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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia

Last updated: Tue Mar 17 06:30:06 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.459
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.498
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.354


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
East Carolina East Carolina 13 6 0.684 0.491 0.465 0.00653
East Carolina East Carolina 13 6 0.684 0.491 0.465 0.00653
East Carolina East Carolina 13 6 0.684 0.491 0.465 0.00653
Marist neutral 1 8 0.111 0.503 0.181 -0.01018
Marist neutral 1 8 0.111 0.503 0.181 -0.01018
LaSalle neutral 8 10 0.444 0.493 0.345 -0.00053
Marist neutral 1 8 0.111 0.503 0.181 -0.01018
Hartford neutral 5 8 0.385 0.337 0.277 -0.00453
Seton Hall neutral 5 8 0.385 0.491 0.315 -0.00229
Cornell neutral 2 7 0.222 0.464 0.227 -0.00747
Pittsburgh neutral 8 9 0.471 0.558 0.375 0.00124
Pittsburgh neutral 8 9 0.471 0.558 0.375 0.00124
Pittsburgh neutral 8 9 0.471 0.558 0.375 0.00124
Old Dominion Virginia 8 7 0.533 0.373 0.360 0.00035
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401 0.00276
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401 0.00276
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401 0.00276

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Coppin State 123.64 1 9 0.100 0.519 0.180
Duke 143.53 14 5 0.737 0.540 0.504
Elon 144.65 8 9 0.471 0.510 0.363
George Mason 84.62 6 9 0.400 0.432 0.308
George Washington 94.44 8 6 0.571 0.422 0.391
Georgetown 100.32 6 8 0.429 0.456 0.329
James Madison 33.99 9 7 0.562 0.318 0.361
Liberty 60.12 12 6 0.667 0.463 0.449
Longwood 52.37 6 11 0.353 0.637 0.336
Maryland 107.01 11 4 0.733 0.478 0.486
Maryland-Baltimore County 128.12 2 6 0.250 0.301 0.200
Mount St. Mary's 129.15 2 8 0.200 0.554 0.239
Navy 127.02 14 5 0.737 0.164 0.409
Norfolk State 148.71 4 6 0.400 0.385 0.296
North Carolina Central 142.77 6 11 0.353 0.374 0.270
Old Dominion 145.14 8 7 0.533 0.373 0.360
Radford 127.41 9 9 0.500 0.386 0.347
Richmond 62.14 6 6 0.500 0.460 0.365
Towson 138.50 2 12 0.143 0.451 0.184
VMI 53.43 4 6 0.400 0.363 0.291
Virginia Commonwealth 66.02 8 8 0.500 0.458 0.364
Virginia Tech 119.12 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401
West Virginia 136.25 8 8 0.500 0.621 0.405
William and Mary 110.54 10 5 0.667 0.441 0.444

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 263.13 8 7 0.533 0.531 0.399
Appalachian State 216.15 5 14 0.263 0.501 0.257
Bucknell 218.63 9 5 0.643 0.389 0.419
Campbell 182.50 17 2 0.895 0.411 0.550
Davidson 217.77 9 5 0.643 0.540 0.457
Delaware 186.10 6 3 0.667 0.357 0.423
Delaware State 178.48 1 10 0.091 0.546 0.182
East Carolina 180.92 13 6 0.684 0.491 0.465
East Tennessee State 243.50 10 7 0.588 0.334 0.378
Gardner-Webb 260.90 11 8 0.579 0.468 0.406
High Point 164.78 7 10 0.412 0.570 0.348
Kent State 261.26 8 7 0.533 0.516 0.396
LaSalle 226.81 8 10 0.444 0.493 0.345
Lafayette 255.31 1 6 0.143 0.376 0.165
Lehigh 243.27 3 9 0.250 0.356 0.214
Marshall 170.20 6 11 0.353 0.480 0.296
Maryland-Eastern Shore 154.14 4 10 0.286 0.577 0.287
Monmouth 286.32 2 10 0.167 0.705 0.260
Morehead State 267.17 10 5 0.667 0.522 0.464
New Jersey Tech 297.65 4 4 0.500 0.450 0.362
North Carolina 150.71 12 7 0.632 0.557 0.455
North Carolina A&T 152.67 2 12 0.143 0.379 0.166
North Carolina State 156.35 10 7 0.588 0.506 0.420
North Carolina-Asheville 280.10 8 10 0.444 0.522 0.353
North Carolina-Charlotte 225.77 4 9 0.308 0.581 0.299
North Carolina-Greensboro 154.34 6 10 0.375 0.379 0.282
North Carolina-Wilmington 266.59 11 5 0.688 0.604 0.495
Ohio 213.04 10 6 0.625 0.430 0.420
Ohio State 277.53 10 5 0.667 0.584 0.480
Penn State 194.38 1 13 0.071 0.660 0.201
Pennsylvania 221.30 1 7 0.125 0.472 0.180
Pittsburgh 183.07 8 9 0.471 0.558 0.375
Princeton 260.94 1 8 0.111 0.559 0.195
Rider 254.13 3 9 0.250 0.637 0.284
Rutgers 277.04 2 12 0.143 0.600 0.221
Seton Hall 294.18 5 8 0.385 0.491 0.315
South Carolina-Upstate 284.55 7 11 0.389 0.434 0.303
St. Bonaventure 278.70 9 2 0.818 0.295 0.483
St. Joseph's 221.18 4 9 0.308 0.412 0.257
St. Peter's 299.93 0 7 0.000 0.500 0.125
Temple 230.35 0.000
Villanova 224.72 6 10 0.375 0.368 0.279
Wagner 297.38 2 8 0.200 0.475 0.219
Wake Forest 163.40 13 8 0.619 0.522 0.440
Winthrop 255.38 13 5 0.722 0.438 0.470
Wofford 285.44 16 5 0.762 0.421 0.486
Youngstown State 249.52 3 7 0.300 0.551 0.288

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation