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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. Mary's

Last updated: Wed Jul 27 06:49:15 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.539
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.510
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.397


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Seattle St. Mary's 37 21 0.638 0.464 0.435 0.00066
Seattle St. Mary's 37 21 0.638 0.464 0.435 0.00066
Seattle St. Mary's 37 21 0.638 0.464 0.435 0.00066
Seattle St. Mary's 37 21 0.638 0.464 0.435 0.00066
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00143
Central Michigan neutral 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00145
Tennessee neutral 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 -0.00012
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 25 28 0.472 0.468 0.353 -0.00076
Stanford Stanford 31 23 0.574 0.515 0.416 0.00033
CSU Bakersfield neutral 19 37 0.339 0.493 0.293 -0.00179
Northwestern State neutral 33 24 0.579 0.542 0.425 0.00048
CSU Bakersfield neutral 19 37 0.339 0.493 0.293 -0.00179
Arizona Arizona 49 24 0.671 0.575 0.479 0.00141
Utah St. Mary's 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374 -0.00040
Nevada St. Mary's 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426 0.00050
San Diego San Diego 27 29 0.482 0.521 0.371 -0.00045
San Diego San Diego 27 29 0.482 0.521 0.371 -0.00045
San Diego San Diego 27 29 0.482 0.521 0.371 -0.00045
Fresno State St. Mary's 36 22 0.621 0.489 0.433 0.00062
Gonzaga St. Mary's 36 21 0.632 0.510 0.444 0.00081
Gonzaga St. Mary's 36 21 0.632 0.510 0.444 0.00081
Gonzaga St. Mary's 36 21 0.632 0.510 0.444 0.00081
Santa Clara Santa Clara 23 29 0.442 0.496 0.345 -0.00090
Santa Clara Santa Clara 23 29 0.442 0.496 0.345 -0.00090
Santa Clara Santa Clara 23 29 0.442 0.496 0.345 -0.00090
Nevada Nevada 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426 0.00050
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328 -0.00119
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328 -0.00119
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328 -0.00119
Brigham Young St. Mary's 37 17 0.685 0.499 0.467 0.00121
Brigham Young St. Mary's 37 17 0.685 0.499 0.467 0.00121
Brigham Young St. Mary's 37 17 0.685 0.499 0.467 0.00121
UC Davis St. Mary's 17 36 0.321 0.520 0.290 -0.00184
Washington Washington 33 23 0.589 0.538 0.429 0.00055
Washington Washington 33 23 0.589 0.538 0.429 0.00055
Washington Washington 33 23 0.589 0.538 0.429 0.00055
Washington Washington 33 23 0.589 0.538 0.429 0.00055
UC Santa Barbara St. Mary's 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00143
San Francisco St. Mary's 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328 -0.00119
San Francisco St. Mary's 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328 -0.00119
San Francisco St. Mary's 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328 -0.00119
Fresno State Fresno State 36 22 0.621 0.489 0.433 0.00062
Loyola Marymount Loyola Marymount 26 27 0.491 0.507 0.372 -0.00043
Loyola Marymount Loyola Marymount 26 27 0.491 0.507 0.372 -0.00043
Loyola Marymount Loyola Marymount 26 27 0.491 0.507 0.372 -0.00043
San Jose State St. Mary's 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280 -0.00202
Pepperdine St. Mary's 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407 0.00017
Pepperdine St. Mary's 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407 0.00017
Pepperdine St. Mary's 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407 0.00017
Portland Portland 17 37 0.315 0.508 0.284 -0.00195
Portland Portland 17 37 0.315 0.508 0.284 -0.00195
Portland Portland 17 37 0.315 0.508 0.284 -0.00195
Oregon Oregon 29 26 0.527 0.536 0.398 0.00002
Pepperdine neutral 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407 0.00017
Gonzaga neutral 36 21 0.632 0.510 0.444 0.00081
Gonzaga neutral 36 21 0.632 0.510 0.444 0.00081
Coastal Carolina neutral 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521 0.00214
Navy neutral 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468 0.00122

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Sacramento 62.03 0.000
California 8.47 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428
Fresno State 147.66 36 22 0.621 0.489 0.433
Pacific 44.41 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328
San Francisco 18.84 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328
San Jose State 38.42 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280
Santa Clara 35.40 23 29 0.442 0.496 0.345
Stanford 28.34 31 23 0.574 0.515 0.416
UC Davis 52.14 17 36 0.321 0.520 0.290

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 239.73 19 37 0.339 0.493 0.293
Cal Poly 192.58 32 25 0.561 0.491 0.403
Nevada 171.16 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426
UC Santa Barbara 267.93 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation