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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. John's

Last updated: Tue May 24 06:53:51 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.486
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.492
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.366


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Richmond neutral 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384 0.00035
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485 0.00233
Western Carolina neutral 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366 0.00000
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 18 35 0.340 0.497 0.294 -0.00141
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 18 35 0.340 0.497 0.294 -0.00141
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 18 35 0.340 0.497 0.294 -0.00141
Florida State Florida State 34 19 0.642 0.594 0.470 0.00204
Florida State Florida State 34 19 0.642 0.594 0.470 0.00204
Florida State Florida State 34 19 0.642 0.594 0.470 0.00204
Iona Iona 11 39 0.220 0.464 0.226 -0.00275
Fairleigh Dickinson Fairleigh Dickinson 26 26 0.500 0.412 0.353 -0.00025
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410 0.00086
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410 0.00086
Fairfield St. John's 29 24 0.547 0.430 0.381 0.00029
Nevada Nevada 33 22 0.600 0.487 0.422 0.00110
Nevada Nevada 33 22 0.600 0.487 0.422 0.00110
Nevada Nevada 33 22 0.600 0.487 0.422 0.00110
LaSalle St. John's 15 39 0.278 0.463 0.255 -0.00218
LaSalle St. John's 15 39 0.278 0.463 0.255 -0.00218
LaSalle St. John's 15 39 0.278 0.463 0.255 -0.00218
Wagner St. John's 19 33 0.365 0.463 0.298 -0.00133
New York Tech St. John's 17 26 0.395 0.404 0.298 -0.00133
New York Tech New York Tech 17 26 0.395 0.404 0.298 -0.00133
Columbia Columbia 17 24 0.415 0.502 0.333 -0.00065
Georgetown St. John's 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352 -0.00027
Georgetown St. John's 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352 -0.00027
Georgetown St. John's 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352 -0.00027
Albany Albany 21 28 0.429 0.465 0.331 -0.00069
Princeton St. John's 24 19 0.558 0.501 0.404 0.00075
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.486 0.314 -0.00102
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.486 0.314 -0.00102
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.486 0.314 -0.00102
St. Peter's St. John's 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203 -0.00320
Xavier Xavier 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378 0.00024
Xavier Xavier 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378 0.00024
Xavier Xavier 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378 0.00024
LIU Brooklyn St. John's 19 35 0.352 0.464 0.292 -0.00145
Louisville Louisville 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00373
Louisville Louisville 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00373
Louisville Louisville 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00373
Iona St. John's 11 39 0.220 0.464 0.226 -0.00275
Butler St. John's 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240 -0.00247
Butler St. John's 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240 -0.00247
Butler St. John's 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240 -0.00247
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 18 0.679 0.438 0.449 0.00163
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 18 0.679 0.438 0.449 0.00163
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 18 0.679 0.438 0.449 0.00163
Albany St. John's 21 28 0.429 0.465 0.331 -0.00069
Creighton St. John's 36 15 0.706 0.499 0.478 0.00220
Creighton St. John's 36 15 0.706 0.499 0.478 0.00220
Creighton St. John's 36 15 0.706 0.499 0.478 0.00220

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 135.12 21 28 0.429 0.465 0.331
Army 47.02 16 32 0.333 0.493 0.290
Binghamton 147.49 27 23 0.540 0.476 0.389
Brown 146.13 15 24 0.385 0.464 0.308
Bryant 143.33 44 10 0.815 0.463 0.523
Central Connecticut State 85.98 23 32 0.418 0.507 0.336
Columbia 12.19 17 24 0.415 0.502 0.333
Connecticut 109.05 33 22 0.600 0.516 0.429
Delaware 126.57 31 22 0.585 0.476 0.411
Delaware State 141.20 13 37 0.260 0.446 0.241
Fairfield 41.22 29 24 0.547 0.430 0.381
Fairleigh Dickinson 17.41 26 26 0.500 0.412 0.353
Fordham 10.64 28 27 0.509 0.449 0.367
Hartford 93.30 36 16 0.692 0.484 0.467
Hofstra 10.14 15 37 0.288 0.492 0.267
Holy Cross 146.64 27 26 0.509 0.464 0.370
Iona 13.27 11 39 0.220 0.464 0.226
LIU Brooklyn 10.06 19 35 0.352 0.464 0.292
LaSalle 85.91 15 39 0.278 0.463 0.255
Lafayette 75.71 14 29 0.326 0.464 0.279
Lehigh 82.64 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332
Manhattan 12.63 22 29 0.431 0.461 0.331
Marist 69.14 24 25 0.490 0.423 0.351
Massachusetts 132.22 18 27 0.400 0.452 0.313
Monmouth 32.88 29 25 0.537 0.458 0.383
New Jersey Tech 19.77 16 36 0.308 0.480 0.274
New York Tech 11.57 17 26 0.395 0.404 0.298
Pennsylvania 91.39 19 22 0.463 0.437 0.341
Princeton 51.97 24 19 0.558 0.501 0.404
Quinnipiac 67.23 21 31 0.404 0.458 0.317
Rhode Island 128.63 27 25 0.519 0.497 0.384
Rider 58.69 18 33 0.353 0.456 0.290
Rutgers 36.74 27 28 0.491 0.535 0.379
Sacred Heart 44.20 29 26 0.527 0.453 0.377
Seton Hall 23.88 38 18 0.679 0.438 0.449
Siena 137.89 23 30 0.434 0.418 0.322
St. Joseph's 91.56 29 21 0.580 0.482 0.410
St. Peter's 15.84 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203
Stony Brook 37.62 24 25 0.490 0.478 0.364
Temple 83.34 0.000
Villanova 89.01 20 32 0.385 0.486 0.314
Wagner 15.86 19 33 0.365 0.463 0.298
Yale 59.36 18 28 0.391 0.490 0.318

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Boston College 175.68 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445
Bucknell 162.78 18 34 0.346 0.474 0.291
Coppin State 189.07 14 37 0.275 0.367 0.229
Cornell 182.83 14 22 0.389 0.450 0.307
Dartmouth 219.78 18 25 0.419 0.459 0.324
George Mason 228.19 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 218.26 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336
Georgetown 213.01 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352
Harvard 178.47 17 24 0.415 0.450 0.320
Maryland 205.67 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406
Maryland-Baltimore County 184.91 28 21 0.571 0.456 0.399
Maryland-Eastern Shore 200.80 16 32 0.333 0.373 0.260
Massachusetts-Lowell 184.57 20 32 0.385 0.497 0.317
Mount St. Mary's 200.91 11 37 0.229 0.440 0.225
Navy 186.96 40 13 0.755 0.414 0.481
Norfolk State 299.08 27 20 0.574 0.364 0.378
Northeastern 177.80 29 25 0.537 0.457 0.383
Old Dominion 297.88 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427
Penn State 212.55 28 27 0.509 0.521 0.385
Richmond 295.85 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384
St. Bonaventure 260.66 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374
Towson 175.17 20 35 0.364 0.497 0.306
Virginia Commonwealth 293.41 36 17 0.679 0.494 0.463
William and Mary 284.95 25 28 0.472 0.524 0.367

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation