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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:13 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.576 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.542 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.4235 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Kent State | neutral | 43 | 14 | 0.754 | 0.444 | 0.488 | 0.00108 |
Appalachian State | neutral | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 | -0.00222 |
Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | 55 | 18 | 0.753 | 0.580 | 0.521 | 0.00163 |
VMI | Virginia | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 | -0.00196 |
East Carolina | Virginia | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 | 0.00046 |
East Carolina | Virginia | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 | 0.00046 |
East Carolina | Virginia | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 | 0.00046 |
William and Mary | Virginia | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 | -0.00064 |
Monmouth | Virginia | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.452 | 0.376 | -0.00079 |
Monmouth | Virginia | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.452 | 0.376 | -0.00079 |
Monmouth | Virginia | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.452 | 0.376 | -0.00079 |
Wagner | Virginia | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.454 | 0.296 | -0.00213 |
Wagner | Virginia | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.454 | 0.296 | -0.00213 |
Duke | Duke | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 | 0.00018 |
Duke | Duke | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 | 0.00018 |
Duke | Duke | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 | 0.00018 |
Towson | Virginia | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.491 | 0.305 | -0.00197 |
Towson | Virginia | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.491 | 0.305 | -0.00197 |
Wake Forest | Virginia | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 | 0.00001 |
Wake Forest | Virginia | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 | 0.00001 |
Wake Forest | Virginia | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 | 0.00001 |
James Madison | Virginia | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.506 | 0.345 | -0.00131 |
Louisville | Louisville | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 | 0.00186 |
Louisville | Louisville | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 | 0.00186 |
Louisville | Louisville | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 | 0.00186 |
Old Dominion | Virginia | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.518 | 0.415 | -0.00014 |
North Carolina State | Virginia | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 | 0.00079 |
North Carolina State | Virginia | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 | 0.00079 |
North Carolina State | Virginia | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 | 0.00079 |
Virginia Commonwealth | Virginia Commonwealth | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 | 0.00054 |
George Washington | Virginia | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 | -0.00149 |
Boston College | Boston College | 35 | 22 | 0.614 | 0.549 | 0.444 | 0.00034 |
Boston College | Boston College | 35 | 22 | 0.614 | 0.549 | 0.444 | 0.00034 |
Boston College | Boston College | 35 | 22 | 0.614 | 0.549 | 0.444 | 0.00034 |
Longwood | Virginia | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.473 | 0.389 | -0.00057 |
North Carolina | Virginia | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.588 | 0.456 | 0.00054 |
North Carolina | Virginia | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.588 | 0.456 | 0.00054 |
North Carolina | Virginia | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.588 | 0.456 | 0.00054 |
Radford | Virginia | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 | -0.00209 |
Virginia Commonwealth | Virginia | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 | 0.00054 |
Miami, Florida | Miami, Florida | 48 | 14 | 0.774 | 0.596 | 0.536 | 0.00188 |
Miami, Florida | Miami, Florida | 48 | 14 | 0.774 | 0.596 | 0.536 | 0.00188 |
Miami, Florida | Miami, Florida | 48 | 14 | 0.774 | 0.596 | 0.536 | 0.00188 |
Old Dominion | Old Dominion | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.518 | 0.415 | -0.00014 |
Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 | -0.00071 |
Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 | -0.00071 |
Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 | -0.00071 |
Liberty | Liberty | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.522 | 0.393 | -0.00051 |
Georgia Tech | Virginia | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.582 | 0.447 | 0.00039 |
Georgia Tech | Virginia | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.582 | 0.447 | 0.00039 |
Georgia Tech | Virginia | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.582 | 0.447 | 0.00039 |
Virginia Tech | Virginia | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 | -0.00202 |
Virginia Tech | Virginia | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 | -0.00202 |
Virginia Tech | Virginia | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 | -0.00202 |
Clemson | neutral | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.579 | 0.489 | 0.00109 |
Wake Forest | neutral | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 | 0.00001 |
Louisville | neutral | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 | 0.00186 |
William and Mary | neutral | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 | -0.00064 |
East Carolina | neutral | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 | 0.00046 |
William and Mary | neutral | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 | -0.00064 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Coppin State | 123.64 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.368 | 0.227 |
Duke | 143.53 | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 |
Elon | 144.65 | 25 | 29 | 0.463 | 0.488 | 0.354 |
George Mason | 84.62 | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 |
George Washington | 94.44 | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 |
Georgetown | 100.32 | 24 | 29 | 0.453 | 0.495 | 0.350 |
James Madison | 33.99 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.506 | 0.345 |
Liberty | 60.12 | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.522 | 0.393 |
Longwood | 52.37 | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.473 | 0.389 |
Maryland | 107.01 | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 |
Maryland-Baltimore County | 128.12 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.447 | 0.386 |
Mount St. Mary's | 129.15 | 11 | 37 | 0.229 | 0.434 | 0.223 |
Navy | 127.02 | 42 | 16 | 0.724 | 0.424 | 0.468 |
Norfolk State | 148.71 | 29 | 21 | 0.580 | 0.370 | 0.382 |
North Carolina Central | 142.77 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.396 | 0.321 |
Old Dominion | 145.14 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.518 | 0.415 |
Radford | 127.41 | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 |
Richmond | 62.14 | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 |
Towson | 138.50 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.491 | 0.305 |
VMI | 53.43 | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 |
Virginia Commonwealth | 66.02 | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 |
Virginia Tech | 119.12 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 |
West Virginia | 136.25 | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 |
William and Mary | 110.54 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Akron | 263.13 | 0.000 | ||||
Appalachian State | 216.15 | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 |
Bucknell | 218.63 | 18 | 34 | 0.346 | 0.468 | 0.290 |
Campbell | 182.50 | 26 | 27 | 0.491 | 0.510 | 0.373 |
Davidson | 217.77 | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 |
Delaware | 186.10 | 31 | 22 | 0.585 | 0.475 | 0.411 |
Delaware State | 178.48 | 13 | 37 | 0.260 | 0.442 | 0.240 |
East Carolina | 180.92 | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 |
East Tennessee State | 243.50 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 |
Gardner-Webb | 260.90 | 37 | 21 | 0.638 | 0.436 | 0.428 |
High Point | 164.78 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 |
Kent State | 261.26 | 43 | 14 | 0.754 | 0.444 | 0.488 |
LaSalle | 226.81 | 15 | 39 | 0.278 | 0.457 | 0.253 |
Lafayette | 255.31 | 14 | 29 | 0.326 | 0.460 | 0.278 |
Lehigh | 243.27 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.443 | 0.332 |
Marshall | 170.20 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.521 | 0.439 |
Maryland-Eastern Shore | 154.14 | 16 | 32 | 0.333 | 0.371 | 0.259 |
Monmouth | 286.32 | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.452 | 0.376 |
Morehead State | 267.17 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 |
New Jersey Tech | 297.65 | 16 | 36 | 0.308 | 0.476 | 0.273 |
North Carolina | 150.71 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.588 | 0.456 |
North Carolina A&T | 152.67 | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 |
North Carolina State | 156.35 | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 |
North Carolina-Asheville | 280.10 | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 |
North Carolina-Charlotte | 225.77 | 23 | 32 | 0.418 | 0.534 | 0.343 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | 154.34 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | 266.59 | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 |
Ohio | 213.04 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.439 | 0.331 |
Ohio State | 277.53 | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 |
Penn State | 194.38 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.514 | 0.383 |
Pennsylvania | 221.30 | 19 | 22 | 0.463 | 0.434 | 0.340 |
Pittsburgh | 183.07 | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 |
Princeton | 260.94 | 24 | 21 | 0.533 | 0.500 | 0.392 |
Rider | 254.13 | 18 | 33 | 0.353 | 0.450 | 0.289 |
Rutgers | 277.04 | 27 | 28 | 0.491 | 0.523 | 0.376 |
Seton Hall | 294.18 | 38 | 20 | 0.655 | 0.440 | 0.438 |
South Carolina-Upstate | 284.55 | 22 | 30 | 0.423 | 0.477 | 0.331 |
St. Bonaventure | 278.70 | 26 | 22 | 0.542 | 0.408 | 0.373 |
St. Joseph's | 221.18 | 31 | 23 | 0.574 | 0.485 | 0.408 |
St. Peter's | 299.93 | 10 | 42 | 0.192 | 0.424 | 0.202 |
Temple | 230.35 | 0.000 | ||||
Villanova | 224.72 | 20 | 32 | 0.385 | 0.484 | 0.314 |
Wagner | 297.38 | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.454 | 0.296 |
Wake Forest | 163.40 | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 |
Winthrop | 255.38 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 |
Wofford | 285.44 | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.474 | 0.377 |
Youngstown State | 249.52 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.498 | 0.259 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |