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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Troy

Last updated: Mon Jul 25 06:49:31 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.522
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.513
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38925


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Northern Kentucky Troy 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00152
Northern Kentucky Troy 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00152
Northern Kentucky Troy 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00152
Northern Kentucky Troy 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00152
Alabama-Birmingham Troy 21 34 0.382 0.550 0.329 -0.00104
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 40 21 0.656 0.518 0.458 0.00119
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 40 21 0.656 0.518 0.458 0.00119
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 40 21 0.656 0.518 0.458 0.00119
Alabama Troy 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413 0.00041
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 21 34 0.382 0.550 0.329 -0.00104
Auburn neutral 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00075
Southern Mississippi neutral 41 20 0.672 0.553 0.474 0.00146
Michigan State neutral 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444 0.00094
Samford Samford 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00036
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421 0.00055
Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 43 21 0.672 0.568 0.478 0.00153
Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 43 21 0.672 0.568 0.478 0.00153
Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 43 21 0.672 0.568 0.478 0.00153
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00063
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00063
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00063
Alabama A&M Troy 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207 -0.00314
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372 -0.00030
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372 -0.00030
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372 -0.00030
Alabama State Troy 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448 0.00101
New Orleans Troy 31 26 0.544 0.534 0.406 0.00029
New Orleans Troy 31 26 0.544 0.534 0.406 0.00029
New Orleans Troy 31 26 0.544 0.534 0.406 0.00029
Samford Troy 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00036
Appalachian State Troy 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00171
Appalachian State Troy 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00171
Appalachian State Troy 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00171
Jacksonville State Troy 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421 0.00055
Arkansas State Arkansas State 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381 -0.00014
Arkansas State Arkansas State 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381 -0.00014
Arkansas State Arkansas State 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381 -0.00014
Alabama Alabama 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413 0.00041
Texas-Arlington Troy 30 28 0.517 0.533 0.392 0.00005
Texas-Arlington Troy 30 28 0.517 0.533 0.392 0.00005
Texas-Arlington Troy 30 28 0.517 0.533 0.392 0.00005
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.487 0.384 -0.00009
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.487 0.384 -0.00009
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.487 0.384 -0.00009
Alabama State Alabama State 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448 0.00101
Louisiana-Monroe Troy 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319 -0.00121
Louisiana-Monroe Troy 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319 -0.00121
Louisiana-Monroe Troy 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319 -0.00121
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00075
Mississippi State Troy 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497 0.00186
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337 -0.00090
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337 -0.00090
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337 -0.00090
South Alabama Troy 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459 0.00120
South Alabama Troy 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459 0.00120
South Alabama Troy 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459 0.00120
Texas State neutral 31 28 0.525 0.487 0.384 -0.00009
Arkansas State neutral 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381 -0.00014

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 134.08 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413
Alabama State 43.50 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448
Alabama-Birmingham 128.24 21 34 0.382 0.550 0.329
Auburn 61.63 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346
Florida A&M 136.93 31 21 0.596 0.476 0.417
Florida State 135.35 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476
Jacksonville State 140.37 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421
Samford 125.04 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 209.20 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207
Clemson 267.88 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
Florida 260.35 52 16 0.765 0.606 0.534
Furman 295.93 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Georgia 210.21 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Georgia Southern 247.99 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426
Georgia State 162.78 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337
Georgia Tech 163.95 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447
Jackson State 251.11 25 26 0.490 0.361 0.335
Jacksonville 275.91 33 22 0.600 0.504 0.426
Kennesaw State 173.70 29 27 0.518 0.487 0.381
Mercer 151.97 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432
Middle Tennessee State 280.99 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
Mississippi 272.40 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492
Mississippi State 201.36 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497
New Orleans 271.68 31 26 0.544 0.534 0.406
North Florida 283.39 39 19 0.672 0.509 0.463
Presbyterian 299.67 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Savannah State 286.94 12 40 0.231 0.446 0.227
South Alabama 152.40 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459
Southeastern Louisiana 281.54 40 21 0.656 0.518 0.458
Southern Mississippi 201.85 41 20 0.672 0.553 0.474
Tulane 278.02 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464
Western Carolina 289.86 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation