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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. Louis

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:15 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.488
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.491
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36675


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Pittsburgh neutral 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323 -0.00109
Iowa neutral 24 11 0.686 0.503 0.469 0.00256
Ohio State neutral 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506 0.00348
Kansas State neutral 18 21 0.462 0.599 0.381 0.00036
Troy neutral 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399 0.00081
Southern Mississippi neutral 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427 0.00151
North Florida neutral 32 13 0.711 0.496 0.479 0.00281
Memphis Memphis 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468 0.00253
Memphis Memphis 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468 0.00253
Memphis Memphis 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468 0.00253
St. Peter's St. Louis 7 24 0.226 0.458 0.228 -0.00347
St. Peter's St. Louis 7 24 0.226 0.458 0.228 -0.00347
St. Peter's St. Louis 7 24 0.226 0.458 0.228 -0.00347
St. Peter's St. Louis 7 24 0.226 0.458 0.228 -0.00347
Southeast Missouri State St. Louis 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431 0.00161
Eastern Illinois St. Louis 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220 -0.00367
Northern Colorado St. Louis 11 20 0.355 0.355 0.266 -0.00252
Northern Colorado St. Louis 11 20 0.355 0.355 0.266 -0.00252
Northern Colorado St. Louis 11 20 0.355 0.355 0.266 -0.00252
Tennessee-Martin St. Louis 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245 -0.00304
Rhode Island St. Louis 16 16 0.500 0.534 0.384 0.00043
Rhode Island St. Louis 16 16 0.500 0.534 0.384 0.00043
Rhode Island St. Louis 16 16 0.500 0.534 0.384 0.00043
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431 0.00161
Davidson Davidson 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389 0.00056
Davidson Davidson 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389 0.00056
Davidson Davidson 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389 0.00056
Bradley Bradley 24 10 0.706 0.551 0.491 0.00311
East Tennessee State St. Louis 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00169
East Tennessee State St. Louis 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00169
East Tennessee State St. Louis 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00169
Illinois Illinois 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543 0.00441
LaSalle St. Louis 18 20 0.474 0.486 0.358 -0.00022
LaSalle St. Louis 18 20 0.474 0.486 0.358 -0.00022
LaSalle St. Louis 18 20 0.474 0.486 0.358 -0.00022
Massachusetts St. Louis 11 17 0.393 0.506 0.323 -0.00109
Massachusetts St. Louis 11 17 0.393 0.506 0.323 -0.00109
Massachusetts St. Louis 11 17 0.393 0.506 0.323 -0.00109
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321 -0.00114
Fordham Fordham 16 24 0.400 0.524 0.331 -0.00089
Fordham Fordham 16 24 0.400 0.524 0.331 -0.00089
Fordham Fordham 16 24 0.400 0.524 0.331 -0.00089

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 145.77 24 10 0.706 0.551 0.491
Eastern Illinois 124.40 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Illinois 147.03 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543
Illinois State 145.51 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368
Missouri 115.48 25 16 0.610 0.564 0.446
Southeast Missouri State 98.78 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431
Southern Illinois 84.43 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 16.04 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321
Western Illinois 129.34 10 25 0.286 0.507 0.270

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas 280.98 25 17 0.595 0.580 0.443
Arkansas State 194.41 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349
Arkansas-Little Rock 293.86 14 24 0.368 0.540 0.319
Austin Peay State 213.86 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Ball State 278.88 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428
Belmont 255.72 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Butler 232.87 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Central Arkansas 274.61 20 15 0.571 0.501 0.411
Chicago State 253.89 9 29 0.237 0.429 0.226
Evansville 153.08 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404
Illinois-Chicago 261.40 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380
Indiana 203.02 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Indiana State 161.80 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
Iowa 220.52 24 11 0.686 0.503 0.469
Kansas 271.39 18 24 0.429 0.580 0.359
Lipscomb 257.03 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Louisville 243.58 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Memphis 244.64 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468
Middle Tennessee State 286.53 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
Mississippi 297.75 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407
Missouri State 193.13 29 9 0.763 0.537 0.516
Murray State 173.93 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274
Northern Illinois 240.51 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292
Northwestern 272.21 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301
Notre Dame 298.89 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477
Purdue 214.94 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285
Tennessee-Martin 175.01 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245
Valparaiso 258.23 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314
Vanderbilt 254.72 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Western Kentucky 235.18 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation