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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Southern Illinois

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:03 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.492
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.510
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3735


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
McNeese State McNeese State 23 18 0.561 0.521 0.411 0.00087
McNeese State McNeese State 23 18 0.561 0.521 0.411 0.00087
McNeese State McNeese State 23 18 0.561 0.521 0.411 0.00087
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 26 16 0.619 0.533 0.443 0.00162
Western Illinois Southern Illinois 12 25 0.324 0.482 0.282 -0.00213
Western Illinois Southern Illinois 12 25 0.324 0.482 0.282 -0.00213
Western Illinois Southern Illinois 12 25 0.324 0.482 0.282 -0.00213
Southeast Missouri State Southern Illinois 30 12 0.714 0.490 0.479 0.00245
Iowa Southern Illinois 17 21 0.447 0.565 0.365 -0.00020
Iowa Southern Illinois 17 21 0.447 0.565 0.365 -0.00020
Iowa Southern Illinois 17 21 0.447 0.565 0.365 -0.00020
Belmont Belmont 25 19 0.568 0.428 0.391 0.00041
St. John's Southern Illinois 21 19 0.525 0.462 0.378 0.00010
St. John's Southern Illinois 21 19 0.525 0.462 0.378 0.00010
Arkansas State Arkansas State 20 23 0.465 0.521 0.363 -0.00024
Northern Illinois Southern Illinois 18 25 0.419 0.464 0.326 -0.00110
Illinois Southern Illinois 21 19 0.525 0.528 0.395 0.00050
Illinois Southern Illinois 21 19 0.525 0.528 0.395 0.00050
Northern Illinois Southern Illinois 18 25 0.419 0.464 0.326 -0.00110
Memphis Southern Illinois 15 30 0.333 0.497 0.291 -0.00192
Memphis Southern Illinois 15 30 0.333 0.497 0.291 -0.00192
Memphis Southern Illinois 15 30 0.333 0.497 0.291 -0.00192
Austin Peay State Southern Illinois 26 16 0.619 0.533 0.443 0.00162
Murray State Southern Illinois 20 22 0.476 0.485 0.359 -0.00034
Jacksonville State Southern Illinois 28 15 0.651 0.522 0.456 0.00192
Jacksonville State Southern Illinois 28 15 0.651 0.522 0.456 0.00192
Jacksonville State Southern Illinois 28 15 0.651 0.522 0.456 0.00192
Belmont Southern Illinois 25 19 0.568 0.428 0.391 0.00041
Murray State Murray State 20 22 0.476 0.485 0.359 -0.00034
Indiana State Southern Illinois 27 16 0.628 0.513 0.442 0.00159
Indiana State Southern Illinois 27 16 0.628 0.513 0.442 0.00159
Indiana State Southern Illinois 27 16 0.628 0.513 0.442 0.00159
Eastern Illinois Southern Illinois 5 36 0.122 0.520 0.191 -0.00424
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 28 14 0.667 0.532 0.467 0.00217
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 28 14 0.667 0.532 0.467 0.00217
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 28 14 0.667 0.532 0.467 0.00217
Arkansas State Southern Illinois 20 23 0.465 0.521 0.363 -0.00024
Illinois State Illinois State 14 28 0.333 0.497 0.291 -0.00192
Illinois State Illinois State 14 28 0.333 0.497 0.291 -0.00192
Illinois State Illinois State 14 28 0.333 0.497 0.291 -0.00192
Wichita State Southern Illinois 16 27 0.372 0.568 0.328 -0.00106
Wichita State Southern Illinois 16 27 0.372 0.568 0.328 -0.00106
Wichita State Southern Illinois 16 27 0.372 0.568 0.328 -0.00106

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 130.61 26 16 0.619 0.533 0.443
Eastern Illinois 134.82 5 36 0.122 0.520 0.191
Evansville 93.98 23 17 0.575 0.493 0.411
Murray State 89.76 20 22 0.476 0.485 0.359
Southeast Missouri State 32.09 30 12 0.714 0.490 0.479
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 87.10 9 30 0.231 0.527 0.247
St. Louis 84.43 18 25 0.419 0.436 0.319
Tennessee-Martin 96.09 14 27 0.341 0.473 0.289

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 249.93 12 36 0.250 0.370 0.217
Arkansas 296.94 26 18 0.591 0.542 0.431
Arkansas State 151.54 20 23 0.465 0.521 0.363
Arkansas-Little Rock 268.86 21 20 0.512 0.527 0.388
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 286.62 17 21 0.447 0.401 0.324
Ball State 267.95 27 18 0.600 0.437 0.409
Belmont 172.52 25 19 0.568 0.428 0.391
Bradley 207.10 17 16 0.515 0.474 0.376
Butler 221.19 10 31 0.244 0.463 0.238
Central Arkansas 255.42 18 23 0.439 0.544 0.356
Chicago State 290.10 10 33 0.233 0.437 0.226
Cincinnati 273.16 21 22 0.488 0.547 0.381
Eastern Kentucky 268.91 20 25 0.444 0.465 0.338
Illinois 173.69 21 19 0.525 0.528 0.395
Illinois State 194.57 14 28 0.333 0.497 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 299.35 18 23 0.439 0.468 0.337
Indiana 178.17 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424
Indiana State 156.61 27 16 0.628 0.513 0.442
Kentucky 258.52 27 17 0.614 0.556 0.446
Lipscomb 173.65 23 21 0.523 0.441 0.372
Louisville 191.56 35 9 0.795 0.580 0.542
Memphis 184.02 15 30 0.333 0.497 0.291
Miami, Ohio 272.60 21 22 0.488 0.491 0.367
Middle Tennessee State 203.35 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329
Mississippi 231.58 33 12 0.733 0.595 0.515
Mississippi State 294.05 30 14 0.682 0.601 0.491
Missouri 189.17 24 21 0.533 0.560 0.407
Missouri State 225.16 28 14 0.667 0.460 0.449
Northern Illinois 293.26 18 25 0.419 0.464 0.326
Northern Kentucky 273.35 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295
Purdue 224.96 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221
Tennessee Tech 230.30 23 19 0.548 0.420 0.379
Valparaiso 284.44 19 20 0.487 0.518 0.373
Vanderbilt 171.46 34 10 0.773 0.537 0.521
Western Illinois 206.80 12 25 0.324 0.482 0.282
Western Kentucky 159.57 24 20 0.545 0.526 0.404
Xavier 275.49 19 26 0.422 0.512 0.339

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation