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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Toledo

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:40 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.511
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.484
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3765


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Xavier neutral 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00025
Furman neutral 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00112
Norfolk State neutral 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328 -0.00105
Texas Southern neutral 17 24 0.415 0.434 0.316 -0.00132
Louisiana State Louisiana State 35 13 0.729 0.543 0.500 0.00268
Louisville Louisville 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524 0.00321
Indiana neutral 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00277
Louisville Louisville 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524 0.00321
College of Charleston College of Charleston 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460 0.00182
The Citadel The Citadel 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331 -0.00099
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383 0.00014
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383 0.00014
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383 0.00014
Xavier Xavier 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00025
Xavier Xavier 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00025
Xavier Xavier 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00025
Dayton neutral 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337 -0.00086
Kent State Kent State 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420 0.00095
Kent State Kent State 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420 0.00095
Kent State Kent State 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420 0.00095
Akron Toledo 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367 -0.00021
Akron Toledo 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367 -0.00021
Akron Toledo 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367 -0.00021
Wright State Toledo 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425 0.00105
Ohio State Ohio State 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00068
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290 -0.00188
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290 -0.00188
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290 -0.00188
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370 -0.00014
Bowling Green State Toledo 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370 -0.00014
Ball State Toledo 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453 0.00166
Ball State Toledo 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453 0.00166
Ball State Toledo 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453 0.00166
Notre Dame Toledo 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00166
Ohio Toledo 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234 -0.00310
Ohio Toledo 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234 -0.00310
Ohio Toledo 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234 -0.00310
Michigan State Michigan State 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402 0.00055
Dayton Toledo 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337 -0.00086
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374 -0.00005
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374 -0.00005
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374 -0.00005
Central Michigan Central Michigan 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00062
Central Michigan Central Michigan 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00062
Central Michigan Central Michigan 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00062
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347 -0.00064

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 114.93 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Ball State 136.98 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Bowling Green State 18.08 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Central Michigan 146.66 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405
Dayton 135.53 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
Eastern Michigan 42.68 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270
IPFW 86.14 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288
Kent State 121.84 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
Michigan 43.95 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368
Michigan State 88.17 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402
Notre Dame 135.97 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Oakland 73.99 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235
Ohio State 116.59 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Western Michigan 112.35 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330
Wright State 130.41 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Youngstown State 149.97 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Buffalo 263.05 22 18 0.550 0.480 0.395
Butler 183.09 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Canisius 257.82 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457
Chicago State 207.12 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253
Cincinnati 180.14 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Eastern Illinois 283.28 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Eastern Kentucky 272.41 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Illinois 264.57 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 291.99 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Illinois-Chicago 209.53 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375
Indiana 229.41 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Indiana State 250.07 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Kentucky 254.23 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Louisville 263.68 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Marshall 250.21 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Miami, Ohio 158.70 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Morehead State 238.40 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Niagara 254.07 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288
Northern Illinois 267.85 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290
Northern Kentucky 186.27 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Northwestern 212.92 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268
Ohio 178.08 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Pittsburgh 206.33 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Purdue 193.20 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
St. Bonaventure 264.56 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262
Valparaiso 178.19 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
West Virginia 233.88 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 243.09 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296
Xavier 178.25 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation