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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Valparaiso

Last updated: Sat May 28 06:48:19 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.487
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.492
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3665


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 32 22 0.593 0.510 0.424 0.00105
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 32 22 0.593 0.510 0.424 0.00105
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 32 22 0.593 0.510 0.424 0.00105
New Orleans New Orleans 31 25 0.554 0.540 0.412 0.00083
New Orleans New Orleans 31 25 0.554 0.540 0.412 0.00083
New Orleans New Orleans 31 25 0.554 0.540 0.412 0.00083
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00085
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00085
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 38 17 0.691 0.501 0.471 0.00190
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 38 17 0.691 0.501 0.471 0.00190
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 38 17 0.691 0.501 0.471 0.00190
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 39 17 0.696 0.533 0.481 0.00208
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 39 17 0.696 0.533 0.481 0.00208
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 39 17 0.696 0.533 0.481 0.00208
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 39 17 0.696 0.533 0.481 0.00208
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.469 0.302 -0.00117
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.469 0.302 -0.00117
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.469 0.302 -0.00117
Wright State Valparaiso 42 15 0.737 0.463 0.484 0.00214
Wright State Valparaiso 42 15 0.737 0.463 0.484 0.00214
Wright State Valparaiso 42 15 0.737 0.463 0.484 0.00214
Ball State Valparaiso 32 26 0.552 0.441 0.386 0.00035
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 29 24 0.547 0.473 0.392 0.00046
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 29 24 0.547 0.473 0.392 0.00046
Illinois State Valparaiso 17 37 0.315 0.516 0.286 -0.00146
Western Michigan Western Michigan 20 31 0.392 0.461 0.311 -0.00101
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 0.00035
Oakland Oakland 21 27 0.438 0.485 0.340 -0.00048
Oakland Oakland 21 27 0.438 0.485 0.340 -0.00048
Oakland Oakland 21 27 0.438 0.485 0.340 -0.00048
Chicago State Chicago State 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222 -0.00263
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 30 0.444 0.482 0.343 -0.00043
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 30 0.444 0.482 0.343 -0.00043
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Valparaiso 29 24 0.547 0.473 0.392 0.00046
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Valparaiso 29 24 0.547 0.473 0.392 0.00046
Chicago State Valparaiso 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222 -0.00263
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 24 30 0.444 0.482 0.343 -0.00043
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 24 30 0.444 0.482 0.343 -0.00043
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 24 30 0.444 0.482 0.343 -0.00043
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00066
Wright State Wright State 42 15 0.737 0.463 0.484 0.00214
Wright State Wright State 42 15 0.737 0.463 0.484 0.00214
Northern Kentucky Valparaiso 20 34 0.370 0.469 0.302 -0.00117
Northern Kentucky Valparaiso 20 34 0.370 0.469 0.302 -0.00117
Purdue Valparaiso 10 44 0.185 0.525 0.224 -0.00259
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.504 0.261 -0.00192
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.504 0.261 -0.00192
Oakland Valparaiso 21 27 0.438 0.485 0.340 -0.00048
Oakland Valparaiso 21 27 0.438 0.485 0.340 -0.00048
Youngstown State Valparaiso 14 38 0.269 0.504 0.261 -0.00192
Youngstown State Valparaiso 14 38 0.269 0.504 0.261 -0.00192
Youngstown State Valparaiso 14 38 0.269 0.504 0.261 -0.00192
Northern Kentucky neutral 20 34 0.370 0.469 0.302 -0.00117
Illinois-Chicago neutral 24 30 0.444 0.482 0.343 -0.00043
Wisconsin-Milwaukee neutral 29 24 0.547 0.473 0.392 0.00046
Wisconsin-Milwaukee neutral 29 24 0.547 0.473 0.392 0.00046

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 120.27 32 26 0.552 0.441 0.386
Bradley 143.88 25 19 0.568 0.482 0.404
Butler 120.43 12 40 0.231 0.500 0.240
Chicago State 34.55 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222
Eastern Illinois 149.65 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
IPFW 102.90 29 24 0.547 0.407 0.375
Illinois 113.10 28 23 0.549 0.546 0.411
Illinois State 121.60 17 37 0.315 0.516 0.286
Illinois-Chicago 42.36 24 30 0.444 0.482 0.343
Indiana State 138.40 35 20 0.636 0.509 0.445
Northern Illinois 95.92 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 54.02 15 38 0.283 0.487 0.263
Notre Dame 44.66 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386
Purdue 70.82 10 44 0.185 0.525 0.224
Western Michigan 93.02 20 31 0.392 0.461 0.311
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 122.30 29 24 0.547 0.473 0.392

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 287.93 0.000
Bowling Green State 176.43 16 37 0.302 0.476 0.270
Central Michigan 185.84 21 36 0.368 0.489 0.306
Cincinnati 208.69 26 30 0.464 0.543 0.368
Dayton 190.39 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294
Eastern Kentucky 295.56 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
Eastern Michigan 182.63 21 35 0.375 0.502 0.313
Evansville 242.22 27 26 0.509 0.501 0.380
Indiana 160.09 32 23 0.582 0.498 0.415
Iowa 234.17 25 25 0.500 0.560 0.390
Kent State 296.17 42 12 0.778 0.448 0.501
Kentucky 272.70 32 25 0.561 0.551 0.418
Louisville 234.76 47 10 0.825 0.582 0.558
Miami, Ohio 180.85 27 28 0.491 0.468 0.362
Michigan 178.25 36 20 0.643 0.525 0.453
Michigan State 157.25 35 18 0.660 0.485 0.451
Morehead State 295.89 31 25 0.554 0.503 0.403
Northern Kentucky 215.80 20 34 0.370 0.469 0.302
Oakland 213.15 21 27 0.438 0.485 0.340
Ohio 298.11 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Ohio State 232.47 39 17 0.696 0.491 0.471
Southern Illinois 284.44 31 24 0.564 0.511 0.410
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 242.25 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
St. Louis 258.23 24 31 0.436 0.455 0.332
Toledo 178.19 19 37 0.339 0.507 0.296
Western Illinois 202.45 13 35 0.271 0.491 0.258
Wright State 194.70 42 15 0.737 0.463 0.484
Xavier 208.82 28 28 0.500 0.528 0.382

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation