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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. Louis

Last updated: Tue May 31 06:48:10 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.453
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.486
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.348


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Brigham Young neutral 37 17 0.685 0.503 0.468 0.00218
Brigham Young neutral 37 17 0.685 0.503 0.468 0.00218
Brigham Young neutral 37 17 0.685 0.503 0.468 0.00218
Brigham Young neutral 37 17 0.685 0.503 0.468 0.00218
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 28 28 0.500 0.469 0.367 0.00035
Arkansas State neutral 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382 0.00062
Arkansas State neutral 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382 0.00062
Morehead State neutral 31 27 0.534 0.505 0.393 0.00082
Chicago State St. Louis 12 41 0.226 0.433 0.221 -0.00231
Chicago State St. Louis 12 41 0.226 0.433 0.221 -0.00231
Chicago State St. Louis 12 41 0.226 0.433 0.221 -0.00231
Eastern Illinois St. Louis 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238 -0.00200
Purdue neutral 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223 -0.00227
Kansas Kansas 17 35 0.327 0.534 0.297 -0.00093
North Dakota neutral 7 37 0.159 0.448 0.192 -0.00284
Illinois State St. Louis 17 37 0.315 0.512 0.285 -0.00115
Butler St. Louis 12 40 0.231 0.496 0.239 -0.00198
Butler St. Louis 12 40 0.231 0.496 0.239 -0.00198
Butler St. Louis 12 40 0.231 0.496 0.239 -0.00198
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.495 0.216 -0.00240
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294 -0.00098
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294 -0.00098
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294 -0.00098
Missouri neutral 26 30 0.464 0.541 0.367 0.00035
George Mason St. Louis 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291 -0.00104
George Mason St. Louis 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291 -0.00104
George Mason St. Louis 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291 -0.00104
Missouri State Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.488 0.444 0.00175
Richmond Richmond 28 24 0.538 0.458 0.384 0.00065
Richmond Richmond 28 24 0.538 0.458 0.384 0.00065
Richmond Richmond 28 24 0.538 0.458 0.384 0.00065
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville St. Louis 9 40 0.184 0.495 0.216 -0.00240
Murray State St. Louis 25 28 0.472 0.481 0.356 0.00015
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411 0.00115
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411 0.00115
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411 0.00115
Southeast Missouri State St. Louis 38 19 0.667 0.500 0.459 0.00202
St. Joseph's St. Louis 31 23 0.574 0.487 0.409 0.00111
St. Joseph's St. Louis 31 23 0.574 0.487 0.409 0.00111
St. Joseph's St. Louis 31 23 0.574 0.487 0.409 0.00111
Davidson St. Louis 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382 0.00062
Davidson St. Louis 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382 0.00062
Davidson St. Louis 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382 0.00062
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 38 19 0.667 0.500 0.459 0.00202
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456 0.00196
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456 0.00196
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456 0.00196
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 26 22 0.542 0.409 0.373 0.00045
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 26 22 0.542 0.409 0.373 0.00045
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 26 22 0.542 0.409 0.373 0.00045
George Washington St. Louis 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00025
George Washington St. Louis 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00025
George Washington St. Louis 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00025
Fordham neutral 29 29 0.500 0.452 0.363 0.00027
George Washington neutral 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00025

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 145.77 25 21 0.543 0.488 0.394
Eastern Illinois 124.40 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238
Illinois 147.03 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411
Illinois State 145.51 17 37 0.315 0.512 0.285
Missouri 115.48 26 30 0.464 0.541 0.367
Southeast Missouri State 98.78 38 19 0.667 0.500 0.459
Southern Illinois 84.43 31 25 0.554 0.510 0.405
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 16.04 9 40 0.184 0.495 0.216
Western Illinois 129.34 13 35 0.271 0.490 0.258

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas 280.98 26 29 0.473 0.548 0.373
Arkansas State 194.41 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382
Arkansas-Little Rock 293.86 26 28 0.481 0.530 0.373
Austin Peay State 213.86 34 23 0.596 0.499 0.423
Ball State 278.88 32 26 0.552 0.443 0.387
Belmont 255.72 33 27 0.550 0.453 0.388
Butler 232.87 12 40 0.231 0.496 0.239
Central Arkansas 274.61 29 27 0.518 0.529 0.391
Chicago State 253.89 12 41 0.226 0.433 0.221
Evansville 153.08 28 27 0.509 0.503 0.380
Illinois-Chicago 261.40 24 30 0.444 0.479 0.342
Indiana 203.02 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409
Indiana State 161.80 35 21 0.625 0.511 0.440
Iowa 220.52 27 26 0.509 0.563 0.395
Kansas 271.39 17 35 0.327 0.534 0.297
Lipscomb 257.03 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Louisville 243.58 47 12 0.797 0.583 0.544
Memphis 244.64 22 39 0.361 0.507 0.307
Middle Tennessee State 286.53 20 35 0.364 0.544 0.318
Mississippi 297.75 43 17 0.717 0.586 0.505
Missouri State 193.13 38 21 0.644 0.488 0.444
Murray State 173.93 25 28 0.472 0.481 0.356
Northern Illinois 240.51 24 32 0.429 0.464 0.331
Northwestern 272.21 15 38 0.283 0.487 0.263
Notre Dame 298.89 27 27 0.500 0.542 0.386
Purdue 214.94 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223
Tennessee-Martin 175.01 18 34 0.346 0.480 0.293
Valparaiso 258.23 29 28 0.509 0.492 0.378
Vanderbilt 254.72 43 17 0.717 0.572 0.501
Western Kentucky 235.18 24 30 0.444 0.533 0.355

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