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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. John's

Last updated: Sun Jul 24 06:48:55 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.490
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.492
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.368


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Richmond neutral 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 0.00028
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472 0.00193
Western Carolina neutral 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383 0.00028
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 19 37 0.339 0.493 0.293 -0.00139
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 19 37 0.339 0.493 0.293 -0.00139
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 19 37 0.339 0.493 0.293 -0.00139
Florida State Florida State 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00200
Florida State Florida State 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00200
Florida State Florida State 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00200
Iona Iona 11 39 0.220 0.460 0.225 -0.00265
Fairleigh Dickinson Fairleigh Dickinson 28 28 0.500 0.418 0.354 -0.00026
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00067
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00067
Fairfield St. John's 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 0.00033
Nevada Nevada 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426 0.00107
Nevada Nevada 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426 0.00107
Nevada Nevada 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426 0.00107
LaSalle St. John's 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253 -0.00213
LaSalle St. John's 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253 -0.00213
LaSalle St. John's 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253 -0.00213
Wagner St. John's 19 33 0.365 0.454 0.296 -0.00133
New York Tech St. John's 17 26 0.395 0.404 0.298 -0.00130
New York Tech New York Tech 17 26 0.395 0.404 0.298 -0.00130
Columbia Columbia 17 24 0.415 0.493 0.331 -0.00069
Georgetown St. John's 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00033
Georgetown St. John's 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00033
Georgetown St. John's 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00033
Albany Albany 23 30 0.434 0.460 0.332 -0.00067
Princeton St. John's 24 21 0.533 0.500 0.392 0.00044
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314 -0.00100
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314 -0.00100
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314 -0.00100
St. Peter's St. John's 10 42 0.192 0.424 0.202 -0.00307
Xavier Xavier 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00046
Xavier Xavier 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00046
Xavier Xavier 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00046
LIU Brooklyn St. John's 19 35 0.352 0.455 0.290 -0.00144
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00309
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00309
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00309
Iona St. John's 11 39 0.220 0.460 0.225 -0.00265
Butler St. John's 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00239
Butler St. John's 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00239
Butler St. John's 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00239
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438 0.00130
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438 0.00130
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438 0.00130
Albany St. John's 23 30 0.434 0.460 0.332 -0.00067
Creighton St. John's 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00187
Creighton St. John's 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00187
Creighton St. John's 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00187
Xavier neutral 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00046
Seton Hall neutral 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438 0.00130
Creighton neutral 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00187

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 135.12 23 30 0.434 0.460 0.332
Army 47.02 16 32 0.333 0.485 0.288
Binghamton 147.49 30 25 0.545 0.488 0.395
Brown 146.13 15 24 0.385 0.461 0.308
Bryant 143.33 47 12 0.797 0.467 0.515
Central Connecticut State 85.98 23 34 0.404 0.505 0.328
Columbia 12.19 17 24 0.415 0.493 0.331
Connecticut 109.05 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430
Delaware 126.57 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411
Delaware State 141.20 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240
Fairfield 41.22 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Fairleigh Dickinson 17.41 28 28 0.500 0.418 0.354
Fordham 10.64 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362
Hartford 93.30 37 18 0.673 0.483 0.457
Hofstra 10.14 15 37 0.288 0.488 0.266
Holy Cross 146.64 28 27 0.509 0.472 0.372
Iona 13.27 11 39 0.220 0.460 0.225
LIU Brooklyn 10.06 19 35 0.352 0.455 0.290
LaSalle 85.91 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253
Lafayette 75.71 14 29 0.326 0.460 0.278
Lehigh 82.64 23 29 0.442 0.443 0.332
Manhattan 12.63 24 31 0.436 0.460 0.333
Marist 69.14 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341
Massachusetts 132.22 18 27 0.400 0.453 0.313
Monmouth 32.88 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376
New Jersey Tech 19.77 16 36 0.308 0.476 0.273
New York Tech 11.57 17 26 0.395 0.404 0.298
Pennsylvania 91.39 19 22 0.463 0.434 0.340
Princeton 51.97 24 21 0.533 0.500 0.392
Quinnipiac 67.23 21 31 0.404 0.456 0.316
Rhode Island 128.63 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394
Rider 58.69 18 33 0.353 0.450 0.289
Rutgers 36.74 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376
Sacred Heart 44.20 30 28 0.517 0.460 0.373
Seton Hall 23.88 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438
Siena 137.89 25 32 0.439 0.422 0.325
St. Joseph's 91.56 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408
St. Peter's 15.84 10 42 0.192 0.424 0.202
Stony Brook 37.62 27 27 0.500 0.478 0.369
Temple 83.34 0.000
Villanova 89.01 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314
Wagner 15.86 19 33 0.365 0.454 0.296
Yale 59.36 18 28 0.391 0.484 0.317

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Boston College 175.68 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444
Bucknell 162.78 18 34 0.346 0.468 0.290
Coppin State 189.07 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Cornell 182.83 14 22 0.389 0.445 0.306
Dartmouth 219.78 18 25 0.419 0.456 0.324
George Mason 228.19 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 218.26 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 213.01 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
Harvard 178.47 17 24 0.415 0.446 0.319
Maryland 205.67 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 184.91 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Maryland-Eastern Shore 200.80 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259
Massachusetts-Lowell 184.57 20 32 0.385 0.491 0.315
Mount St. Mary's 200.91 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
Navy 186.96 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
Norfolk State 299.08 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
Northeastern 177.80 31 27 0.534 0.452 0.380
Old Dominion 297.88 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Penn State 212.55 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383
Richmond 295.85 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
St. Bonaventure 260.66 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373
Towson 175.17 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305
Virginia Commonwealth 293.41 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
William and Mary 284.95 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation