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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia Commonwealth

Last updated: Fri May 6 06:57:32 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.494
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.489
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36925


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 20 23 0.465 0.499 0.357 -0.00027
Georgia State Georgia State 21 22 0.488 0.467 0.361 -0.00018
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 30 14 0.682 0.570 0.484 0.00249
Eastern Kentucky neutral 21 25 0.457 0.467 0.345 -0.00053
South Dakota State neutral 14 26 0.350 0.480 0.295 -0.00161
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 31 10 0.756 0.515 0.507 0.00299
Longwood Longwood 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398 0.00063
Marist Virginia Commonwealth 19 21 0.475 0.430 0.345 -0.00053
Marist Virginia Commonwealth 19 21 0.475 0.430 0.345 -0.00053
Marist Virginia Commonwealth 19 21 0.475 0.430 0.345 -0.00053
Old Dominion Virginia Commonwealth 27 17 0.614 0.538 0.442 0.00158
Wagner Virginia Commonwealth 13 28 0.317 0.462 0.274 -0.00207
Wagner Virginia Commonwealth 13 28 0.317 0.462 0.274 -0.00207
Wagner Virginia Commonwealth 13 28 0.317 0.462 0.274 -0.00207
VMI VMI 18 30 0.375 0.478 0.307 -0.00135
Monmouth Virginia Commonwealth 23 20 0.535 0.463 0.383 0.00030
College of Charleston College of Charleston 23 19 0.548 0.553 0.412 0.00093
College of Charleston College of Charleston 23 19 0.548 0.553 0.412 0.00093
College of Charleston College of Charleston 23 19 0.548 0.553 0.412 0.00093
Longwood Virginia Commonwealth 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398 0.00063
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 21 18 0.538 0.392 0.367 -0.00005
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 21 18 0.538 0.392 0.367 -0.00005
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 21 18 0.538 0.392 0.367 -0.00005
Maryland Maryland 24 19 0.558 0.564 0.420 0.00110
Maryland Virginia Commonwealth 24 19 0.558 0.564 0.420 0.00110
Dayton Virginia Commonwealth 16 29 0.356 0.479 0.298 -0.00155
Dayton Virginia Commonwealth 16 29 0.356 0.479 0.298 -0.00155
Dayton Virginia Commonwealth 16 29 0.356 0.479 0.298 -0.00155
Virginia Virginia Commonwealth 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473 0.00226
Rhode Island Rhode Island 19 22 0.463 0.524 0.363 -0.00014
Rhode Island Rhode Island 19 22 0.463 0.524 0.363 -0.00014
Rhode Island Rhode Island 19 22 0.463 0.524 0.363 -0.00014
Norfolk State Virginia Commonwealth 24 18 0.571 0.357 0.375 0.00013
William and Mary William and Mary 22 22 0.500 0.532 0.383 0.00030
LaSalle LaSalle 13 32 0.289 0.457 0.259 -0.00240
LaSalle LaSalle 13 32 0.289 0.457 0.259 -0.00240
LaSalle LaSalle 13 32 0.289 0.457 0.259 -0.00240
Virginia Virginia 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473 0.00226
Richmond Virginia Commonwealth 23 19 0.548 0.469 0.391 0.00047
Richmond Virginia Commonwealth 23 19 0.548 0.469 0.391 0.00047
Richmond Virginia Commonwealth 23 19 0.548 0.469 0.391 0.00047
VMI Virginia Commonwealth 18 30 0.375 0.478 0.307 -0.00135
George Washington George Washington 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344 -0.00055
George Washington George Washington 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344 -0.00055
George Washington George Washington 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344 -0.00055
North Carolina North Carolina 29 15 0.659 0.595 0.478 0.00236

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Coppin State 116.55 11 33 0.250 0.362 0.215
Duke 136.19 25 20 0.556 0.582 0.423
East Carolina 136.80 27 16 0.628 0.575 0.458
George Mason 87.62 15 29 0.341 0.464 0.287
George Washington 90.52 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344
Georgetown 102.24 22 24 0.478 0.494 0.362
James Madison 97.83 18 26 0.409 0.502 0.330
Liberty 95.34 22 23 0.489 0.524 0.376
Longwood 54.66 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398
Maryland 101.92 24 19 0.558 0.564 0.420
Maryland-Baltimore County 122.96 20 20 0.500 0.449 0.362
Maryland-Eastern Shore 106.55 15 30 0.333 0.378 0.261
Mount St. Mary's 145.70 11 29 0.275 0.369 0.230
Navy 110.96 37 12 0.755 0.410 0.480
Norfolk State 82.95 24 18 0.571 0.357 0.375
North Carolina 144.55 29 15 0.659 0.595 0.478
North Carolina Central 134.49 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334
North Carolina State 140.53 31 12 0.721 0.602 0.511
Old Dominion 79.34 27 17 0.614 0.538 0.442
Richmond 4.27 23 19 0.548 0.469 0.391
Towson 134.08 17 28 0.378 0.485 0.310
VMI 109.13 18 30 0.375 0.478 0.307
Virginia 66.02 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473
William and Mary 44.59 22 22 0.500 0.532 0.383

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 251.87 14 31 0.311 0.498 0.280
Bucknell 235.55 17 32 0.347 0.452 0.286
Campbell 165.21 22 21 0.512 0.499 0.381
Coastal Carolina 278.38 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492
Columbia 296.78 17 24 0.415 0.486 0.329
Davidson 235.70 23 22 0.511 0.479 0.375
Delaware 171.64 26 18 0.591 0.457 0.410
Delaware State 152.31 11 33 0.250 0.452 0.238
East Tennessee State 284.27 19 25 0.432 0.426 0.323
Elon 151.65 23 23 0.500 0.492 0.373
Fairleigh Dickinson 294.45 21 23 0.477 0.422 0.344
Fordham 297.28 23 23 0.500 0.440 0.360
Gardner-Webb 283.80 31 16 0.660 0.427 0.437
High Point 178.33 26 17 0.605 0.548 0.440
LIU Brooklyn 285.14 13 28 0.317 0.426 0.265
LaSalle 210.89 13 32 0.289 0.457 0.259
Lafayette 249.14 14 29 0.326 0.465 0.279
Lehigh 236.71 21 27 0.438 0.438 0.329
Manhattan 298.22 15 27 0.357 0.500 0.303
Marshall 232.92 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Monmouth 263.44 23 20 0.535 0.463 0.383
New Jersey Tech 281.49 16 26 0.381 0.451 0.303
North Carolina A&T 164.32 10 38 0.208 0.471 0.222
North Carolina-Charlotte 239.98 19 26 0.422 0.543 0.347
North Carolina-Greensboro 166.42 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483
North Carolina-Wilmington 232.57 31 10 0.756 0.515 0.507
Ohio 278.95 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346
Penn State 224.86 25 20 0.556 0.512 0.406
Pennsylvania 204.48 19 22 0.463 0.431 0.339
Pittsburgh 239.69 22 18 0.550 0.554 0.414
Princeton 244.17 22 18 0.550 0.515 0.404
Radford 171.55 14 30 0.318 0.552 0.297
Rider 237.45 14 27 0.341 0.473 0.289
Rutgers 260.66 23 22 0.511 0.560 0.396
Seton Hall 278.60 31 14 0.689 0.447 0.456
St. John's 293.41 22 19 0.537 0.456 0.383
St. Joseph's 205.70 22 18 0.550 0.486 0.397
St. Peter's 282.96 8 33 0.195 0.438 0.207
Temple 216.74 0.000
Villanova 211.57 15 28 0.349 0.496 0.298
Virginia Tech 164.30 15 31 0.326 0.539 0.298
Wagner 279.37 13 28 0.317 0.462 0.274
Wake Forest 183.54 27 17 0.614 0.565 0.448
West Virginia 197.88 24 19 0.558 0.498 0.404
Winthrop 268.56 23 20 0.535 0.474 0.386

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation