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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Tennessee

Last updated: Thu May 5 06:58:18 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.553
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.528
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4085


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Memphis neutral 15 30 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00263
Memphis neutral 15 30 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00263
Memphis neutral 15 30 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00263
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 22 20 0.524 0.473 0.380 -0.00063
St. Mary's neutral 24 18 0.571 0.542 0.421 0.00028
Central Michigan neutral 11 32 0.256 0.498 0.253 -0.00346
Cincinnati Tennessee 21 23 0.477 0.551 0.376 -0.00072
Maryland neutral 24 19 0.558 0.564 0.420 0.00026
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.573 0.457 0.00108
Southeastern Louisiana neutral 31 13 0.705 0.499 0.477 0.00152
Western Kentucky Tennessee 24 21 0.533 0.532 0.400 -0.00019
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327 -0.00181
UC Irvine Tennessee 25 17 0.595 0.466 0.414 0.00012
UC Irvine Tennessee 25 17 0.595 0.466 0.414 0.00012
UC Irvine Tennessee 25 17 0.595 0.466 0.414 0.00012
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 14 27 0.341 0.432 0.279 -0.00288
Mississippi Tennessee 33 12 0.733 0.593 0.515 0.00237
Mississippi Tennessee 33 12 0.733 0.593 0.515 0.00237
Mississippi Tennessee 33 12 0.733 0.593 0.515 0.00237
Tennessee Tech Tennessee 23 19 0.548 0.417 0.378 -0.00068
Alabama Alabama 25 20 0.556 0.561 0.418 0.00021
Alabama Alabama 25 20 0.556 0.561 0.418 0.00021
Alabama Alabama 25 20 0.556 0.561 0.418 0.00021
Middle Tennessee State Tennessee 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329 -0.00177
North Carolina-Asheville Tennessee 14 27 0.341 0.432 0.279 -0.00288
Kentucky Tennessee 27 18 0.600 0.554 0.439 0.00068
Kentucky Tennessee 27 18 0.600 0.554 0.439 0.00068
Kentucky Tennessee 27 18 0.600 0.554 0.439 0.00068
Morehead State Tennessee 25 20 0.556 0.511 0.406 -0.00006
South Carolina South Carolina 34 9 0.791 0.582 0.541 0.00294
South Carolina South Carolina 34 9 0.791 0.582 0.541 0.00294
South Carolina South Carolina 34 9 0.791 0.582 0.541 0.00294
Appalachian State Tennessee 14 31 0.311 0.496 0.279 -0.00288
Auburn Auburn 20 24 0.455 0.581 0.373 -0.00079
Auburn Auburn 20 24 0.455 0.581 0.373 -0.00079
Auburn Auburn 20 24 0.455 0.581 0.373 -0.00079
Middle Tennessee State Middle Tennessee State 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329 -0.00177
Vanderbilt Tennessee 35 10 0.778 0.537 0.523 0.00254
Vanderbilt Tennessee 35 10 0.778 0.537 0.523 0.00254
Vanderbilt Tennessee 35 10 0.778 0.537 0.523 0.00254
Eastern Kentucky Tennessee 21 25 0.457 0.466 0.345 -0.00141
Alabama State Tennessee 31 14 0.689 0.427 0.451 0.00094
Missouri Missouri 24 22 0.522 0.558 0.401 -0.00017
Missouri Missouri 24 22 0.522 0.558 0.401 -0.00017
Missouri Missouri 24 22 0.522 0.558 0.401 -0.00017

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 126.18 14 31 0.311 0.496 0.279
Clemson 106.86 28 15 0.651 0.599 0.475
East Tennessee State 90.83 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327
Eastern Kentucky 125.14 21 25 0.457 0.466 0.345
Furman 109.76 20 24 0.455 0.546 0.364
Gardner-Webb 136.01 31 16 0.660 0.430 0.438
Georgia 142.21 22 23 0.489 0.648 0.406
Kennesaw State 137.41 20 23 0.465 0.502 0.358
Kentucky 146.99 27 18 0.600 0.554 0.439
Middle Tennessee State 136.56 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329
North Carolina-Asheville 79.54 14 27 0.341 0.432 0.279
South Carolina-Upstate 128.13 18 23 0.439 0.452 0.333
Tennessee Tech 89.87 23 19 0.548 0.417 0.378
Western Carolina 61.42 22 21 0.512 0.522 0.387
Wofford 131.63 26 20 0.565 0.480 0.402

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 279.43 25 20 0.556 0.561 0.418
Alabama A&M 169.69 12 37 0.245 0.373 0.216
Alabama State 282.21 31 14 0.689 0.427 0.451
Alabama-Birmingham 235.01 19 24 0.442 0.584 0.367
Auburn 247.96 20 24 0.455 0.581 0.373
Austin Peay State 195.21 26 16 0.619 0.530 0.442
Belmont 159.99 25 19 0.568 0.427 0.391
Butler 295.54 10 31 0.244 0.464 0.238
Campbell 293.81 22 21 0.512 0.499 0.381
Cincinnati 222.05 21 23 0.477 0.551 0.376
Davidson 175.92 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369
Dayton 261.96 16 29 0.356 0.481 0.298
Duke 278.74 25 20 0.556 0.580 0.423
Elon 247.30 22 23 0.489 0.500 0.369
Evansville 243.26 24 17 0.585 0.494 0.416
Georgia Southern 272.40 27 18 0.600 0.470 0.417
Georgia State 157.51 20 22 0.476 0.473 0.356
Georgia Tech 152.39 30 14 0.682 0.570 0.484
High Point 219.99 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446
Indiana 264.22 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424
Jacksonville State 180.27 28 16 0.636 0.523 0.449
Liberty 280.52 22 23 0.489 0.523 0.375
Lipscomb 160.70 23 21 0.523 0.442 0.372
Louisville 185.77 36 9 0.800 0.578 0.544
Marshall 208.78 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Mercer 216.21 28 17 0.622 0.499 0.436
Miami, Ohio 250.11 21 22 0.488 0.493 0.367
Morehead State 157.50 25 20 0.556 0.511 0.406
Murray State 248.76 20 23 0.465 0.485 0.354
North Carolina 273.36 29 15 0.659 0.595 0.478
North Carolina A&T 232.21 10 37 0.213 0.470 0.224
North Carolina Central 281.07 22 25 0.468 0.399 0.334
North Carolina State 294.12 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511
North Carolina-Charlotte 184.56 19 26 0.422 0.541 0.346
North Carolina-Greensboro 230.16 33 13 0.717 0.498 0.483
Northern Kentucky 214.74 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295
Ohio 253.57 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346
Ohio State 284.81 28 15 0.651 0.454 0.439
Presbyterian 155.41 23 21 0.523 0.463 0.377
Radford 205.29 14 30 0.318 0.552 0.297
Samford 236.67 26 19 0.578 0.542 0.424
South Carolina 212.36 34 9 0.791 0.582 0.541
Tennessee-Martin 277.01 14 27 0.341 0.472 0.288
VMI 278.86 18 30 0.375 0.478 0.307
Vanderbilt 161.36 35 10 0.778 0.537 0.523
Virginia Tech 213.32 15 31 0.326 0.539 0.298
Wake Forest 205.81 27 17 0.614 0.564 0.448
Western Kentucky 157.77 24 21 0.533 0.532 0.400
Winthrop 177.88 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381
Wright State 265.10 30 13 0.698 0.459 0.464
Xavier 223.19 19 26 0.422 0.511 0.339

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation