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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. Louis

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:39 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.423
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.496
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3355


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Alabama Alabama 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459 0.00274
Alabama Alabama 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459 0.00274
Alabama Alabama 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459 0.00274
Akron neutral 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367 0.00070
Duke Duke 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00234
LaSalle neutral 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268 -0.00150
St. Peter's neutral 11 34 0.244 0.508 0.249 -0.00192
St. Peter's neutral 11 34 0.244 0.508 0.249 -0.00192
Wake Forest Wake Forest 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405 0.00154
Stony Brook neutral 27 15 0.643 0.450 0.434 0.00219
North Dakota St. Louis 9 23 0.281 0.444 0.252 -0.00186
North Dakota neutral 9 23 0.281 0.444 0.252 -0.00186
North Dakota St. Louis 9 23 0.281 0.444 0.252 -0.00186
North Dakota St. Louis 9 23 0.281 0.444 0.252 -0.00186
Bradley neutral 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355 0.00043
Memphis St. Louis 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00117
Memphis St. Louis 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00117
Memphis St. Louis 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00117
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439 0.00230
Rhode Island Rhode Island 11 34 0.244 0.520 0.252 -0.00186
Rhode Island Rhode Island 11 34 0.244 0.520 0.252 -0.00186
Rhode Island Rhode Island 11 34 0.244 0.520 0.252 -0.00186
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306 -0.00066
George Washington St. Louis 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289 -0.00103
George Washington St. Louis 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289 -0.00103
George Washington St. Louis 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289 -0.00103
Missouri State Missouri State 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351 0.00034
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262 -0.00163
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262 -0.00163
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville St. Louis 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317 -0.00041
Massachusetts Massachusetts 11 28 0.282 0.491 0.264 -0.00159
Massachusetts Massachusetts 11 28 0.282 0.491 0.264 -0.00159
Massachusetts Massachusetts 11 28 0.282 0.491 0.264 -0.00159
Southeast Missouri State St. Louis 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439 0.00230
Richmond St. Louis 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361 0.00057
Richmond St. Louis 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361 0.00057
Richmond St. Louis 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361 0.00057
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215 -0.00268
George Mason George Mason 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420 0.00188
George Mason George Mason 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420 0.00188
George Mason George Mason 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420 0.00188
Eastern Illinois St. Louis 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306 -0.00066
Dayton St. Louis 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337 0.00003
Dayton St. Louis 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337 0.00003
Dayton St. Louis 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337 0.00003

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 145.77 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355
Eastern Illinois 124.40 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Illinois 147.03 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 145.51 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Missouri 115.48 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353
Southeast Missouri State 98.78 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439
Southern Illinois 84.43 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 16.04 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317
Western Illinois 129.34 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas 280.98 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436
Arkansas State 194.41 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426
Arkansas-Little Rock 293.86 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354
Austin Peay State 213.86 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Ball State 278.88 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Belmont 255.72 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Butler 232.87 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Central Arkansas 274.61 23 21 0.523 0.513 0.390
Chicago State 253.89 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253
Evansville 153.08 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
Illinois-Chicago 261.40 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375
Indiana 203.02 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Indiana State 161.80 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Iowa 220.52 25 17 0.595 0.491 0.420
Kansas 271.39 30 20 0.600 0.547 0.437
Lipscomb 257.03 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Louisville 243.58 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Memphis 244.64 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388
Middle Tennessee State 286.53 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Mississippi 297.75 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497
Missouri State 193.13 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351
Murray State 173.93 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328
Northern Illinois 240.51 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290
Northwestern 272.21 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268
Notre Dame 298.89 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Purdue 214.94 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Tennessee-Martin 175.01 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215
Valparaiso 258.23 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
Vanderbilt 254.72 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Western Kentucky 235.18 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation