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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia Commonwealth

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:15 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.472
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.497
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36025


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Georgetown neutral 20 18 0.526 0.470 0.381 0.00051
Wake Forest Wake Forest 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 0.00099
Bucknell neutral 21 21 0.500 0.413 0.353 -0.00018
Bucknell neutral 21 21 0.500 0.413 0.353 -0.00018
Bucknell neutral 21 21 0.500 0.413 0.353 -0.00018
Pittsburgh neutral 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323 -0.00091
Pittsburgh neutral 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323 -0.00091
Pittsburgh neutral 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323 -0.00091
North Carolina North Carolina 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465 0.00255
Jacksonville Jacksonville 18 22 0.450 0.546 0.362 0.00004
Jacksonville Jacksonville 18 22 0.450 0.546 0.362 0.00004
Jacksonville Jacksonville 18 22 0.450 0.546 0.362 0.00004
Pennsylvania Virginia Commonwealth 20 12 0.625 0.377 0.407 0.00114
Pennsylvania Virginia Commonwealth 20 12 0.625 0.377 0.407 0.00114
Monmouth Virginia Commonwealth 12 18 0.400 0.484 0.321 -0.00096
James Madison Virginia Commonwealth 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309 -0.00125
Minnesota Virginia Commonwealth 15 19 0.441 0.512 0.349 -0.00027
Monmouth Virginia Commonwealth 12 18 0.400 0.484 0.321 -0.00096
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00231
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00231
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00231
VMI Virginia Commonwealth 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310 -0.00123
Longwood Virginia Commonwealth 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346 -0.00035
Massachusetts Virginia Commonwealth 11 17 0.393 0.506 0.323 -0.00091
Massachusetts Virginia Commonwealth 11 17 0.393 0.506 0.323 -0.00091
Massachusetts Virginia Commonwealth 11 17 0.393 0.506 0.323 -0.00091
Virginia Virginia Commonwealth 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461 0.00246
Dayton Dayton 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251 -0.00266
Dayton Dayton 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251 -0.00266
Dayton Dayton 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251 -0.00266
Old Dominion Old Dominion 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376 0.00038
George Mason Virginia Commonwealth 16 22 0.421 0.449 0.323 -0.00091
George Mason Virginia Commonwealth 16 22 0.421 0.449 0.323 -0.00091
George Mason Virginia Commonwealth 16 22 0.421 0.449 0.323 -0.00091
Longwood Longwood 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346 -0.00035
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 15 19 0.441 0.474 0.339 -0.00052
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 15 19 0.441 0.474 0.339 -0.00052
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 15 19 0.441 0.474 0.339 -0.00052
Maryland Virginia Commonwealth 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478 0.00287
Maryland Maryland 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478 0.00287
Rhode Island Virginia Commonwealth 16 16 0.500 0.534 0.384 0.00058
Rhode Island Virginia Commonwealth 16 16 0.500 0.534 0.384 0.00058
Rhode Island Virginia Commonwealth 16 16 0.500 0.534 0.384 0.00058

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Coppin State 116.55 3 31 0.088 0.398 0.144
Duke 136.19 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421
East Carolina 136.80 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455
George Mason 87.62 16 22 0.421 0.449 0.323
George Washington 90.52 25 12 0.676 0.425 0.444
Georgetown 102.24 20 18 0.526 0.470 0.381
James Madison 97.83 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Liberty 95.34 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Longwood 54.66 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346
Maryland 101.92 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478
Maryland-Baltimore County 122.96 18 15 0.545 0.424 0.379
Maryland-Eastern Shore 106.55 13 26 0.333 0.440 0.277
Mount St. Mary's 145.70 6 25 0.194 0.424 0.203
Navy 110.96 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410
Norfolk State 82.95 19 10 0.655 0.331 0.410
North Carolina 144.55 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465
North Carolina Central 134.49 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324
North Carolina State 140.53 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405
Old Dominion 79.34 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376
Richmond 4.27 21 15 0.583 0.480 0.411
Towson 134.08 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272
VMI 109.13 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Virginia 66.02 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461
William and Mary 44.59 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 251.87 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Bucknell 235.55 21 21 0.500 0.413 0.353
Campbell 165.21 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Coastal Carolina 278.38 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484
Columbia 296.78 24 12 0.667 0.443 0.444
Davidson 235.70 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
Delaware 171.64 16 14 0.533 0.465 0.383
Delaware State 152.31 9 25 0.265 0.403 0.233
East Tennessee State 284.27 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Elon 151.65 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392
Fairleigh Dickinson 294.45 11 17 0.393 0.389 0.294
Fordham 297.28 16 24 0.400 0.524 0.331
Gardner-Webb 283.80 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
High Point 178.33 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
LIU Brooklyn 285.14 12 25 0.324 0.411 0.265
LaSalle 210.89 18 20 0.474 0.486 0.358
Lafayette 249.14 10 19 0.345 0.519 0.302
Lehigh 236.71 15 24 0.385 0.438 0.302
Manhattan 298.22 11 26 0.297 0.408 0.251
Marshall 232.92 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Monmouth 263.44 12 18 0.400 0.484 0.321
New Jersey Tech 281.49 17 14 0.548 0.419 0.379
North Carolina A&T 164.32 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202
North Carolina-Charlotte 239.98 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
North Carolina-Greensboro 166.42 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347
North Carolina-Wilmington 232.57 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501
Ohio 278.95 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Penn State 224.86 13 24 0.351 0.560 0.316
Pennsylvania 204.48 20 12 0.625 0.377 0.407
Pittsburgh 239.69 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323
Princeton 244.17 7 30 0.189 0.541 0.230
Radford 171.55 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
Rider 237.45 16 17 0.485 0.484 0.363
Rutgers 260.66 14 26 0.350 0.544 0.311
Seton Hall 278.60 19 16 0.543 0.459 0.386
St. John's 293.41 23 13 0.639 0.486 0.441
St. Joseph's 205.70 15 19 0.441 0.474 0.339
St. Peter's 282.96 7 24 0.226 0.458 0.228
Temple 216.74 0.000
Villanova 211.57 15 20 0.429 0.419 0.319
Virginia Tech 164.30 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
Wagner 279.37 17 15 0.531 0.438 0.375
Wake Forest 183.54 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401
West Virginia 197.88 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Winthrop 268.56 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation