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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Valparaiso

Last updated: Thu May 5 06:58:18 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.517
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.489
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38075


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 28 16 0.636 0.523 0.449 0.00171
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 28 16 0.636 0.523 0.449 0.00171
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 28 16 0.636 0.523 0.449 0.00171
New Orleans New Orleans 26 17 0.605 0.543 0.438 0.00143
New Orleans New Orleans 26 17 0.605 0.543 0.438 0.00143
New Orleans New Orleans 26 17 0.605 0.543 0.438 0.00143
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 17 28 0.378 0.546 0.326 -0.00137
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 17 28 0.378 0.546 0.326 -0.00137
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 27 14 0.659 0.495 0.453 0.00181
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 27 14 0.659 0.495 0.453 0.00181
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 27 14 0.659 0.495 0.453 0.00181
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 29 14 0.674 0.532 0.470 0.00223
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 29 14 0.674 0.532 0.470 0.00223
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 29 14 0.674 0.532 0.470 0.00223
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 29 14 0.674 0.532 0.470 0.00223
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295 -0.00214
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295 -0.00214
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295 -0.00214
Wright State Valparaiso 30 13 0.698 0.459 0.464 0.00208
Wright State Valparaiso 30 13 0.698 0.459 0.464 0.00208
Wright State Valparaiso 30 13 0.698 0.459 0.464 0.00208
Ball State Valparaiso 27 18 0.600 0.439 0.410 0.00073
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 19 20 0.487 0.464 0.359 -0.00054
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 19 20 0.487 0.464 0.359 -0.00054
Illinois State Valparaiso 14 28 0.333 0.499 0.291 -0.00224
Western Michigan Western Michigan 13 26 0.333 0.463 0.282 -0.00247
Notre Dame Notre Dame 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424 0.00108
Oakland Oakland 17 17 0.500 0.465 0.366 -0.00037
Oakland Oakland 17 17 0.500 0.465 0.366 -0.00037
Oakland Oakland 17 17 0.500 0.465 0.366 -0.00037
Chicago State Chicago State 10 34 0.227 0.437 0.223 -0.00394
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 18 23 0.439 0.467 0.336 -0.00112
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 18 23 0.439 0.467 0.336 -0.00112
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Valparaiso 19 20 0.487 0.464 0.359 -0.00054
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Valparaiso 19 20 0.487 0.464 0.359 -0.00054
Chicago State Valparaiso 10 34 0.227 0.437 0.223 -0.00394
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 18 23 0.439 0.467 0.336 -0.00112
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 18 23 0.439 0.467 0.336 -0.00112
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 18 23 0.439 0.467 0.336 -0.00112
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 19 25 0.432 0.469 0.333 -0.00119

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 120.27 27 18 0.600 0.439 0.410
Bradley 143.88 17 16 0.515 0.475 0.376
Butler 120.43 10 31 0.244 0.464 0.238
Chicago State 34.55 10 34 0.227 0.437 0.223
Eastern Illinois 149.65 5 36 0.122 0.518 0.191
IPFW 102.90 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317
Illinois 113.10 22 19 0.537 0.530 0.401
Illinois State 121.60 14 28 0.333 0.499 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 42.36 18 23 0.439 0.467 0.336
Indiana State 138.40 27 16 0.628 0.514 0.443
Northern Illinois 95.92 19 25 0.432 0.469 0.333
Northwestern 54.02 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243
Notre Dame 44.66 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424
Purdue 70.82 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221
Western Michigan 93.02 13 26 0.333 0.463 0.282
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 122.30 19 20 0.487 0.464 0.359

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 287.93 0.000
Bowling Green State 176.43 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284
Central Michigan 185.84 11 32 0.256 0.498 0.253
Cincinnati 208.69 21 23 0.477 0.551 0.376
Dayton 190.39 16 29 0.356 0.481 0.298
Eastern Kentucky 295.56 21 25 0.457 0.466 0.345
Eastern Michigan 182.63 17 24 0.415 0.501 0.333
Evansville 242.22 24 17 0.585 0.494 0.416
Indiana 160.09 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424
Iowa 234.17 18 21 0.462 0.564 0.372
Kent State 296.17 32 11 0.744 0.454 0.485
Kentucky 272.70 27 18 0.600 0.554 0.439
Louisville 234.76 36 9 0.800 0.578 0.544
Miami, Ohio 180.85 21 22 0.488 0.493 0.367
Michigan 178.25 30 12 0.714 0.521 0.487
Michigan State 157.25 30 11 0.732 0.488 0.488
Morehead State 295.89 25 20 0.556 0.511 0.406
Northern Kentucky 215.80 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295
Oakland 213.15 17 17 0.500 0.465 0.366
Ohio 298.11 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346
Ohio State 232.47 28 15 0.651 0.454 0.439
Southern Illinois 284.44 25 18 0.581 0.492 0.413
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 242.25 9 30 0.231 0.526 0.247
St. Louis 258.23 19 25 0.432 0.439 0.326
Toledo 178.19 10 34 0.227 0.494 0.237
Western Illinois 202.45 12 26 0.316 0.480 0.278
Wright State 194.70 30 13 0.698 0.459 0.464
Xavier 208.82 19 26 0.422 0.511 0.339

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation