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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for UC Santa Barbara

Last updated: Mon Jun 27 06:47:28 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.554
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.523
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40775


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
San Francisco UC Santa Barbara 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328 -0.00127
San Francisco UC Santa Barbara 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328 -0.00127
San Francisco UC Santa Barbara 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328 -0.00127
San Francisco UC Santa Barbara 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328 -0.00127
St. Mary's UC Santa Barbara 33 25 0.569 0.539 0.419 0.00018
Kentucky neutral 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00013
Bryant neutral 47 12 0.797 0.467 0.515 0.00170
San Diego neutral 27 29 0.482 0.521 0.371 -0.00058
UCLA UC Santa Barbara 25 31 0.446 0.564 0.364 -0.00069
Oregon Oregon 29 26 0.527 0.536 0.398 -0.00015
Oregon Oregon 29 26 0.527 0.536 0.398 -0.00015
Oregon Oregon 29 26 0.527 0.536 0.398 -0.00015
Hartford UC Santa Barbara 37 18 0.673 0.483 0.457 0.00078
Hartford UC Santa Barbara 37 18 0.673 0.483 0.457 0.00078
Hartford UC Santa Barbara 37 18 0.673 0.483 0.457 0.00078
Connecticut UC Santa Barbara 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00035
Connecticut UC Santa Barbara 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00035
Connecticut UC Santa Barbara 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00035
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 19 37 0.339 0.494 0.293 -0.00182
Southern California UC Santa Barbara 28 28 0.500 0.553 0.388 -0.00031
Southern California UC Santa Barbara 28 28 0.500 0.553 0.388 -0.00031
Southern California Southern California 28 28 0.500 0.553 0.388 -0.00031
Pepperdine Pepperdine 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407 -0.00001
Long Beach State Long Beach State 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451 0.00069
Long Beach State Long Beach State 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451 0.00069
Long Beach State Long Beach State 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451 0.00069
College of Charleston College of Charleston 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411 0.00005
College of Charleston College of Charleston 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411 0.00005
Cal State Northridge UC Santa Barbara 33 22 0.600 0.451 0.413 0.00008
Cal State Northridge UC Santa Barbara 33 22 0.600 0.451 0.413 0.00008
Cal State Northridge UC Santa Barbara 33 22 0.600 0.451 0.413 0.00008
Nevada UC Santa Barbara 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426 0.00029
Cal Poly Cal Poly 32 25 0.561 0.491 0.403 -0.00008
Cal Poly Cal Poly 32 25 0.561 0.491 0.403 -0.00008
Cal Poly Cal Poly 32 25 0.561 0.491 0.403 -0.00008
St. Mary's St. Mary's 33 25 0.569 0.539 0.419 0.00018
Hawaii UC Santa Barbara 22 29 0.431 0.532 0.349 -0.00093
Hawaii UC Santa Barbara 22 29 0.431 0.532 0.349 -0.00093
Hawaii UC Santa Barbara 22 29 0.431 0.532 0.349 -0.00093
Pepperdine UC Santa Barbara 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407 -0.00001
UC Davis UC Davis 17 36 0.321 0.520 0.290 -0.00187
UC Davis UC Davis 17 36 0.321 0.520 0.290 -0.00187
UC Davis UC Davis 17 36 0.321 0.520 0.290 -0.00187
CSU Bakersfield UC Santa Barbara 19 37 0.339 0.494 0.293 -0.00182
Cal State Fullerton UC Santa Barbara 36 23 0.610 0.544 0.441 0.00053
Cal State Fullerton UC Santa Barbara 36 23 0.610 0.544 0.441 0.00053
Cal State Fullerton UC Santa Barbara 36 23 0.610 0.544 0.441 0.00053
UCLA UCLA 25 31 0.446 0.564 0.364 -0.00069
UC Irvine UC Irvine 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400 -0.00012
UC Irvine UC Irvine 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400 -0.00012
UC Irvine UC Irvine 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400 -0.00012
Gonzaga UC Santa Barbara 36 21 0.632 0.510 0.444 0.00058
UC Riverside UC Santa Barbara 26 29 0.473 0.502 0.362 -0.00073
UC Riverside UC Santa Barbara 26 29 0.473 0.502 0.362 -0.00073
UC Riverside UC Santa Barbara 26 29 0.473 0.502 0.362 -0.00073
Washington neutral 33 23 0.589 0.538 0.429 0.00034
Xavier neutral 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 -0.00023
Xavier neutral 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 -0.00023
Louisville neutral 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00202
Louisville neutral 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00202
Oklahoma State neutral 43 22 0.662 0.550 0.469 0.00097
Miami, Florida neutral 48 14 0.774 0.596 0.536 0.00204
Arizona neutral 48 22 0.686 0.567 0.485 0.00123

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 76.79 19 37 0.339 0.494 0.293
Cal Poly 76.74 32 25 0.561 0.491 0.403
Cal State Fullerton 118.32 36 23 0.610 0.544 0.441
Cal State Northridge 76.61 33 22 0.600 0.451 0.413
Long Beach State 107.61 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451
Loyola Marymount 87.30 26 27 0.491 0.507 0.372
Pepperdine 70.25 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407
Southern California 93.35 28 28 0.500 0.553 0.388
UC Irvine 126.45 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400
UC Riverside 144.35 26 29 0.473 0.502 0.362
UCLA 83.36 25 31 0.446 0.564 0.364

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Sacramento 299.06 0.000
California 273.71 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428
Fresno State 165.52 36 22 0.621 0.489 0.433
Nevada-Las Vegas 289.97 24 32 0.429 0.538 0.349
Pacific 258.91 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328
San Diego 191.00 27 29 0.482 0.521 0.371
San Diego State 195.94 21 38 0.356 0.536 0.312
San Francisco 273.50 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328
San Jose State 229.92 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280
Santa Clara 233.49 23 29 0.442 0.496 0.345
St. Mary's 267.93 33 25 0.569 0.539 0.419
Stanford 244.91 31 23 0.574 0.516 0.416

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation