Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Toledo

Last updated: Sat Apr 30 07:01:29 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.506
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.491
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37575


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Ohio State neutral 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439 0.00154
Niagara neutral 12 26 0.316 0.480 0.278 -0.00238
Pittsburgh neutral 21 14 0.600 0.554 0.439 0.00154
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 18 24 0.429 0.538 0.349 -0.00065
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 18 24 0.429 0.538 0.349 -0.00065
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 18 24 0.429 0.538 0.349 -0.00065
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 18 24 0.429 0.538 0.349 -0.00065
Duke Duke 24 18 0.571 0.569 0.428 0.00127
Duke Duke 24 18 0.571 0.569 0.428 0.00127
Duke Duke 24 18 0.571 0.569 0.428 0.00127
Florida A&M Florida A&M 24 14 0.632 0.427 0.423 0.00115
Florida State Florida State 28 11 0.718 0.624 0.515 0.00340
Jacksonville Jacksonville 25 14 0.641 0.522 0.451 0.00184
Jacksonville Jacksonville 25 14 0.641 0.522 0.451 0.00184
Jacksonville Jacksonville 25 14 0.641 0.522 0.451 0.00184
Notre Dame Notre Dame 24 16 0.600 0.541 0.435 0.00145
Indiana Indiana 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414 0.00093
Indiana Indiana 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414 0.00093
Indiana Indiana 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414 0.00093
Indiana Indiana 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414 0.00093
Dayton Dayton 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284 -0.00224
Buffalo Toledo 12 24 0.333 0.434 0.275 -0.00246
Buffalo Toledo 12 24 0.333 0.434 0.275 -0.00246
Buffalo Toledo 12 24 0.333 0.434 0.275 -0.00246
Ohio State Ohio State 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439 0.00154
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 15 25 0.375 0.427 0.294 -0.00199
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 15 25 0.375 0.427 0.294 -0.00199
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 15 25 0.375 0.427 0.294 -0.00199
Youngstown State Youngstown State 9 26 0.257 0.516 0.258 -0.00287
Kent State Kent State 30 10 0.750 0.446 0.486 0.00269
Kent State Kent State 30 10 0.750 0.446 0.486 0.00269
Kent State Kent State 30 10 0.750 0.446 0.486 0.00269
Wright State Wright State 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464 0.00215
Wright State Wright State 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464 0.00215
Wright State Toledo 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464 0.00215
Dayton Toledo 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284 -0.00224
Michigan Michigan 28 10 0.737 0.511 0.496 0.00293
Central Michigan Central Michigan 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252 -0.00302
Central Michigan Central Michigan 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252 -0.00302
Central Michigan Central Michigan 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252 -0.00302
Michigan State Michigan State 28 10 0.737 0.465 0.485 0.00266
Western Michigan Toledo 11 25 0.306 0.485 0.274 -0.00248

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 114.93 0.000
Ball State 136.98 25 17 0.595 0.439 0.407
Bowling Green State 18.08 15 25 0.375 0.427 0.294
Central Michigan 146.66 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252
Dayton 135.53 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284
Eastern Michigan 42.68 15 22 0.405 0.509 0.330
IPFW 86.14 16 21 0.432 0.415 0.320
Kent State 121.84 30 10 0.750 0.446 0.486
Michigan 43.95 28 10 0.737 0.511 0.496
Michigan State 88.17 28 10 0.737 0.465 0.485
Notre Dame 135.97 24 16 0.600 0.541 0.435
Oakland 73.99 16 15 0.516 0.443 0.369
Ohio State 116.59 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439
Western Michigan 112.35 11 25 0.306 0.485 0.274
Wright State 130.41 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464
Youngstown State 149.97 9 26 0.257 0.516 0.258

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Buffalo 263.05 12 24 0.333 0.434 0.275
Butler 183.09 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246
Canisius 257.82 23 18 0.561 0.430 0.388
Chicago State 207.12 9 31 0.225 0.432 0.221
Cincinnati 180.14 20 21 0.488 0.541 0.379
Eastern Illinois 283.28 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199
Eastern Kentucky 272.41 17 25 0.405 0.485 0.324
Illinois 264.57 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400
Illinois State 291.99 12 27 0.308 0.481 0.274
Illinois-Chicago 209.53 16 22 0.421 0.460 0.326
Indiana 229.41 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414
Indiana State 250.07 24 16 0.600 0.495 0.424
Kentucky 254.23 26 15 0.634 0.571 0.460
Louisville 263.68 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535
Marshall 250.21 21 17 0.553 0.528 0.409
Miami, Ohio 158.70 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368
Morehead State 238.40 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404
Niagara 254.07 12 26 0.316 0.480 0.278
Northern Illinois 267.85 15 25 0.375 0.468 0.304
Northern Kentucky 186.27 15 27 0.357 0.459 0.293
Northwestern 212.92 10 29 0.256 0.488 0.250
Ohio 178.08 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327
Pittsburgh 206.33 21 14 0.600 0.554 0.439
Purdue 193.20 7 31 0.184 0.520 0.222
St. Bonaventure 264.56 18 16 0.529 0.383 0.360
Valparaiso 178.19 18 18 0.500 0.530 0.383
West Virginia 233.88 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 243.09 16 19 0.457 0.473 0.347
Xavier 178.25 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation