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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for UC Davis

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.496
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.512
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.376


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Seattle UC Davis 21 21 0.500 0.433 0.358 -0.00041
Seattle UC Davis 21 21 0.500 0.433 0.358 -0.00041
Seattle UC Davis 21 21 0.500 0.433 0.358 -0.00041
Seattle UC Davis 21 21 0.500 0.433 0.358 -0.00041
St. Mary's St. Mary's 14 33 0.298 0.479 0.269 -0.00243
Portland neutral 10 34 0.227 0.527 0.245 -0.00298
Kansas State neutral 24 25 0.490 0.538 0.380 0.00009
Portland neutral 10 34 0.227 0.527 0.245 -0.00298
Washington Washington 33 11 0.750 0.501 0.500 0.00282
Washington Washington 33 11 0.750 0.501 0.500 0.00282
Washington Washington 33 11 0.750 0.501 0.500 0.00282
Santa Clara Santa Clara 22 26 0.458 0.510 0.357 -0.00043
Pacific neutral 23 22 0.511 0.529 0.388 0.00027
San Jose State San Jose State 16 34 0.320 0.562 0.300 -0.00173
San Jose State San Jose State 16 34 0.320 0.562 0.300 -0.00173
San Jose State UC Davis 16 34 0.320 0.562 0.300 -0.00173
New Mexico State UC Davis 18 25 0.419 0.431 0.317 -0.00134
New Mexico State UC Davis 18 25 0.419 0.431 0.317 -0.00134
New Mexico State UC Davis 18 25 0.419 0.431 0.317 -0.00134
New Mexico State UC Davis 18 25 0.419 0.431 0.317 -0.00134
Nevada UC Davis 25 20 0.556 0.467 0.395 0.00043
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00345
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00345
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00345
St. Mary's UC Davis 14 33 0.298 0.479 0.269 -0.00243
Cal State Fullerton Cal State Fullerton 24 20 0.545 0.533 0.406 0.00068
Cal State Fullerton Cal State Fullerton 24 20 0.545 0.533 0.406 0.00068
Cal State Fullerton Cal State Fullerton 24 20 0.545 0.533 0.406 0.00068
Stanford Stanford 22 20 0.524 0.595 0.411 0.00080
Long Beach State UC Davis 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 0.00045
Long Beach State UC Davis 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 0.00045
Long Beach State UC Davis 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 0.00045
Cal State Sacramento UC Davis 30 18 0.625 0.464 0.428 0.00118
UC Riverside UC Riverside 20 23 0.465 0.591 0.380 0.00009
UC Riverside UC Riverside 20 23 0.465 0.591 0.380 0.00009
UC Riverside UC Riverside 20 23 0.465 0.591 0.380 0.00009
St. Mary's UC Davis 14 33 0.298 0.479 0.269 -0.00243
UC Irvine UC Davis 33 14 0.702 0.531 0.484 0.00245
UC Irvine UC Davis 33 14 0.702 0.531 0.484 0.00245
UC Irvine UC Davis 33 14 0.702 0.531 0.484 0.00245
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 17 30 0.362 0.541 0.316 -0.00136
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 17 30 0.362 0.541 0.316 -0.00136
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 17 30 0.362 0.541 0.316 -0.00136
Nevada Nevada 25 20 0.556 0.467 0.395 0.00043

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Sacramento 17.94 30 18 0.625 0.464 0.428
California 53.97 19 24 0.442 0.582 0.366
Nevada 125.40 25 20 0.556 0.467 0.395
Pacific 45.89 23 22 0.511 0.529 0.388
San Francisco 64.82 22 25 0.468 0.505 0.360
San Jose State 84.54 16 34 0.320 0.562 0.300
Santa Clara 82.99 22 26 0.458 0.510 0.357
St. Mary's 52.14 14 33 0.298 0.479 0.269
Stanford 79.73 22 20 0.524 0.595 0.411

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 264.83 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324
Cal Poly 231.49 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528
Fresno State 162.00 25 24 0.510 0.545 0.391

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation