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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Villanova

Last updated: Fri Apr 29 07:02:21 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.483
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.469
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.35875


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Houston Houston 23 16 0.590 0.544 0.431 0.00181
Houston Houston 23 16 0.590 0.544 0.431 0.00181
Houston Houston 23 16 0.590 0.544 0.431 0.00181
Chicago State neutral 9 31 0.225 0.432 0.221 -0.00344
Dartmouth neutral 15 23 0.395 0.457 0.312 -0.00117
Boston College neutral 21 16 0.568 0.556 0.423 0.00161
Indiana State neutral 24 16 0.600 0.495 0.424 0.00163
Florida State Florida State 28 11 0.718 0.624 0.515 0.00391
Stetson Stetson 20 21 0.488 0.517 0.373 0.00036
Central Michigan neutral 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252 -0.00267
Illinois neutral 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400 0.00103
Delaware State Villanova 10 30 0.250 0.437 0.234 -0.00312
Lehigh Villanova 19 26 0.422 0.434 0.320 -0.00097
Fordham Fordham 22 21 0.512 0.451 0.369 0.00026
Stony Brook Stony Brook 17 19 0.472 0.482 0.356 -0.00007
St. Peter's Villanova 6 31 0.162 0.434 0.190 -0.00422
LaSalle LaSalle 12 30 0.286 0.450 0.256 -0.00257
Pennsylvania Villanova 18 19 0.486 0.429 0.350 -0.00022
St. Peter's Villanova 6 31 0.162 0.434 0.190 -0.00422
Sacred Heart Villanova 21 16 0.568 0.453 0.397 0.00096
Sacred Heart Villanova 21 16 0.568 0.453 0.397 0.00096
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 21 15 0.583 0.484 0.412 0.00133
Hartford Villanova 26 12 0.684 0.475 0.461 0.00256
Hartford Villanova 26 12 0.684 0.475 0.461 0.00256
Hartford Villanova 26 12 0.684 0.475 0.461 0.00256
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania 18 19 0.486 0.429 0.350 -0.00022
St. Bonaventure Villanova 18 16 0.529 0.383 0.360 0.00003
St. Bonaventure Villanova 18 16 0.529 0.383 0.360 0.00003
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 21 15 0.583 0.484 0.412 0.00133
Butler Villanova 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246 -0.00282
Butler Villanova 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246 -0.00282
Butler Villanova 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246 -0.00282
St. John's Villanova 21 16 0.568 0.431 0.392 0.00083
St. John's Villanova 21 16 0.568 0.431 0.392 0.00083
St. John's Villanova 21 16 0.568 0.431 0.392 0.00083
LaSalle Villanova 12 30 0.286 0.450 0.256 -0.00257
Seton Hall Seton Hall 30 12 0.714 0.438 0.466 0.00268
Seton Hall Seton Hall 30 12 0.714 0.438 0.466 0.00268
Seton Hall Seton Hall 30 12 0.714 0.438 0.466 0.00268
Rutgers Rutgers 21 20 0.512 0.561 0.396 0.00093

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Army 112.13 15 28 0.349 0.495 0.298
Binghamton 140.76 17 20 0.459 0.501 0.355
Bucknell 101.77 16 29 0.356 0.420 0.283
Columbia 88.88 13 23 0.361 0.484 0.301
Coppin State 101.23 9 31 0.225 0.352 0.201
Delaware 40.01 24 16 0.600 0.451 0.413
Delaware State 66.29 10 30 0.250 0.437 0.234
Fairfield 128.46 21 18 0.538 0.426 0.376
Fairleigh Dickinson 85.34 19 21 0.475 0.437 0.347
Fordham 89.80 22 21 0.512 0.451 0.369
George Mason 140.10 13 28 0.317 0.449 0.271
George Washington 130.71 19 23 0.452 0.468 0.343
Georgetown 124.56 19 23 0.452 0.484 0.347
Hofstra 98.04 13 27 0.325 0.477 0.282
Iona 96.83 8 28 0.222 0.491 0.234
LIU Brooklyn 79.31 11 26 0.297 0.450 0.261
LaSalle 9.39 12 30 0.286 0.450 0.256
Lafayette 42.57 13 26 0.333 0.468 0.284
Lehigh 31.96 19 26 0.422 0.434 0.320
Manhattan 90.29 13 24 0.351 0.505 0.302
Marist 130.97 18 19 0.486 0.453 0.356
Maryland 117.93 22 18 0.550 0.570 0.417
Maryland-Baltimore County 96.60 19 18 0.514 0.435 0.366
Maryland-Eastern Shore 133.78 13 27 0.325 0.374 0.256
Monmouth 68.40 20 20 0.500 0.464 0.366
Mount St. Mary's 113.22 9 27 0.250 0.366 0.216
Navy 101.46 34 11 0.756 0.418 0.482
New Jersey Tech 72.97 15 23 0.395 0.443 0.308
New York Tech 100.56 17 21 0.447 0.401 0.324
Penn State 142.89 24 18 0.571 0.509 0.413
Pennsylvania 13.39 18 19 0.486 0.429 0.350
Princeton 37.16 19 17 0.528 0.518 0.394
Rider 30.67 13 25 0.342 0.489 0.293
Rutgers 52.58 21 20 0.512 0.561 0.396
Sacred Heart 131.85 21 16 0.568 0.453 0.397
Seton Hall 69.46 30 12 0.714 0.438 0.466
St. John's 89.01 21 16 0.568 0.431 0.392
St. Joseph's 9.12 21 15 0.583 0.484 0.412
St. Peter's 75.40 6 31 0.162 0.434 0.190
Stony Brook 126.51 17 19 0.472 0.482 0.356
Temple 5.68 0.000
Towson 86.48 15 27 0.357 0.471 0.296
Wagner 73.31 11 26 0.297 0.454 0.262
Yale 146.98 15 23 0.395 0.499 0.322

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 192.21 16 20 0.444 0.475 0.341
Boston College 263.19 21 16 0.568 0.556 0.423
Brown 234.92 12 23 0.343 0.454 0.285
Bryant 231.68 30 7 0.811 0.475 0.524
Buffalo 268.18 12 24 0.333 0.434 0.275
Canisius 267.19 23 18 0.561 0.430 0.388
Central Connecticut State 171.02 18 21 0.462 0.475 0.350
Connecticut 196.09 22 18 0.550 0.537 0.409
Cornell 171.85 13 19 0.406 0.434 0.311
Dartmouth 291.54 15 23 0.395 0.457 0.312
Hartford 177.55 26 12 0.684 0.475 0.461
Harvard 265.93 16 21 0.432 0.453 0.329
Holy Cross 232.60 22 23 0.489 0.454 0.358
James Madison 224.06 17 24 0.415 0.501 0.333
Liberty 283.83 22 22 0.500 0.519 0.380
Longwood 257.42 24 18 0.571 0.479 0.405
Massachusetts 212.09 11 19 0.367 0.426 0.290
Massachusetts-Lowell 270.01 17 20 0.459 0.482 0.350
Niagara 281.98 12 26 0.316 0.479 0.278
Norfolk State 232.45 20 17 0.541 0.360 0.361
Northeastern 265.41 19 19 0.500 0.452 0.363
Old Dominion 230.52 25 16 0.610 0.543 0.441
Pittsburgh 247.48 21 14 0.600 0.554 0.439
Quinnipiac 154.19 17 23 0.425 0.424 0.319
Rhode Island 217.59 17 20 0.459 0.513 0.358
Richmond 213.50 22 16 0.579 0.482 0.410
Siena 196.28 13 26 0.333 0.448 0.279
St. Bonaventure 214.39 18 16 0.529 0.383 0.360
VMI 275.03 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322
Virginia 224.72 27 17 0.614 0.595 0.456
Virginia Commonwealth 211.57 28 14 0.667 0.490 0.456
West Virginia 251.05 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394
William and Mary 210.68 20 21 0.488 0.517 0.373
Youngstown State 296.20 9 26 0.257 0.516 0.258

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation