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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia

Last updated: Sun May 29 06:48:44 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.580
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.542
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4255


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Kent State neutral 42 12 0.778 0.447 0.501 0.00135
Appalachian State neutral 18 36 0.333 0.499 0.291 -0.00240
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 43 15 0.741 0.557 0.510 0.00151
VMI Virginia 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306 -0.00213
East Carolina Virginia 34 21 0.618 0.551 0.447 0.00038
East Carolina Virginia 34 21 0.618 0.551 0.447 0.00038
East Carolina Virginia 34 21 0.618 0.551 0.447 0.00038
William and Mary Virginia 27 29 0.482 0.525 0.372 -0.00096
Monmouth Virginia 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377 -0.00087
Monmouth Virginia 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377 -0.00087
Monmouth Virginia 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377 -0.00087
Wagner Virginia 19 33 0.365 0.457 0.297 -0.00229
Wagner Virginia 19 33 0.365 0.457 0.297 -0.00229
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445 0.00035
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445 0.00035
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445 0.00035
Towson Virginia 20 35 0.364 0.494 0.305 -0.00215
Towson Virginia 20 35 0.364 0.494 0.305 -0.00215
Wake Forest Virginia 34 24 0.586 0.566 0.434 0.00015
Wake Forest Virginia 34 24 0.586 0.566 0.434 0.00015
Wake Forest Virginia 34 24 0.586 0.566 0.434 0.00015
James Madison Virginia 24 31 0.436 0.509 0.345 -0.00144
Louisville Louisville 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551 0.00224
Louisville Louisville 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551 0.00224
Louisville Louisville 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551 0.00224
Old Dominion Virginia 32 24 0.571 0.524 0.416 -0.00017
North Carolina State Virginia 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472 0.00083
North Carolina State Virginia 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472 0.00083
North Carolina State Virginia 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472 0.00083
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456 0.00054
George Washington Virginia 24 33 0.421 0.495 0.334 -0.00163
Boston College Boston College 31 20 0.608 0.538 0.439 0.00024
Boston College Boston College 31 20 0.608 0.538 0.439 0.00024
Boston College Boston College 31 20 0.608 0.538 0.439 0.00024
Longwood Virginia 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 -0.00065
North Carolina Virginia 34 21 0.618 0.597 0.458 0.00058
North Carolina Virginia 34 21 0.618 0.597 0.458 0.00058
North Carolina Virginia 34 21 0.618 0.597 0.458 0.00058
Radford Virginia 19 39 0.328 0.540 0.299 -0.00226
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456 0.00054
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 43 10 0.811 0.598 0.555 0.00231
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 43 10 0.811 0.598 0.555 0.00231
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 43 10 0.811 0.598 0.555 0.00231
Old Dominion Old Dominion 32 24 0.571 0.524 0.416 -0.00017
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383 -0.00076
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383 -0.00076
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383 -0.00076
Liberty Liberty 31 27 0.534 0.522 0.398 -0.00049
Georgia Tech Virginia 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00046
Georgia Tech Virginia 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00046
Georgia Tech Virginia 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00046
Virginia Tech Virginia 19 36 0.345 0.525 0.304 -0.00217
Virginia Tech Virginia 19 36 0.345 0.525 0.304 -0.00217
Virginia Tech Virginia 19 36 0.345 0.525 0.304 -0.00217
Clemson neutral 40 18 0.690 0.584 0.491 0.00117
Wake Forest neutral 34 24 0.586 0.566 0.434 0.00015
Louisville neutral 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551 0.00224

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Coppin State 123.64 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
Duke 143.53 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445
Elon 144.65 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354
George Mason 84.62 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 94.44 24 33 0.421 0.495 0.334
Georgetown 100.32 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351
James Madison 33.99 24 31 0.436 0.509 0.345
Liberty 60.12 31 27 0.534 0.522 0.398
Longwood 52.37 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Maryland 107.01 30 26 0.536 0.569 0.410
Maryland-Baltimore County 128.12 28 23 0.549 0.450 0.387
Mount St. Mary's 129.15 11 37 0.229 0.437 0.224
Navy 127.02 41 14 0.745 0.416 0.476
Norfolk State 148.71 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina Central 142.77 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322
Old Dominion 145.14 32 24 0.571 0.524 0.416
Radford 127.41 19 39 0.328 0.540 0.299
Richmond 62.14 28 24 0.538 0.459 0.384
Towson 138.50 20 35 0.364 0.494 0.305
VMI 53.43 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306
Virginia Commonwealth 66.02 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456
Virginia Tech 119.12 19 36 0.345 0.525 0.304
West Virginia 136.25 35 21 0.625 0.514 0.441
William and Mary 110.54 27 29 0.482 0.525 0.372

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 263.13 0.000
Appalachian State 216.15 18 36 0.333 0.499 0.291
Bucknell 218.63 18 34 0.346 0.472 0.291
Campbell 182.50 26 27 0.491 0.513 0.374
Davidson 217.77 28 25 0.528 0.489 0.386
Delaware 186.10 31 22 0.585 0.480 0.412
Delaware State 178.48 13 37 0.260 0.444 0.241
East Carolina 180.92 34 21 0.618 0.551 0.447
East Tennessee State 243.50 27 30 0.474 0.432 0.345
Gardner-Webb 260.90 37 21 0.638 0.435 0.428
High Point 164.78 32 24 0.571 0.517 0.415
Kent State 261.26 42 12 0.778 0.447 0.501
LaSalle 226.81 15 39 0.278 0.458 0.254
Lafayette 255.31 14 29 0.326 0.463 0.279
Lehigh 243.27 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332
Marshall 170.20 34 20 0.630 0.522 0.446
Maryland-Eastern Shore 154.14 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Monmouth 286.32 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377
Morehead State 267.17 31 27 0.534 0.506 0.394
New Jersey Tech 297.65 16 36 0.308 0.478 0.273
North Carolina 150.71 34 21 0.618 0.597 0.458
North Carolina A&T 152.67 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234
North Carolina State 156.35 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472
North Carolina-Asheville 280.10 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259
North Carolina-Charlotte 225.77 23 32 0.418 0.541 0.344
North Carolina-Greensboro 154.34 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447
North Carolina-Wilmington 266.59 39 15 0.722 0.513 0.489
Ohio 213.04 23 29 0.442 0.441 0.331
Ohio State 277.53 39 18 0.684 0.491 0.465
Penn State 194.38 28 27 0.509 0.523 0.385
Pennsylvania 221.30 19 22 0.463 0.439 0.341
Pittsburgh 183.07 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383
Princeton 260.94 24 19 0.558 0.497 0.403
Rider 254.13 18 33 0.353 0.453 0.290
Rutgers 277.04 27 28 0.491 0.530 0.378
Seton Hall 294.18 38 20 0.655 0.441 0.438
South Carolina-Upstate 284.55 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331
St. Bonaventure 278.70 26 22 0.542 0.409 0.373
St. Joseph's 221.18 31 23 0.574 0.487 0.409
St. Peter's 299.93 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203
Temple 230.35 0.000
Villanova 224.72 20 32 0.385 0.485 0.314
Wagner 297.38 19 33 0.365 0.457 0.297
Wake Forest 163.40 34 24 0.586 0.566 0.434
Winthrop 255.38 28 27 0.509 0.481 0.375
Wofford 285.44 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377
Youngstown State 249.52 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation