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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Troy

Last updated: Sun May 29 06:48:44 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.527
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.515
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39225


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Northern Kentucky Troy 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302 -0.00156
Northern Kentucky Troy 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302 -0.00156
Northern Kentucky Troy 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302 -0.00156
Northern Kentucky Troy 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302 -0.00156
Alabama-Birmingham Troy 21 34 0.382 0.557 0.330 -0.00107
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 38 18 0.679 0.513 0.468 0.00131
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 38 18 0.679 0.513 0.468 0.00131
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 38 18 0.679 0.513 0.468 0.00131
Alabama Troy 32 26 0.552 0.554 0.415 0.00039
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 21 34 0.382 0.557 0.330 -0.00107
Auburn neutral 23 33 0.411 0.570 0.348 -0.00076
Southern Mississippi neutral 38 18 0.679 0.551 0.477 0.00146
Michigan State neutral 36 18 0.667 0.487 0.455 0.00108
Samford Samford 34 25 0.576 0.494 0.411 0.00032
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 33 22 0.600 0.512 0.428 0.00062
Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 39 19 0.672 0.569 0.478 0.00148
Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 39 19 0.672 0.569 0.478 0.00148
Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 39 19 0.672 0.569 0.478 0.00148
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 35 23 0.603 0.502 0.427 0.00060
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 35 23 0.603 0.502 0.427 0.00060
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 35 23 0.603 0.502 0.427 0.00060
Alabama A&M Troy 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208 -0.00318
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 28 0.481 0.532 0.373 -0.00033
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 28 0.481 0.532 0.373 -0.00033
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 28 0.481 0.532 0.373 -0.00033
Alabama State Troy 38 15 0.717 0.402 0.459 0.00115
New Orleans Troy 31 26 0.544 0.541 0.407 0.00025
New Orleans Troy 31 26 0.544 0.541 0.407 0.00025
New Orleans Troy 31 26 0.544 0.541 0.407 0.00025
Samford Troy 34 25 0.576 0.494 0.411 0.00032
Appalachian State Troy 18 36 0.333 0.499 0.291 -0.00175
Appalachian State Troy 18 36 0.333 0.499 0.291 -0.00175
Appalachian State Troy 18 36 0.333 0.499 0.291 -0.00175
Jacksonville State Troy 33 22 0.600 0.512 0.428 0.00062
Arkansas State Arkansas State 29 28 0.509 0.526 0.386 -0.00011
Arkansas State Arkansas State 29 28 0.509 0.526 0.386 -0.00011
Arkansas State Arkansas State 29 28 0.509 0.526 0.386 -0.00011
Alabama Alabama 32 26 0.552 0.554 0.415 0.00039
Texas-Arlington Troy 30 28 0.517 0.537 0.393 0.00001
Texas-Arlington Troy 30 28 0.517 0.537 0.393 0.00001
Texas-Arlington Troy 30 28 0.517 0.537 0.393 0.00001
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.491 0.385 -0.00012
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.491 0.385 -0.00012
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.491 0.385 -0.00012
Alabama State Alabama State 38 15 0.717 0.402 0.459 0.00115
Louisiana-Monroe Troy 20 35 0.364 0.553 0.320 -0.00125
Louisiana-Monroe Troy 20 35 0.364 0.553 0.320 -0.00125
Louisiana-Monroe Troy 20 35 0.364 0.553 0.320 -0.00125
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.570 0.348 -0.00076
Mississippi State Troy 41 16 0.719 0.573 0.503 0.00191
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.481 0.337 -0.00095
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.481 0.337 -0.00095
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.481 0.337 -0.00095
South Alabama Troy 40 19 0.678 0.516 0.468 0.00131
South Alabama Troy 40 19 0.678 0.516 0.468 0.00131
South Alabama Troy 40 19 0.678 0.516 0.468 0.00131
Texas State neutral 31 28 0.525 0.491 0.385 -0.00012
Arkansas State neutral 29 28 0.509 0.526 0.386 -0.00011

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 134.08 32 26 0.552 0.554 0.415
Alabama State 43.50 38 15 0.717 0.402 0.459
Alabama-Birmingham 128.24 21 34 0.382 0.557 0.330
Auburn 61.63 23 33 0.411 0.570 0.348
Florida A&M 136.93 31 21 0.596 0.484 0.419
Florida State 135.35 36 19 0.655 0.594 0.476
Jacksonville State 140.37 33 22 0.600 0.512 0.428
Samford 125.04 34 25 0.576 0.494 0.411

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 209.20 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208
Clemson 267.88 40 18 0.690 0.584 0.491
Florida 260.35 46 12 0.793 0.601 0.547
Furman 295.93 29 29 0.500 0.529 0.382
Georgia 210.21 27 30 0.474 0.621 0.392
Georgia Southern 247.99 35 23 0.603 0.502 0.427
Georgia State 162.78 23 30 0.434 0.481 0.337
Georgia Tech 163.95 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451
Jackson State 251.11 25 26 0.490 0.365 0.336
Jacksonville 275.91 33 22 0.600 0.507 0.427
Kennesaw State 173.70 29 27 0.518 0.490 0.382
Mercer 151.97 37 21 0.638 0.484 0.440
Middle Tennessee State 280.99 20 35 0.364 0.546 0.319
Mississippi 272.40 43 16 0.729 0.584 0.510
Mississippi State 201.36 41 16 0.719 0.573 0.503
New Orleans 271.68 31 26 0.544 0.541 0.407
North Florida 283.39 39 18 0.684 0.516 0.471
Presbyterian 299.67 27 30 0.474 0.468 0.354
Savannah State 286.94 12 40 0.231 0.450 0.228
South Alabama 152.40 40 19 0.678 0.516 0.468
Southeastern Louisiana 281.54 38 18 0.679 0.513 0.468
Southern Mississippi 201.85 38 18 0.679 0.551 0.477
Tulane 278.02 39 18 0.684 0.530 0.475
Western Carolina 289.86 27 28 0.491 0.520 0.376

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation