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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. Louis

Last updated: Sun May 1 06:56:30 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.433
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.490
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.339


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Brigham Young neutral 29 10 0.744 0.508 0.499 0.00390
Brigham Young neutral 29 10 0.744 0.508 0.499 0.00390
Brigham Young neutral 29 10 0.744 0.508 0.499 0.00390
Brigham Young neutral 29 10 0.744 0.508 0.499 0.00390
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 21 21 0.500 0.460 0.365 0.00063
Arkansas State neutral 20 22 0.476 0.527 0.370 0.00076
Arkansas State neutral 20 22 0.476 0.527 0.370 0.00076
Morehead State neutral 25 18 0.581 0.503 0.416 0.00188
Chicago State St. Louis 9 32 0.220 0.434 0.218 -0.00295
Chicago State St. Louis 9 32 0.220 0.434 0.218 -0.00295
Chicago State St. Louis 9 32 0.220 0.434 0.218 -0.00295
Eastern Illinois St. Louis 5 35 0.125 0.523 0.193 -0.00356
Purdue neutral 7 33 0.175 0.527 0.219 -0.00293
Kansas Kansas 14 23 0.378 0.520 0.319 -0.00049
North Dakota neutral 6 25 0.194 0.500 0.222 -0.00285
Illinois State St. Louis 13 28 0.317 0.486 0.280 -0.00144
Butler St. Louis 10 29 0.256 0.458 0.242 -0.00237
Butler St. Louis 10 29 0.256 0.458 0.242 -0.00237
Butler St. Louis 10 29 0.256 0.458 0.242 -0.00237
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 8 29 0.216 0.539 0.243 -0.00234
Dayton Dayton 16 28 0.364 0.472 0.300 -0.00095
Dayton Dayton 16 28 0.364 0.472 0.300 -0.00095
Dayton Dayton 16 28 0.364 0.472 0.300 -0.00095
Missouri neutral 22 21 0.512 0.563 0.397 0.00141
George Mason St. Louis 14 28 0.333 0.460 0.282 -0.00139
George Mason St. Louis 14 28 0.333 0.460 0.282 -0.00139
George Mason St. Louis 14 28 0.333 0.460 0.282 -0.00139
Missouri State Missouri State 28 13 0.683 0.452 0.455 0.00283
Richmond Richmond 22 17 0.564 0.478 0.401 0.00151
Richmond Richmond 22 17 0.564 0.478 0.401 0.00151
Richmond Richmond 22 17 0.564 0.478 0.401 0.00151
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville St. Louis 8 29 0.216 0.539 0.243 -0.00234
Murray State St. Louis 20 21 0.488 0.468 0.361 0.00054
Illinois Illinois 21 18 0.538 0.523 0.400 0.00149
Illinois Illinois 21 18 0.538 0.523 0.400 0.00149
Illinois Illinois 21 18 0.538 0.523 0.400 0.00149
Southeast Missouri State St. Louis 29 12 0.707 0.488 0.475 0.00332
St. Joseph's St. Louis 21 16 0.568 0.486 0.405 0.00161
St. Joseph's St. Louis 21 16 0.568 0.486 0.405 0.00161
St. Joseph's St. Louis 21 16 0.568 0.486 0.405 0.00161
Davidson St. Louis 21 21 0.500 0.478 0.369 0.00073
Davidson St. Louis 21 21 0.500 0.478 0.369 0.00073

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 145.77 16 16 0.500 0.474 0.368
Eastern Illinois 124.40 5 35 0.125 0.523 0.193
Illinois 147.03 21 18 0.538 0.523 0.400
Illinois State 145.51 13 28 0.317 0.486 0.280
Missouri 115.48 22 21 0.512 0.563 0.397
Southeast Missouri State 98.78 29 12 0.707 0.488 0.475
Southern Illinois 84.43 23 18 0.561 0.500 0.406
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 16.04 8 29 0.216 0.539 0.243
Western Illinois 129.34 11 24 0.314 0.488 0.279

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas 280.98 25 16 0.610 0.519 0.435
Arkansas State 194.41 20 22 0.476 0.527 0.370
Arkansas-Little Rock 293.86 20 18 0.526 0.526 0.395
Austin Peay State 213.86 25 16 0.610 0.528 0.437
Ball State 278.88 26 17 0.605 0.441 0.413
Belmont 255.72 24 18 0.571 0.409 0.388
Butler 232.87 10 29 0.256 0.458 0.242
Central Arkansas 274.61 17 22 0.436 0.540 0.353
Chicago State 253.89 9 32 0.220 0.434 0.218
Evansville 153.08 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Illinois-Chicago 261.40 16 23 0.410 0.462 0.321
Indiana 203.02 25 16 0.610 0.465 0.421
Indiana State 161.80 26 16 0.619 0.504 0.435
Iowa 220.52 16 20 0.444 0.575 0.366
Kansas 271.39 14 23 0.378 0.520 0.319
Lipscomb 257.03 22 21 0.512 0.443 0.367
Louisville 243.58 34 9 0.791 0.581 0.541
Memphis 244.64 14 28 0.333 0.494 0.290
Middle Tennessee State 286.53 17 26 0.395 0.560 0.338
Mississippi 297.75 32 12 0.727 0.598 0.513
Missouri State 193.13 28 13 0.683 0.452 0.455
Murray State 173.93 20 21 0.488 0.468 0.361
Northern Illinois 240.51 16 25 0.390 0.461 0.310
Northwestern 272.21 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245
Notre Dame 298.89 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440
Purdue 214.94 7 33 0.175 0.527 0.219
Tennessee-Martin 175.01 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288
Valparaiso 258.23 19 18 0.514 0.526 0.389
Vanderbilt 254.72 32 10 0.762 0.536 0.515
Western Kentucky 235.18 23 20 0.535 0.532 0.401

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation