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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. Louis

Last updated: Sun Jul 24 06:48:55 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.452
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.484
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.347


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Brigham Young neutral 37 17 0.685 0.499 0.467 0.00218
Brigham Young neutral 37 17 0.685 0.499 0.467 0.00218
Brigham Young neutral 37 17 0.685 0.499 0.467 0.00218
Brigham Young neutral 37 17 0.685 0.499 0.467 0.00218
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 28 28 0.500 0.465 0.366 0.00035
Arkansas State neutral 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381 0.00062
Arkansas State neutral 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381 0.00062
Morehead State neutral 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393 0.00084
Chicago State St. Louis 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221 -0.00229
Chicago State St. Louis 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221 -0.00229
Chicago State St. Louis 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221 -0.00229
Eastern Illinois St. Louis 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00200
Purdue neutral 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222 -0.00227
Kansas Kansas 17 35 0.327 0.533 0.297 -0.00091
North Dakota neutral 7 37 0.159 0.447 0.191 -0.00284
Illinois State St. Louis 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285 -0.00113
Butler St. Louis 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00196
Butler St. Louis 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00196
Butler St. Louis 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00196
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215 -0.00240
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00098
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00098
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00098
Missouri neutral 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366 0.00035
George Mason St. Louis 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290 -0.00104
George Mason St. Louis 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290 -0.00104
George Mason St. Louis 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290 -0.00104
Missouri State Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.486 0.444 0.00176
Richmond Richmond 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 0.00065
Richmond Richmond 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 0.00065
Richmond Richmond 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 0.00065
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville St. Louis 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215 -0.00240
Murray State St. Louis 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356 0.00016
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410 0.00115
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410 0.00115
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410 0.00115
Southeast Missouri State St. Louis 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449 0.00185
St. Joseph's St. Louis 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408 0.00111
St. Joseph's St. Louis 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408 0.00111
St. Joseph's St. Louis 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408 0.00111
Davidson St. Louis 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381 0.00062
Davidson St. Louis 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381 0.00062
Davidson St. Louis 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381 0.00062
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449 0.00185
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456 0.00198
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456 0.00198
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456 0.00198
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373 0.00047
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373 0.00047
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373 0.00047
George Washington St. Louis 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00024
George Washington St. Louis 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00024
George Washington St. Louis 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00024
Fordham neutral 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362 0.00027
George Washington neutral 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00024

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 145.77 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393
Eastern Illinois 124.40 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Illinois 147.03 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Illinois State 145.51 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Missouri 115.48 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366
Southeast Missouri State 98.78 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449
Southern Illinois 84.43 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 16.04 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215
Western Illinois 129.34 13 35 0.271 0.486 0.257

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas 280.98 26 29 0.473 0.542 0.372
Arkansas State 194.41 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381
Arkansas-Little Rock 293.86 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372
Austin Peay State 213.86 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Ball State 278.88 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Belmont 255.72 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Butler 232.87 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Central Arkansas 274.61 29 27 0.518 0.525 0.390
Chicago State 253.89 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
Evansville 153.08 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
Illinois-Chicago 261.40 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341
Indiana 203.02 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Indiana State 161.80 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
Iowa 220.52 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395
Kansas 271.39 17 35 0.327 0.533 0.297
Lipscomb 257.03 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Louisville 243.58 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Memphis 244.64 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307
Middle Tennessee State 286.53 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
Mississippi 297.75 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492
Missouri State 193.13 38 21 0.644 0.486 0.444
Murray State 173.93 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
Northern Illinois 240.51 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 272.21 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262
Notre Dame 298.89 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Purdue 214.94 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Tennessee-Martin 175.01 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292
Valparaiso 258.23 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
Vanderbilt 254.72 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Western Kentucky 235.18 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355

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