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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for UC Santa Barbara

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:01 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.560
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.525
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.41125


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
San Francisco UC Santa Barbara 17 28 0.378 0.534 0.323 -0.00226
San Francisco UC Santa Barbara 17 28 0.378 0.534 0.323 -0.00226
San Francisco UC Santa Barbara 17 28 0.378 0.534 0.323 -0.00226
San Francisco UC Santa Barbara 17 28 0.378 0.534 0.323 -0.00226
St. Mary's UC Santa Barbara 24 17 0.585 0.543 0.428 0.00043
Kentucky neutral 27 17 0.614 0.556 0.446 0.00089
Bryant neutral 33 8 0.805 0.489 0.525 0.00292
San Diego neutral 23 25 0.479 0.535 0.373 -0.00098
UCLA UC Santa Barbara 20 21 0.488 0.558 0.384 -0.00070
Oregon Oregon 21 17 0.553 0.518 0.406 -0.00013
Oregon Oregon 21 17 0.553 0.518 0.406 -0.00013
Oregon Oregon 21 17 0.553 0.518 0.406 -0.00013
Hartford UC Santa Barbara 28 12 0.700 0.478 0.469 0.00148
Hartford UC Santa Barbara 28 12 0.700 0.478 0.469 0.00148
Hartford UC Santa Barbara 28 12 0.700 0.478 0.469 0.00148
Connecticut UC Santa Barbara 24 19 0.558 0.525 0.410 -0.00003
Connecticut UC Santa Barbara 24 19 0.558 0.525 0.410 -0.00003
Connecticut UC Santa Barbara 24 19 0.558 0.525 0.410 -0.00003
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 9 33 0.214 0.545 0.243 -0.00431
Southern California UC Santa Barbara 20 22 0.476 0.544 0.374 -0.00096
Southern California UC Santa Barbara 20 22 0.476 0.544 0.374 -0.00096
Southern California Southern California 20 22 0.476 0.544 0.374 -0.00096
Pepperdine Pepperdine 20 18 0.526 0.533 0.396 -0.00039
Long Beach State Long Beach State 26 16 0.619 0.570 0.452 0.00104
Long Beach State Long Beach State 26 16 0.619 0.570 0.452 0.00104
Long Beach State Long Beach State 26 16 0.619 0.570 0.452 0.00104
College of Charleston College of Charleston 23 19 0.548 0.552 0.412 0.00002
College of Charleston College of Charleston 23 19 0.548 0.552 0.412 0.00002
Cal State Northridge UC Santa Barbara 25 16 0.610 0.474 0.423 0.00030
Cal State Northridge UC Santa Barbara 25 16 0.610 0.474 0.423 0.00030
Cal State Northridge UC Santa Barbara 25 16 0.610 0.474 0.423 0.00030
Nevada UC Santa Barbara 23 20 0.535 0.481 0.388 -0.00060
Cal Poly Cal Poly 25 17 0.595 0.513 0.426 0.00038
Cal Poly Cal Poly 25 17 0.595 0.513 0.426 0.00038
Cal Poly Cal Poly 25 17 0.595 0.513 0.426 0.00038
St. Mary's St. Mary's 24 17 0.585 0.543 0.428 0.00043
Hawaii UC Santa Barbara 17 22 0.436 0.529 0.350 -0.00157
Hawaii UC Santa Barbara 17 22 0.436 0.529 0.350 -0.00157
Hawaii UC Santa Barbara 17 22 0.436 0.529 0.350 -0.00157
Pepperdine UC Santa Barbara 20 18 0.526 0.533 0.396 -0.00039

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 76.79 9 33 0.214 0.545 0.243
Cal Poly 76.74 25 17 0.595 0.513 0.426
Cal State Fullerton 118.32 27 15 0.643 0.545 0.458
Cal State Northridge 76.61 25 16 0.610 0.474 0.423
Long Beach State 107.61 26 16 0.619 0.570 0.452
Loyola Marymount 87.30 24 21 0.533 0.496 0.391
Pepperdine 70.25 20 18 0.526 0.533 0.396
Southern California 93.35 20 22 0.476 0.544 0.374
UC Irvine 126.45 25 16 0.610 0.469 0.422
UC Riverside 144.35 20 21 0.488 0.482 0.364
UCLA 83.36 20 21 0.488 0.558 0.384

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Sacramento 299.06 0.000
California 273.71 24 16 0.600 0.548 0.437
Fresno State 165.52 29 16 0.644 0.506 0.449
Nevada-Las Vegas 289.97 19 24 0.442 0.522 0.352
Pacific 258.91 17 24 0.415 0.469 0.325
San Diego 191.00 23 25 0.479 0.535 0.373
San Diego State 195.94 12 30 0.286 0.554 0.281
San Francisco 273.50 17 28 0.378 0.534 0.323
San Jose State 229.92 14 29 0.326 0.527 0.295
Santa Clara 233.49 19 22 0.463 0.512 0.360
St. Mary's 267.93 24 17 0.585 0.543 0.428
Stanford 244.91 20 18 0.526 0.540 0.398

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation