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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Toledo

Last updated: Fri May 27 06:56:12 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.501
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.492
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3735


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Ohio State neutral 39 17 0.696 0.493 0.471 0.00177
Niagara neutral 16 37 0.302 0.458 0.266 -0.00195
Pittsburgh neutral 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383 0.00017
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 31 0.426 0.540 0.348 -0.00046
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 31 0.426 0.540 0.348 -0.00046
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 31 0.426 0.540 0.348 -0.00046
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 31 0.426 0.540 0.348 -0.00046
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.584 0.446 0.00132
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.584 0.446 0.00132
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.584 0.446 0.00132
Florida A&M Florida A&M 31 21 0.596 0.482 0.418 0.00081
Florida State Florida State 35 19 0.648 0.594 0.473 0.00181
Jacksonville Jacksonville 33 21 0.611 0.511 0.433 0.00108
Jacksonville Jacksonville 33 21 0.611 0.511 0.433 0.00108
Jacksonville Jacksonville 33 21 0.611 0.511 0.433 0.00108
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 0.00023
Indiana Indiana 31 23 0.574 0.496 0.411 0.00068
Indiana Indiana 31 23 0.574 0.496 0.411 0.00068
Indiana Indiana 31 23 0.574 0.496 0.411 0.00068
Indiana Indiana 31 23 0.574 0.496 0.411 0.00068
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.488 0.294 -0.00145
Buffalo Toledo 21 31 0.404 0.453 0.315 -0.00106
Buffalo Toledo 21 31 0.404 0.453 0.315 -0.00106
Buffalo Toledo 21 31 0.404 0.453 0.315 -0.00106
Ohio State Ohio State 39 17 0.696 0.493 0.471 0.00177
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00190
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00190
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00190
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.503 0.260 -0.00206
Kent State Kent State 41 12 0.774 0.448 0.499 0.00228
Kent State Kent State 41 12 0.774 0.448 0.499 0.00228
Kent State Kent State 41 12 0.774 0.448 0.499 0.00228
Wright State Wright State 41 15 0.732 0.464 0.482 0.00197
Wright State Wright State 41 15 0.732 0.464 0.482 0.00197
Wright State Toledo 41 15 0.732 0.464 0.482 0.00197
Dayton Toledo 19 36 0.345 0.488 0.294 -0.00145
Michigan Michigan 35 20 0.636 0.524 0.449 0.00137
Central Michigan Central Michigan 20 36 0.357 0.487 0.300 -0.00134
Central Michigan Central Michigan 20 36 0.357 0.487 0.300 -0.00134
Central Michigan Central Michigan 20 36 0.357 0.487 0.300 -0.00134
Michigan State Michigan State 35 18 0.660 0.485 0.451 0.00141
Western Michigan Toledo 19 31 0.380 0.460 0.305 -0.00125
Western Michigan Toledo 19 31 0.380 0.460 0.305 -0.00125
Western Michigan Toledo 19 31 0.380 0.460 0.305 -0.00125
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 31 0.436 0.465 0.334 -0.00072
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 31 0.436 0.465 0.334 -0.00072
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 31 0.436 0.465 0.334 -0.00072
Wright State Toledo 41 15 0.732 0.464 0.482 0.00197
Ball State Toledo 32 25 0.561 0.441 0.391 0.00032
Ball State Toledo 32 25 0.561 0.441 0.391 0.00032
Ball State Toledo 32 25 0.561 0.441 0.391 0.00032
Eastern Michigan Toledo 20 35 0.364 0.503 0.308 -0.00119
Eastern Michigan Toledo 20 35 0.364 0.503 0.308 -0.00119
Eastern Michigan Toledo 20 35 0.364 0.503 0.308 -0.00119
Northern Illinois neutral 24 31 0.436 0.465 0.334 -0.00072
Kent State neutral 41 12 0.774 0.448 0.499 0.00228

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 114.93 0.000
Ball State 136.98 32 25 0.561 0.441 0.391
Bowling Green State 18.08 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269
Central Michigan 146.66 20 36 0.357 0.487 0.300
Dayton 135.53 19 36 0.345 0.488 0.294
Eastern Michigan 42.68 20 35 0.364 0.503 0.308
IPFW 86.14 28 24 0.538 0.403 0.370
Kent State 121.84 41 12 0.774 0.448 0.499
Michigan 43.95 35 20 0.636 0.524 0.449
Michigan State 88.17 35 18 0.660 0.485 0.451
Notre Dame 135.97 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386
Oakland 73.99 21 27 0.438 0.483 0.340
Ohio State 116.59 39 17 0.696 0.493 0.471
Western Michigan 112.35 19 31 0.380 0.460 0.305
Wright State 130.41 41 15 0.732 0.464 0.482
Youngstown State 149.97 14 38 0.269 0.503 0.260

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Buffalo 263.05 21 31 0.404 0.453 0.315
Butler 183.09 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240
Canisius 257.82 31 25 0.554 0.431 0.385
Chicago State 207.12 12 41 0.226 0.437 0.222
Cincinnati 180.14 26 30 0.464 0.541 0.367
Eastern Illinois 283.28 12 39 0.235 0.484 0.238
Eastern Kentucky 272.41 24 31 0.436 0.477 0.337
Illinois 264.57 28 23 0.549 0.548 0.412
Illinois State 291.99 17 36 0.321 0.515 0.289
Illinois-Chicago 209.53 24 28 0.462 0.477 0.350
Indiana 229.41 31 23 0.574 0.496 0.411
Indiana State 250.07 34 20 0.630 0.514 0.444
Kentucky 254.23 32 25 0.561 0.553 0.419
Louisville 263.68 47 10 0.825 0.582 0.558
Marshall 250.21 33 19 0.635 0.521 0.448
Miami, Ohio 158.70 27 27 0.500 0.470 0.367
Morehead State 238.40 31 25 0.554 0.504 0.403
Niagara 254.07 16 37 0.302 0.458 0.266
Northern Illinois 267.85 24 31 0.436 0.465 0.334
Northern Kentucky 186.27 20 34 0.370 0.469 0.302
Northwestern 212.92 15 38 0.283 0.489 0.264
Ohio 178.08 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Pittsburgh 206.33 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383
Purdue 193.20 10 44 0.185 0.526 0.224
St. Bonaventure 264.56 26 22 0.542 0.410 0.373
Valparaiso 178.19 27 26 0.509 0.486 0.376
West Virginia 233.88 34 21 0.618 0.511 0.437
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 243.09 28 24 0.538 0.475 0.388
Xavier 178.25 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation