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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for UC Santa Barbara

Last updated: Mon May 23 07:00:08 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.550
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.521
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40525


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
San Francisco UC Santa Barbara 22 34 0.393 0.528 0.329 -0.00152
San Francisco UC Santa Barbara 22 34 0.393 0.528 0.329 -0.00152
San Francisco UC Santa Barbara 22 34 0.393 0.528 0.329 -0.00152
San Francisco UC Santa Barbara 22 34 0.393 0.528 0.329 -0.00152
St. Mary's UC Santa Barbara 29 22 0.569 0.536 0.418 0.00025
Kentucky neutral 32 24 0.571 0.555 0.424 0.00037
Bryant neutral 44 10 0.815 0.463 0.523 0.00236
San Diego neutral 27 29 0.482 0.529 0.373 -0.00065
UCLA UC Santa Barbara 25 27 0.481 0.561 0.381 -0.00048
Oregon Oregon 28 22 0.560 0.535 0.414 0.00017
Oregon Oregon 28 22 0.560 0.535 0.414 0.00017
Oregon Oregon 28 22 0.560 0.535 0.414 0.00017
Hartford UC Santa Barbara 36 16 0.692 0.483 0.467 0.00124
Hartford UC Santa Barbara 36 16 0.692 0.483 0.467 0.00124
Hartford UC Santa Barbara 36 16 0.692 0.483 0.467 0.00124
Connecticut UC Santa Barbara 33 22 0.600 0.517 0.429 0.00047
Connecticut UC Santa Barbara 33 22 0.600 0.517 0.429 0.00047
Connecticut UC Santa Barbara 33 22 0.600 0.517 0.429 0.00047
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 18 35 0.340 0.498 0.294 -0.00223
Southern California UC Santa Barbara 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383 -0.00044
Southern California UC Santa Barbara 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383 -0.00044
Southern California Southern California 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383 -0.00044
Pepperdine Pepperdine 28 21 0.571 0.539 0.420 0.00029
Long Beach State Long Beach State 34 18 0.654 0.532 0.460 0.00110
Long Beach State Long Beach State 34 18 0.654 0.532 0.460 0.00110
Long Beach State Long Beach State 34 18 0.654 0.532 0.460 0.00110
College of Charleston College of Charleston 29 24 0.547 0.558 0.413 0.00015
College of Charleston College of Charleston 29 24 0.547 0.558 0.413 0.00015
Cal State Northridge UC Santa Barbara 32 19 0.627 0.458 0.428 0.00045
Cal State Northridge UC Santa Barbara 32 19 0.627 0.458 0.428 0.00045
Cal State Northridge UC Santa Barbara 32 19 0.627 0.458 0.428 0.00045
Nevada UC Santa Barbara 33 22 0.600 0.487 0.422 0.00033
Cal Poly Cal Poly 29 24 0.547 0.512 0.402 -0.00006
Cal Poly Cal Poly 29 24 0.547 0.512 0.402 -0.00006
Cal Poly Cal Poly 29 24 0.547 0.512 0.402 -0.00006
St. Mary's St. Mary's 29 22 0.569 0.536 0.418 0.00025
Hawaii UC Santa Barbara 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00101
Hawaii UC Santa Barbara 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00101
Hawaii UC Santa Barbara 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00101
Pepperdine UC Santa Barbara 28 21 0.571 0.539 0.420 0.00029
UC Davis UC Davis 16 33 0.327 0.522 0.294 -0.00223
UC Davis UC Davis 16 33 0.327 0.522 0.294 -0.00223
UC Davis UC Davis 16 33 0.327 0.522 0.294 -0.00223
CSU Bakersfield UC Santa Barbara 18 35 0.340 0.498 0.294 -0.00223
Cal State Fullerton UC Santa Barbara 33 18 0.647 0.541 0.459 0.00108
Cal State Fullerton UC Santa Barbara 33 18 0.647 0.541 0.459 0.00108
Cal State Fullerton UC Santa Barbara 33 18 0.647 0.541 0.459 0.00108
UCLA UCLA 25 27 0.481 0.561 0.381 -0.00048
UC Irvine UC Irvine 29 23 0.558 0.489 0.401 -0.00008
UC Irvine UC Irvine 29 23 0.558 0.489 0.401 -0.00008
UC Irvine UC Irvine 29 23 0.558 0.489 0.401 -0.00008

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 76.79 18 35 0.340 0.498 0.294
Cal Poly 76.74 29 24 0.547 0.512 0.402
Cal State Fullerton 118.32 33 18 0.647 0.541 0.459
Cal State Northridge 76.61 32 19 0.627 0.458 0.428
Long Beach State 107.61 34 18 0.654 0.532 0.460
Loyola Marymount 87.30 26 27 0.491 0.519 0.375
Pepperdine 70.25 28 21 0.571 0.539 0.420
Southern California 93.35 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383
UC Irvine 126.45 29 23 0.558 0.489 0.401
UC Riverside 144.35 24 27 0.471 0.497 0.360
UCLA 83.36 25 27 0.481 0.561 0.381

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Sacramento 299.06 0.000
California 273.71 29 19 0.604 0.517 0.431
Fresno State 165.52 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Nevada-Las Vegas 289.97 24 30 0.444 0.548 0.359
Pacific 258.91 21 30 0.412 0.471 0.324
San Diego 191.00 27 29 0.482 0.529 0.373
San Diego State 195.94 19 36 0.345 0.549 0.310
San Francisco 273.50 22 34 0.393 0.528 0.329
San Jose State 229.92 17 38 0.309 0.518 0.284
Santa Clara 233.49 23 29 0.442 0.503 0.347
St. Mary's 267.93 29 22 0.569 0.536 0.418
Stanford 244.91 28 22 0.560 0.514 0.409

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation