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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia Commonwealth
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:13 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.488 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.484 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.365 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State | 29 | 27 | 0.518 | 0.487 | 0.381 | 0.00028 |
Georgia State | Georgia State | 23 | 30 | 0.434 | 0.478 | 0.337 | -0.00049 |
Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.582 | 0.447 | 0.00144 |
Eastern Kentucky | neutral | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.471 | 0.336 | -0.00051 |
South Dakota State | neutral | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.485 | 0.297 | -0.00119 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | North Carolina-Wilmington | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 | 0.00188 |
Longwood | Longwood | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.473 | 0.389 | 0.00042 |
Marist | Virginia Commonwealth | 24 | 27 | 0.471 | 0.424 | 0.341 | -0.00042 |
Marist | Virginia Commonwealth | 24 | 27 | 0.471 | 0.424 | 0.341 | -0.00042 |
Marist | Virginia Commonwealth | 24 | 27 | 0.471 | 0.424 | 0.341 | -0.00042 |
Old Dominion | Virginia Commonwealth | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.518 | 0.415 | 0.00088 |
Wagner | Virginia Commonwealth | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.454 | 0.296 | -0.00121 |
Wagner | Virginia Commonwealth | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.454 | 0.296 | -0.00121 |
Wagner | Virginia Commonwealth | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.454 | 0.296 | -0.00121 |
VMI | VMI | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 | -0.00104 |
Monmouth | Virginia Commonwealth | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.452 | 0.376 | 0.00019 |
College of Charleston | College of Charleston | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.555 | 0.411 | 0.00081 |
College of Charleston | College of Charleston | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.555 | 0.411 | 0.00081 |
College of Charleston | College of Charleston | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.555 | 0.411 | 0.00081 |
Longwood | Virginia Commonwealth | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.473 | 0.389 | 0.00042 |
St. Bonaventure | Virginia Commonwealth | 26 | 22 | 0.542 | 0.408 | 0.373 | 0.00014 |
St. Bonaventure | Virginia Commonwealth | 26 | 22 | 0.542 | 0.408 | 0.373 | 0.00014 |
St. Bonaventure | Virginia Commonwealth | 26 | 22 | 0.542 | 0.408 | 0.373 | 0.00014 |
Maryland | Maryland | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 | 0.00068 |
Maryland | Virginia Commonwealth | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 | 0.00068 |
Dayton | Virginia Commonwealth | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 | -0.00126 |
Dayton | Virginia Commonwealth | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 | -0.00126 |
Dayton | Virginia Commonwealth | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 | -0.00126 |
Virginia | Virginia Commonwealth | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 | 0.00168 |
Rhode Island | Rhode Island | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.507 | 0.394 | 0.00051 |
Rhode Island | Rhode Island | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.507 | 0.394 | 0.00051 |
Rhode Island | Rhode Island | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.507 | 0.394 | 0.00051 |
Norfolk State | Virginia Commonwealth | 29 | 21 | 0.580 | 0.370 | 0.382 | 0.00030 |
William and Mary | William and Mary | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 | 0.00035 |
LaSalle | LaSalle | 15 | 39 | 0.278 | 0.457 | 0.253 | -0.00196 |
LaSalle | LaSalle | 15 | 39 | 0.278 | 0.457 | 0.253 | -0.00196 |
LaSalle | LaSalle | 15 | 39 | 0.278 | 0.457 | 0.253 | -0.00196 |
Virginia | Virginia | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 | 0.00168 |
Richmond | Virginia Commonwealth | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 | 0.00032 |
Richmond | Virginia Commonwealth | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 | 0.00032 |
Richmond | Virginia Commonwealth | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 | 0.00032 |
VMI | Virginia Commonwealth | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 | -0.00104 |
George Washington | George Washington | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 | -0.00054 |
George Washington | George Washington | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 | -0.00054 |
George Washington | George Washington | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 | -0.00054 |
North Carolina | North Carolina | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.588 | 0.456 | 0.00160 |
St. Louis | Virginia Commonwealth | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.452 | 0.331 | -0.00060 |
St. Louis | Virginia Commonwealth | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.452 | 0.331 | -0.00060 |
St. Louis | Virginia Commonwealth | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.452 | 0.331 | -0.00060 |
Presbyterian | Presbyterian | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 | -0.00019 |
Presbyterian | Presbyterian | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 | -0.00019 |
Presbyterian | Presbyterian | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 | -0.00019 |
Davidson | Davidson | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 | 0.00028 |
George Washington | neutral | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 | -0.00054 |
Davidson | neutral | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 | 0.00028 |
George Washington | neutral | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 | -0.00054 |
St. Joseph's | neutral | 31 | 23 | 0.574 | 0.485 | 0.408 | 0.00075 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Coppin State | 116.55 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.368 | 0.227 |
Duke | 136.19 | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 |
East Carolina | 136.80 | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 |
George Mason | 87.62 | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 |
George Washington | 90.52 | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 |
Georgetown | 102.24 | 24 | 29 | 0.453 | 0.495 | 0.350 |
James Madison | 97.83 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.506 | 0.345 |
Liberty | 95.34 | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.522 | 0.393 |
Longwood | 54.66 | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.473 | 0.389 |
Maryland | 101.92 | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 |
Maryland-Baltimore County | 122.96 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.447 | 0.386 |
Maryland-Eastern Shore | 106.55 | 16 | 32 | 0.333 | 0.371 | 0.259 |
Mount St. Mary's | 145.70 | 11 | 37 | 0.229 | 0.434 | 0.223 |
Navy | 110.96 | 42 | 16 | 0.724 | 0.424 | 0.468 |
Norfolk State | 82.95 | 29 | 21 | 0.580 | 0.370 | 0.382 |
North Carolina | 144.55 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.588 | 0.456 |
North Carolina Central | 134.49 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.396 | 0.321 |
North Carolina State | 140.53 | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 |
Old Dominion | 79.34 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.518 | 0.415 |
Richmond | 4.27 | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 |
Towson | 134.08 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.491 | 0.305 |
VMI | 109.13 | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 |
Virginia | 66.02 | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 |
William and Mary | 44.59 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Appalachian State | 251.87 | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 |
Bucknell | 235.55 | 18 | 34 | 0.346 | 0.468 | 0.290 |
Campbell | 165.21 | 26 | 27 | 0.491 | 0.510 | 0.373 |
Coastal Carolina | 278.38 | 55 | 18 | 0.753 | 0.580 | 0.521 |
Columbia | 296.78 | 17 | 24 | 0.415 | 0.493 | 0.331 |
Davidson | 235.70 | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 |
Delaware | 171.64 | 31 | 22 | 0.585 | 0.475 | 0.411 |
Delaware State | 152.31 | 13 | 37 | 0.260 | 0.442 | 0.240 |
East Tennessee State | 284.27 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 |
Elon | 151.65 | 25 | 29 | 0.463 | 0.488 | 0.354 |
Fairleigh Dickinson | 294.45 | 28 | 28 | 0.500 | 0.418 | 0.354 |
Fordham | 297.28 | 29 | 29 | 0.500 | 0.450 | 0.362 |
Gardner-Webb | 283.80 | 37 | 21 | 0.638 | 0.436 | 0.428 |
High Point | 178.33 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 |
LIU Brooklyn | 285.14 | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.455 | 0.290 |
LaSalle | 210.89 | 15 | 39 | 0.278 | 0.457 | 0.253 |
Lafayette | 249.14 | 14 | 29 | 0.326 | 0.460 | 0.278 |
Lehigh | 236.71 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.443 | 0.332 |
Manhattan | 298.22 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.460 | 0.333 |
Marshall | 232.92 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.521 | 0.439 |
Monmouth | 263.44 | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.452 | 0.376 |
New Jersey Tech | 281.49 | 16 | 36 | 0.308 | 0.476 | 0.273 |
North Carolina A&T | 164.32 | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 |
North Carolina-Charlotte | 239.98 | 23 | 32 | 0.418 | 0.534 | 0.343 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | 166.42 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | 232.57 | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 |
Ohio | 278.95 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.439 | 0.331 |
Penn State | 224.86 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.514 | 0.383 |
Pennsylvania | 204.48 | 19 | 22 | 0.463 | 0.434 | 0.340 |
Pittsburgh | 239.69 | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 |
Princeton | 244.17 | 24 | 21 | 0.533 | 0.500 | 0.392 |
Radford | 171.55 | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 |
Rider | 237.45 | 18 | 33 | 0.353 | 0.450 | 0.289 |
Rutgers | 260.66 | 27 | 28 | 0.491 | 0.523 | 0.376 |
Seton Hall | 278.60 | 38 | 20 | 0.655 | 0.440 | 0.438 |
St. John's | 293.41 | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.490 | 0.382 |
St. Joseph's | 205.70 | 31 | 23 | 0.574 | 0.485 | 0.408 |
St. Peter's | 282.96 | 10 | 42 | 0.192 | 0.424 | 0.202 |
Temple | 216.74 | 0.000 | ||||
Villanova | 211.57 | 20 | 32 | 0.385 | 0.484 | 0.314 |
Virginia Tech | 164.30 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 |
Wagner | 279.37 | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.454 | 0.296 |
Wake Forest | 183.54 | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 |
West Virginia | 197.88 | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 |
Winthrop | 268.56 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |