern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238 -0.00258
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 41 17 0.707 0.534 0.487 0.00187
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 41 17 0.707 0.534 0.487 0.00187
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 41 17 0.707 0.534 0.487 0.00187
Arkansas State Southern Illinois 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382 -0.00000
Illinois State Illinois State 17 37 0.315 0.512 0.285 -0.00174
Illinois State Illinois State 17 37 0.315 0.512 0.285 -0.00174
Illinois State Illinois State 17 37 0.315 0.512 0.285 -0.00174
Wichita State Southern Illinois 21 37 0.362 0.554 0.320 -0.00111
Wichita State Southern Illinois 21 37 0.362 0.554 0.320 -0.00111
Wichita State Southern Illinois 21 37 0.362 0.554 0.320 -0.00111
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411 0.00051
Missouri State Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.488 0.444 0.00110
Missouri State Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.488 0.444 0.00110
Missouri State Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.488 0.444 0.00110
Evansville Evansville 28 27 0.509 0.503 0.380 -0.00004
Evansville Evansville 28 27 0.509 0.503 0.380 -0.00004
Evansville Evansville 28 27 0.509 0.503 0.380 -0.00004
Bradley Southern Illinois 25 21 0.543 0.488 0.394 0.00021
Bradley Southern Illinois 25 21 0.543 0.488 0.394 0.00021
Bradley Southern Illinois 25 21 0.543 0.488 0.394 0.00021
Evansville neutral 28 27 0.509 0.503 0.380 -0.00004
Dallas Baptist neutral 41 17 0.707 0.534 0.487 0.00187
Evansville neutral 28 27 0.509 0.503 0.380 -0.00004

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 130.61 34 23 0.596 0.499 0.423
Eastern Illinois 134.82 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238
Evansville 93.98 28 27 0.509 0.503 0.380
Murray State 89.76 25 28 0.472 0.481 0.356
Southeast Missouri State 32.09 38 19 0.667 0.500 0.459
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 87.10 9 40 0.184 0.495 0.216
St. Louis 84.43 24 31 0.436 0.453 0.331
Tennessee-Martin 96.09 18 34 0.346 0.480 0.293

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 249.93 12 44 0.214 0.403 0.208
Arkansas 296.94 26 29 0.473 0.548 0.373
Arkansas State 151.54 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382
Arkansas-Little Rock 268.86 26 28 0.481 0.530 0.373
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 286.62 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334
Ball State 267.95 32 26 0.552 0.443 0.387
Belmont 172.52 33 27 0.550 0.453 0.388
Bradley 207.10 25 21 0.543 0.488 0.394
Butler 221.19 12 40 0.231 0.496 0.239
Central Arkansas 255.42 29 27 0.518 0.529 0.391
Chicago State 290.10 12 41 0.226 0.433 0.221
Cincinnati 273.16 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Eastern Kentucky 268.91 24 31 0.436 0.473 0.336
Illinois 173.69 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411
Illinois State 194.57 17 37 0.315 0.512 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 299.35 24 30 0.444 0.479 0.342
Indiana 178.17 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409
Indiana State 156.61 35 21 0.625 0.511 0.440
Kentucky 258.52 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418
Lipscomb 173.65 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Louisville 191.56 47 12 0.797 0.583 0.544
Memphis 184.02 22 39 0.361 0.507 0.307
Miami, Ohio 272.60 27 29 0.482 0.467 0.358
Middle Tennessee State 203.35 20 35 0.364 0.544 0.318
Mississippi 231.58 43 17 0.717 0.586 0.505
Mississippi State 294.05 41 16 0.719 0.570 0.502
Missouri 189.17 26 30 0.464 0.541 0.367
Missouri State 225.16 38 21 0.644 0.488 0.444
Northern Illinois 293.26 24 32 0.429 0.464 0.331
Northern Kentucky 273.35 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302
Purdue 224.96 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223
Tennessee Tech 230.30 31 24 0.564 0.440 0.392
Valparaiso 284.44 29 28 0.509 0.492 0.378
Vanderbilt 171.46 43 17 0.717 0.572 0.501
Western Illinois 206.80 13 35 0.271 0.490 0.258
Western Kentucky 159.57 24 30 0.444 0.533 0.355
Xavier 275.49 30 28 0.517 0.532 0.392

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation