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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:40 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.564
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.534
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4155


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Kentucky neutral 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452 0.00079
VMI neutral 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399 -0.00036
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393 -0.00049
William and Mary William and Mary 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460 0.00097
East Carolina Virginia 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419 0.00008
East Carolina Virginia 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419 0.00008
East Carolina Virginia 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419 0.00008
VMI Virginia 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399 -0.00036
Monmouth Virginia 19 20 0.487 0.426 0.350 -0.00142
Monmouth Virginia 19 20 0.487 0.426 0.350 -0.00142
Monmouth Virginia 19 20 0.487 0.426 0.350 -0.00142
Duke Duke 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00055
Duke Duke 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00055
Duke Duke 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00055
James Madison Virginia 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311 -0.00227
Boston College Virginia 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336 -0.00173
Boston College Virginia 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336 -0.00173
Boston College Virginia 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336 -0.00173
Towson Virginia 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362 -0.00116
Princeton Virginia 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300 -0.00251
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 34 14 0.708 0.559 0.494 0.00171
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 34 14 0.708 0.559 0.494 0.00171
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 34 14 0.708 0.559 0.494 0.00171
Longwood Virginia 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331 -0.00184
Virginia Tech Virginia 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344 -0.00155
Virginia Tech Virginia 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344 -0.00155
Virginia Tech Virginia 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344 -0.00155
Old Dominion Virginia 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439 0.00051
George Washington Virginia 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289 -0.00275
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366 -0.00108
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366 -0.00108
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366 -0.00108
James Madison James Madison 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311 -0.00227
Clemson Virginia 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443 0.00060
Clemson Virginia 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443 0.00060
Clemson Virginia 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443 0.00060
William and Mary Virginia 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460 0.00097
North Carolina Virginia 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00049
North Carolina Virginia 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00049
North Carolina Virginia 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00049
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471 0.00121
Richmond Virginia 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361 -0.00118
Florida State Florida State 37 11 0.771 0.562 0.526 0.00240
Florida State Florida State 37 11 0.771 0.562 0.526 0.00240
Florida State Florida State 37 11 0.771 0.562 0.526 0.00240
Old Dominion neutral 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439 0.00051

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Coppin State 123.64 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Duke 143.53 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
Elon 144.65 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
George Mason 84.62 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 94.44 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 100.32 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
James Madison 33.99 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Liberty 60.12 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Longwood 52.37 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
Maryland 107.01 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 128.12 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Mount St. Mary's 129.15 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 127.02 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Norfolk State 148.71 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
North Carolina Central 142.77 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
Old Dominion 145.14 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Radford 127.41 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Richmond 62.14 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
Towson 138.50 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
VMI 53.43 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia Commonwealth 66.02 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
Virginia Tech 119.12 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
West Virginia 136.25 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
William and Mary 110.54 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 263.13 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Appalachian State 216.15 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Bucknell 218.63 25 17 0.595 0.474 0.416
Campbell 182.50 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Davidson 217.77 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
Delaware 186.10 21 21 0.500 0.531 0.383
Delaware State 178.48 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412
East Carolina 180.92 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
East Tennessee State 243.50 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Gardner-Webb 260.90 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
High Point 164.78 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
Kent State 261.26 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
LaSalle 226.81 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268
Lafayette 255.31 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303
Lehigh 243.27 23 21 0.523 0.410 0.364
Marshall 170.20 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Maryland-Eastern Shore 154.14 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Monmouth 286.32 19 20 0.487 0.426 0.350
Morehead State 267.17 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
New Jersey Tech 297.65 16 21 0.432 0.328 0.298
North Carolina 150.71 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina A&T 152.67 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina State 156.35 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
North Carolina-Asheville 280.10 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
North Carolina-Charlotte 225.77 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
North Carolina-Greensboro 154.34 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
North Carolina-Wilmington 266.59 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393
Ohio 213.04 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Ohio State 277.53 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Penn State 194.38 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311
Pennsylvania 221.30 23 17 0.575 0.464 0.403
Pittsburgh 183.07 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Princeton 260.94 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300
Rider 254.13 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265
Rutgers 277.04 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392
Seton Hall 294.18 33 11 0.750 0.382 0.471
South Carolina-Upstate 284.55 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
St. Bonaventure 278.70 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262
St. Joseph's 221.18 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478
St. Peter's 299.93 11 34 0.244 0.508 0.249
Temple 230.35 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275
Villanova 224.72 13 30 0.302 0.522 0.281
Wagner 297.38 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291
Wake Forest 163.40 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
Winthrop 255.38 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348
Wofford 285.44 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367
Youngstown State 249.52 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation