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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Villanova

Last updated: Tue Mar 17 06:30:06 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.368
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.480
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.304


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
North Carolina State North Carolina State 10 7 0.588 0.506 0.420 0.00725
Appalachian State neutral 5 14 0.263 0.501 0.257 -0.00294
Notre Dame neutral 14 4 0.778 0.548 0.526 0.01388
Northwestern neutral 4 13 0.235 0.468 0.234 -0.00437
Incarnate Word neutral 7 13 0.350 0.509 0.302 -0.00013
Northwestern neutral 4 13 0.235 0.468 0.234 -0.00437
Chicago State neutral 5 13 0.278 0.481 0.259 -0.00281
Chicago State neutral 5 13 0.278 0.481 0.259 -0.00281
North Dakota State neutral 5 11 0.312 0.397 0.255 -0.00306
Boston College neutral 5 12 0.294 0.599 0.297 -0.00044
Mount St. Mary's neutral 2 8 0.200 0.554 0.239 -0.00406
Indiana neutral 13 4 0.765 0.501 0.508 0.01275
St. Bonaventure neutral 9 2 0.818 0.295 0.483 0.01119
LaSalle LaSalle 8 10 0.444 0.493 0.345 0.00256
Niagara Villanova 2 11 0.154 0.397 0.176 -0.00800
Wagner Villanova 2 8 0.200 0.475 0.219 -0.00531

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Army 112.13 9 4 0.692 0.175 0.390
Binghamton 140.76 3 8 0.273 0.463 0.252
Bucknell 101.77 9 5 0.643 0.389 0.419
Columbia 88.88 3 6 0.333 0.683 0.337
Coppin State 101.23 1 9 0.100 0.519 0.180
Delaware 40.01 6 3 0.667 0.357 0.423
Delaware State 66.29 1 10 0.091 0.546 0.182
Fairfield 128.46 0 8 0.000 0.719 0.180
Fairleigh Dickinson 85.34 3 6 0.333 0.220 0.222
Fordham 89.80 4 12 0.250 0.501 0.250
George Mason 140.10 6 9 0.400 0.432 0.308
George Washington 130.71 8 6 0.571 0.422 0.391
Georgetown 124.56 6 8 0.429 0.456 0.329
Hofstra 98.04 3 8 0.273 0.491 0.259
Iona 96.83 3 15 0.167 0.490 0.206
LIU Brooklyn 79.31 6 5 0.545 0.404 0.374
LaSalle 9.39 8 10 0.444 0.493 0.345
Lafayette 42.57 1 6 0.143 0.376 0.165
Lehigh 31.96 3 9 0.250 0.356 0.214
Manhattan 90.29 3 12 0.200 0.346 0.186
Marist 130.97 1 8 0.111 0.503 0.181
Maryland 117.93 11 4 0.733 0.478 0.486
Maryland-Baltimore County 96.60 2 6 0.250 0.301 0.200
Maryland-Eastern Shore 133.78 4 10 0.286 0.577 0.287
Monmouth 68.40 2 10 0.167 0.705 0.260
Mount St. Mary's 113.22 2 8 0.200 0.554 0.239
Navy 101.46 14 5 0.737 0.164 0.409
New Jersey Tech 72.97 4 4 0.500 0.450 0.362
New York Tech 100.56 1 3 0.250 0.733 0.308
Penn State 142.89 1 13 0.071 0.660 0.201
Pennsylvania 13.39 1 7 0.125 0.472 0.180
Princeton 37.16 1 8 0.111 0.559 0.195
Rider 30.67 3 9 0.250 0.637 0.284
Rutgers 52.58 2 12 0.143 0.600 0.221
Sacred Heart 131.85 1 11 0.083 0.466 0.158
Seton Hall 69.46 5 8 0.385 0.491 0.315
St. John's 89.01 7 8 0.467 0.556 0.373
St. Joseph's 9.12 4 9 0.308 0.412 0.257
St. Peter's 75.40 0 7 0.000 0.500 0.125
Stony Brook 126.51 6 8 0.429 0.521 0.345
Temple 5.68 0.000
Towson 86.48 2 12 0.143 0.451 0.184
Wagner 73.31 2 8 0.200 0.475 0.219
Yale 146.98 4 4 0.500 0.428 0.357

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 192.21 2 7 0.222 0.499 0.236
Boston College 263.19 5 12 0.294 0.599 0.297
Brown 234.92 1 9 0.100 0.512 0.178
Bryant 231.68 2 11 0.154 0.483 0.198
Buffalo 268.18 3 10 0.231 0.465 0.232
Canisius 267.19 7 11 0.389 0.468 0.311
Central Connecticut State 171.02 4 4 0.500 0.389 0.347
Connecticut 196.09 10 6 0.625 0.481 0.433
Cornell 171.85 2 7 0.222 0.464 0.227
Dartmouth 291.54 1 6 0.143 0.745 0.258
Hartford 177.55 5 8 0.385 0.337 0.277
Harvard 265.93 5 7 0.417 0.617 0.363
Holy Cross 232.60 5 13 0.278 0.578 0.283
James Madison 224.06 9 7 0.562 0.318 0.361
Liberty 283.83 12 6 0.667 0.463 0.449
Longwood 257.42 6 11 0.353 0.637 0.336
Massachusetts 212.09 0 3 0.000 0.600 0.150
Massachusetts-Lowell 270.01 3 6 0.333 0.575 0.310
Niagara 281.98 2 11 0.154 0.397 0.176
Norfolk State 232.45 4 6 0.400 0.385 0.296
Northeastern 265.41 7 9 0.438 0.453 0.332
Old Dominion 230.52 8 7 0.533 0.373 0.360
Pittsburgh 247.48 8 9 0.471 0.558 0.375
Quinnipiac 154.19 2 11 0.154 0.628 0.234
Rhode Island 217.59 2 6 0.250 0.672 0.293
Richmond 213.50 6 6 0.500 0.460 0.365
Siena 196.28 3 11 0.214 0.607 0.259
St. Bonaventure 214.39 9 2 0.818 0.295 0.483
VMI 275.03 4 6 0.400 0.363 0.291
Virginia 224.72 12 5 0.706 0.459 0.468
Virginia Commonwealth 211.57 8 8 0.500 0.458 0.364
West Virginia 251.05 8 8 0.500 0.621 0.405
William and Mary 210.68 10 5 0.667 0.441 0.444
Youngstown State 296.20 3 7 0.300 0.551 0.288

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation