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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia Commonwealth

Last updated: Thu Jun 30 06:47:27 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.488
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.484
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.365


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 29 27 0.518 0.487 0.381 0.00028
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337 -0.00049
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00144
Eastern Kentucky neutral 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336 -0.00051
South Dakota State neutral 19 35 0.352 0.485 0.297 -0.00119
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 41 19 0.683 0.520 0.472 0.00188
Longwood Longwood 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00042
Marist Virginia Commonwealth 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341 -0.00042
Marist Virginia Commonwealth 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341 -0.00042
Marist Virginia Commonwealth 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341 -0.00042
Old Dominion Virginia Commonwealth 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415 0.00088
Wagner Virginia Commonwealth 19 33 0.365 0.454 0.296 -0.00121
Wagner Virginia Commonwealth 19 33 0.365 0.454 0.296 -0.00121
Wagner Virginia Commonwealth 19 33 0.365 0.454 0.296 -0.00121
VMI VMI 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306 -0.00104
Monmouth Virginia Commonwealth 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376 0.00019
College of Charleston College of Charleston 31 26 0.544 0.554 0.411 0.00081
College of Charleston College of Charleston 31 26 0.544 0.554 0.411 0.00081
College of Charleston College of Charleston 31 26 0.544 0.554 0.411 0.00081
Longwood Virginia Commonwealth 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00042
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373 0.00014
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373 0.00014
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373 0.00014
Maryland Maryland 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 0.00068
Maryland Virginia Commonwealth 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 0.00068
Dayton Virginia Commonwealth 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00126
Dayton Virginia Commonwealth 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00126
Dayton Virginia Commonwealth 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00126
Virginia Virginia Commonwealth 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00168
Rhode Island Rhode Island 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394 0.00051
Rhode Island Rhode Island 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394 0.00051
Rhode Island Rhode Island 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394 0.00051
Norfolk State Virginia Commonwealth 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382 0.00030
William and Mary William and Mary 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 0.00035
LaSalle LaSalle 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253 -0.00196
LaSalle LaSalle 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253 -0.00196
LaSalle LaSalle 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253 -0.00196
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00168
Richmond Virginia Commonwealth 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 0.00032
Richmond Virginia Commonwealth 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 0.00032
Richmond Virginia Commonwealth 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 0.00032
VMI Virginia Commonwealth 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306 -0.00104
George Washington George Washington 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00054
George Washington George Washington 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00054
George Washington George Washington 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00054
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00160
St. Louis Virginia Commonwealth 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00060
St. Louis Virginia Commonwealth 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00060
St. Louis Virginia Commonwealth 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00060
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354 -0.00019
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354 -0.00019
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354 -0.00019
Davidson Davidson 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381 0.00028
George Washington neutral 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00054
Davidson neutral 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381 0.00028
George Washington neutral 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00054
St. Joseph's neutral 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408 0.00075

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Coppin State 116.55 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Duke 136.19 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
East Carolina 136.80 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451
George Mason 87.62 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 90.52 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 102.24 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
James Madison 97.83 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Liberty 95.34 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Longwood 54.66 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Maryland 101.92 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 122.96 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Maryland-Eastern Shore 106.55 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259
Mount St. Mary's 145.70 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
Navy 110.96 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
Norfolk State 82.95 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina 144.55 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina Central 134.49 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina State 140.53 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471
Old Dominion 79.34 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Richmond 4.27 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
Towson 134.08 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305
VMI 109.13 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Virginia 66.02 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
William and Mary 44.59 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 251.87 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Bucknell 235.55 18 34 0.346 0.468 0.290
Campbell 165.21 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373
Coastal Carolina 278.38 54 18 0.750 0.578 0.519
Columbia 296.78 17 24 0.415 0.493 0.331
Davidson 235.70 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
Delaware 171.64 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411
Delaware State 152.31 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240
East Tennessee State 284.27 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Elon 151.65 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
Fairleigh Dickinson 294.45 28 28 0.500 0.418 0.354
Fordham 297.28 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362
Gardner-Webb 283.80 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
High Point 178.33 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414
LIU Brooklyn 285.14 19 35 0.352 0.455 0.290
LaSalle 210.89 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253
Lafayette 249.14 14 29 0.326 0.460 0.278
Lehigh 236.71 23 29 0.442 0.443 0.332
Manhattan 298.22 24 31 0.436 0.460 0.333
Marshall 232.92 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Monmouth 263.44 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376
New Jersey Tech 281.49 16 36 0.308 0.476 0.273
North Carolina A&T 164.32 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina-Charlotte 239.98 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 166.42 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
North Carolina-Wilmington 232.57 41 19 0.683 0.520 0.472
Ohio 278.95 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Penn State 224.86 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383
Pennsylvania 204.48 19 22 0.463 0.434 0.340
Pittsburgh 239.69 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Princeton 244.17 24 21 0.533 0.500 0.392
Radford 171.55 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Rider 237.45 18 33 0.353 0.450 0.289
Rutgers 260.66 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376
Seton Hall 278.60 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438
St. John's 293.41 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382
St. Joseph's 205.70 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408
St. Peter's 282.96 10 42 0.192 0.424 0.202
Temple 216.74 0.000
Villanova 211.57 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314
Virginia Tech 164.30 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Wagner 279.37 19 33 0.365 0.454 0.296
Wake Forest 183.54 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
West Virginia 197.88 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Winthrop 268.56 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation