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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. Mary's

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:15 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.432
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.505
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.34225


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Seattle Seattle 20 20 0.500 0.430 0.357 0.00038
Seattle Seattle 20 20 0.500 0.430 0.357 0.00038
Seattle Seattle 20 20 0.500 0.430 0.357 0.00038
Seattle Seattle 20 20 0.500 0.430 0.357 0.00038
Eastern Michigan St. Mary's 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335 -0.00019
Eastern Michigan St. Mary's 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335 -0.00019
Eastern Michigan St. Mary's 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335 -0.00019
Eastern Michigan St. Mary's 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335 -0.00019
Cal State Northridge St. Mary's 25 15 0.625 0.553 0.451 0.00279
Cal State Northridge St. Mary's 25 15 0.625 0.553 0.451 0.00279
Cal State Northridge St. Mary's 25 15 0.625 0.553 0.451 0.00279
Cal State Northridge St. Mary's 25 15 0.625 0.553 0.451 0.00279
Utah Valley Utah Valley 12 25 0.324 0.501 0.287 -0.00142
Utah Valley Utah Valley 12 25 0.324 0.501 0.287 -0.00142
Utah Valley Utah Valley 12 25 0.324 0.501 0.287 -0.00142
Utah Valley Utah Valley 12 25 0.324 0.501 0.287 -0.00142
Pacific St. Mary's 9 30 0.231 0.512 0.243 -0.00254
Pacific St. Mary's 9 30 0.231 0.512 0.243 -0.00254
Pacific St. Mary's 9 30 0.231 0.512 0.243 -0.00254
San Jose State San Jose State 10 32 0.238 0.531 0.252 -0.00231
Portland St. Mary's 9 34 0.209 0.505 0.231 -0.00285
Portland St. Mary's 9 34 0.209 0.505 0.231 -0.00285
Portland St. Mary's 9 34 0.209 0.505 0.231 -0.00285
Northwestern St. Mary's 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301 -0.00106
Northwestern St. Mary's 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301 -0.00106
San Francisco San Francisco 22 22 0.500 0.485 0.371 0.00074
San Francisco San Francisco 22 22 0.500 0.485 0.371 0.00074
San Francisco San Francisco 22 22 0.500 0.485 0.371 0.00074
UC Davis UC Davis 23 16 0.590 0.451 0.408 0.00169
Loyola Marymount St. Mary's 26 16 0.619 0.486 0.431 0.00228
Loyola Marymount St. Mary's 26 16 0.619 0.486 0.431 0.00228
Loyola Marymount St. Mary's 26 16 0.619 0.486 0.431 0.00228
Gonzaga Gonzaga 20 19 0.513 0.522 0.387 0.00115
Gonzaga Gonzaga 20 19 0.513 0.522 0.387 0.00115
Gonzaga Gonzaga 20 19 0.513 0.522 0.387 0.00115
San Jose State St. Mary's 10 32 0.238 0.531 0.252 -0.00231
Pepperdine Pepperdine 22 20 0.524 0.489 0.384 0.00107
Pepperdine Pepperdine 22 20 0.524 0.489 0.384 0.00107
Pepperdine Pepperdine 22 20 0.524 0.489 0.384 0.00107
San Diego St. Mary's 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420 0.00199
San Diego St. Mary's 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420 0.00199
San Diego St. Mary's 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420 0.00199

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Sacramento 62.03 21 19 0.525 0.433 0.371
California 8.47 24 14 0.632 0.518 0.446
Fresno State 147.66 21 21 0.500 0.595 0.399
Pacific 44.41 9 30 0.231 0.512 0.243
San Francisco 18.84 22 22 0.500 0.485 0.371
San Jose State 38.42 10 32 0.238 0.531 0.252
Santa Clara 35.40 16 24 0.400 0.503 0.326
Stanford 28.34 18 21 0.462 0.559 0.371
UC Davis 52.14 23 16 0.590 0.451 0.408

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 239.73 24 15 0.615 0.465 0.424
Cal Poly 192.58 18 20 0.474 0.513 0.365
Nevada 171.16 32 10 0.762 0.452 0.494
UC Santa Barbara 267.93 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation