Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Troy

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:15 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.525
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.510
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Northwestern State Troy 23 17 0.575 0.512 0.415 0.00058
Northwestern State Troy 23 17 0.575 0.512 0.415 0.00058
Northwestern State Troy 23 17 0.575 0.512 0.415 0.00058
Northwestern State Troy 23 17 0.575 0.512 0.415 0.00058
St. Louis neutral 27 13 0.675 0.488 0.460 0.00163
North Florida neutral 32 13 0.711 0.496 0.479 0.00207
Nicholls State neutral 22 15 0.595 0.496 0.421 0.00072
Samford Troy 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417 0.00063
Southern Mississippi Troy 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427 0.00086
Southern Mississippi Troy 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427 0.00086
Southern Mississippi Troy 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427 0.00086
Alabama State Alabama State 28 12 0.700 0.431 0.458 0.00158
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 26 15 0.634 0.564 0.458 0.00158
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 26 15 0.634 0.564 0.458 0.00158
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 26 15 0.634 0.564 0.458 0.00158
Alabama-Birmingham Troy 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427 0.00086
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376 -0.00033
Georgia Southern Troy 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427 0.00086
Georgia Southern Troy 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427 0.00086
Georgia Southern Troy 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427 0.00086
Arkansas-Little Rock Troy 14 24 0.368 0.540 0.319 -0.00165
Arkansas-Little Rock Troy 14 24 0.368 0.540 0.319 -0.00165
Arkansas-Little Rock Troy 14 24 0.368 0.540 0.319 -0.00165
Jacksonville State Troy 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376 -0.00033
Florida A&M Florida A&M 16 22 0.421 0.444 0.322 -0.00158
Alabama A&M Troy 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348 -0.00098
Alabama A&M Troy 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348 -0.00098
Alabama A&M Troy 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348 -0.00098
Alabama A&M Troy 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348 -0.00098
Alabama State Troy 28 12 0.700 0.431 0.458 0.00158
Appalachian State Appalachian State 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272 -0.00274
Appalachian State Appalachian State 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272 -0.00274
Appalachian State Appalachian State 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272 -0.00274
Kennesaw State Troy 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396 0.00014
Arkansas State Troy 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349 -0.00095
Arkansas State Troy 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349 -0.00095
Arkansas State Troy 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349 -0.00095
Samford Samford 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417 0.00063
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 17 23 0.425 0.570 0.355 -0.00081
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 17 23 0.425 0.570 0.355 -0.00081
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 17 23 0.425 0.570 0.355 -0.00081
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396 0.00014
Texas State Troy 18 22 0.450 0.513 0.353 -0.00086
Texas State Troy 18 22 0.450 0.513 0.353 -0.00086
Texas State Troy 18 22 0.450 0.513 0.353 -0.00086

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 134.08 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425
Alabama State 43.50 28 12 0.700 0.431 0.458
Alabama-Birmingham 128.24 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427
Auburn 61.63 28 16 0.636 0.598 0.468
Florida A&M 136.93 16 22 0.421 0.444 0.322
Florida State 135.35 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506
Jacksonville State 140.37 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376
Samford 125.04 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 209.20 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348
Clemson 267.88 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Florida 260.35 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515
Furman 295.93 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Georgia 210.21 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Georgia Southern 247.99 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427
Georgia State 162.78 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430
Georgia Tech 163.95 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451
Jackson State 251.11 17 16 0.515 0.431 0.365
Jacksonville 275.91 18 22 0.450 0.546 0.362
Kennesaw State 173.70 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Mercer 151.97 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431
Middle Tennessee State 280.99 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
Mississippi 272.40 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407
Mississippi State 201.36 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402
New Orleans 271.68 12 25 0.324 0.497 0.286
North Florida 283.39 32 13 0.711 0.496 0.479
Presbyterian 299.67 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
Savannah State 286.94 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289
South Alabama 152.40 27 16 0.628 0.475 0.433
Southeastern Louisiana 281.54 32 12 0.727 0.495 0.487
Southern Mississippi 201.85 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427
Tulane 278.02 25 16 0.610 0.561 0.445
Western Carolina 289.86 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation