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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia Commonwealth

Last updated: Sat May 28 06:48:19 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.490
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.485
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36625


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 29 27 0.518 0.490 0.382 0.00028
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.483 0.338 -0.00050
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 22 0.621 0.583 0.456 0.00160
Eastern Kentucky neutral 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338 -0.00050
South Dakota State neutral 19 34 0.358 0.491 0.302 -0.00115
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 38 15 0.717 0.512 0.486 0.00214
Longwood Longwood 32 26 0.552 0.470 0.394 0.00050
Marist Virginia Commonwealth 24 27 0.471 0.426 0.342 -0.00043
Marist Virginia Commonwealth 24 27 0.471 0.426 0.342 -0.00043
Marist Virginia Commonwealth 24 27 0.471 0.426 0.342 -0.00043
Old Dominion Virginia Commonwealth 32 24 0.571 0.525 0.417 0.00091
Wagner Virginia Commonwealth 19 33 0.365 0.460 0.297 -0.00124
Wagner Virginia Commonwealth 19 33 0.365 0.460 0.297 -0.00124
Wagner Virginia Commonwealth 19 33 0.365 0.460 0.297 -0.00124
VMI VMI 21 35 0.375 0.477 0.307 -0.00106
Monmouth Virginia Commonwealth 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377 0.00019
College of Charleston College of Charleston 31 24 0.564 0.556 0.421 0.00098
College of Charleston College of Charleston 31 24 0.564 0.556 0.421 0.00098
College of Charleston College of Charleston 31 24 0.564 0.556 0.421 0.00098
Longwood Virginia Commonwealth 32 26 0.552 0.470 0.394 0.00050
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 26 22 0.542 0.410 0.373 0.00012
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 26 22 0.542 0.410 0.373 0.00012
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 26 22 0.542 0.410 0.373 0.00012
Maryland Maryland 29 25 0.537 0.567 0.410 0.00078
Maryland Virginia Commonwealth 29 25 0.537 0.567 0.410 0.00078
Dayton Virginia Commonwealth 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294 -0.00129
Dayton Virginia Commonwealth 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294 -0.00129
Dayton Virginia Commonwealth 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294 -0.00129
Virginia Virginia Commonwealth 36 19 0.655 0.581 0.473 0.00191
Rhode Island Rhode Island 28 25 0.528 0.498 0.389 0.00041
Rhode Island Rhode Island 28 25 0.528 0.498 0.389 0.00041
Rhode Island Rhode Island 28 25 0.528 0.498 0.389 0.00041
Norfolk State Virginia Commonwealth 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382 0.00028
William and Mary William and Mary 25 29 0.463 0.524 0.363 -0.00006
LaSalle LaSalle 15 39 0.278 0.459 0.254 -0.00200
LaSalle LaSalle 15 39 0.278 0.459 0.254 -0.00200
LaSalle LaSalle 15 39 0.278 0.459 0.254 -0.00200
Virginia Virginia 36 19 0.655 0.581 0.473 0.00191
Richmond Virginia Commonwealth 28 24 0.538 0.460 0.384 0.00032
Richmond Virginia Commonwealth 28 24 0.538 0.460 0.384 0.00032
Richmond Virginia Commonwealth 28 24 0.538 0.460 0.384 0.00032
VMI Virginia Commonwealth 21 35 0.375 0.477 0.307 -0.00106
George Washington George Washington 24 33 0.421 0.497 0.335 -0.00056
George Washington George Washington 24 33 0.421 0.497 0.335 -0.00056
George Washington George Washington 24 33 0.421 0.497 0.335 -0.00056
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.599 0.459 0.00166
St. Louis Virginia Commonwealth 24 31 0.436 0.455 0.332 -0.00061
St. Louis Virginia Commonwealth 24 31 0.436 0.455 0.332 -0.00061
St. Louis Virginia Commonwealth 24 31 0.436 0.455 0.332 -0.00061
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 30 0.474 0.468 0.354 -0.00022
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 30 0.474 0.468 0.354 -0.00022
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 30 0.474 0.468 0.354 -0.00022
Davidson Davidson 27 24 0.529 0.485 0.386 0.00035
George Washington neutral 24 33 0.421 0.497 0.335 -0.00056
Davidson neutral 27 24 0.529 0.485 0.386 0.00035
George Washington neutral 24 33 0.421 0.497 0.335 -0.00056
St. Joseph's neutral 30 22 0.577 0.485 0.410 0.00078

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Coppin State 116.55 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Duke 136.19 33 22 0.600 0.582 0.446
East Carolina 136.80 34 21 0.618 0.552 0.447
George Mason 87.62 19 35 0.352 0.458 0.290
George Washington 90.52 24 33 0.421 0.497 0.335
Georgetown 102.24 24 29 0.453 0.500 0.352
James Madison 97.83 24 31 0.436 0.510 0.346
Liberty 95.34 30 27 0.526 0.525 0.394
Longwood 54.66 32 26 0.552 0.470 0.394
Maryland 101.92 29 25 0.537 0.567 0.410
Maryland-Baltimore County 122.96 28 23 0.549 0.450 0.387
Maryland-Eastern Shore 106.55 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Mount St. Mary's 145.70 11 37 0.229 0.436 0.224
Navy 110.96 41 14 0.745 0.417 0.477
Norfolk State 82.95 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina 144.55 34 21 0.618 0.599 0.459
North Carolina Central 134.49 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina State 140.53 34 20 0.630 0.616 0.469
Old Dominion 79.34 32 24 0.571 0.525 0.417
Richmond 4.27 28 24 0.538 0.460 0.384
Towson 134.08 20 35 0.364 0.493 0.305
VMI 109.13 21 35 0.375 0.477 0.307
Virginia 66.02 36 19 0.655 0.581 0.473
William and Mary 44.59 25 29 0.463 0.524 0.363

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 251.87 18 36 0.333 0.500 0.291
Bucknell 235.55 18 34 0.346 0.472 0.291
Campbell 165.21 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374
Coastal Carolina 278.38 42 15 0.737 0.559 0.508
Columbia 296.78 17 24 0.415 0.498 0.332
Davidson 235.70 27 24 0.529 0.485 0.386
Delaware 171.64 31 22 0.585 0.478 0.412
Delaware State 152.31 13 37 0.260 0.443 0.241
East Tennessee State 284.27 27 29 0.482 0.428 0.348
Elon 151.65 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354
Fairleigh Dickinson 294.45 26 27 0.491 0.413 0.349
Fordham 297.28 29 29 0.500 0.454 0.363
Gardner-Webb 283.80 37 21 0.638 0.435 0.428
High Point 178.33 32 24 0.571 0.517 0.415
LIU Brooklyn 285.14 19 35 0.352 0.463 0.292
LaSalle 210.89 15 39 0.278 0.459 0.254
Lafayette 249.14 14 29 0.326 0.463 0.279
Lehigh 236.71 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332
Manhattan 298.22 24 30 0.444 0.465 0.338
Marshall 232.92 33 20 0.623 0.523 0.442
Monmouth 263.44 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377
New Jersey Tech 281.49 16 36 0.308 0.478 0.273
North Carolina A&T 164.32 13 41 0.241 0.457 0.235
North Carolina-Charlotte 239.98 23 32 0.418 0.540 0.344
North Carolina-Greensboro 166.42 38 20 0.655 0.500 0.453
North Carolina-Wilmington 232.57 38 15 0.717 0.512 0.486
Ohio 278.95 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Penn State 224.86 28 27 0.509 0.521 0.385
Pennsylvania 204.48 19 22 0.463 0.438 0.341
Pittsburgh 239.69 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383
Princeton 244.17 24 19 0.558 0.498 0.404
Radford 171.55 19 38 0.333 0.543 0.302
Rider 237.45 18 33 0.353 0.453 0.290
Rutgers 260.66 27 28 0.491 0.532 0.379
Seton Hall 278.60 38 19 0.667 0.442 0.444
St. John's 293.41 27 25 0.519 0.487 0.381
St. Joseph's 205.70 30 22 0.577 0.485 0.410
St. Peter's 282.96 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203
Temple 216.74 0.000
Villanova 211.57 20 32 0.385 0.487 0.314
Virginia Tech 164.30 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304
Wagner 279.37 19 33 0.365 0.460 0.297
Wake Forest 183.54 33 24 0.579 0.565 0.431
West Virginia 197.88 35 21 0.625 0.514 0.441
Winthrop 268.56 28 27 0.509 0.481 0.375

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation