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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia Tech

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:15 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.580
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.535
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.42375


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Mercer Mercer 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431 0.00017
Mercer Mercer 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431 0.00017
Mercer Mercer 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431 0.00017
Campbell Campbell 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428 0.00010
Rider neutral 16 17 0.485 0.484 0.363 -0.00145
Campbell Campbell 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428 0.00010
Rider neutral 16 17 0.485 0.484 0.363 -0.00145
Toledo neutral 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00264
Toledo neutral 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00264
Toledo neutral 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00264
Toledo neutral 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00264
College of Charleston Virginia Tech 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515 0.00217
Wake Forest Wake Forest 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 -0.00054
Wake Forest Wake Forest 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 -0.00054
Wake Forest Wake Forest 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 -0.00054
William and Mary William and Mary 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361 -0.00149
Virginia Virginia Tech 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461 0.00089
Virginia Virginia Tech 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461 0.00089
Virginia Virginia Tech 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461 0.00089
Liberty Virginia Tech 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449 0.00060
Radford Virginia Tech 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480 0.00134
Clemson Virginia Tech 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 -0.00054
Clemson Virginia Tech 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 -0.00054
Clemson Virginia Tech 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 -0.00054
Norfolk State Virginia Tech 19 10 0.655 0.331 0.410 -0.00033
East Tennessee State Virginia Tech 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00297
Florida State Florida State 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00196
Florida State Florida State 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00196
Florida State Florida State 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00196
VMI Virginia Tech 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310 -0.00271
Georgia Tech Virginia Tech 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00065
Georgia Tech Virginia Tech 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00065
Georgia Tech Virginia Tech 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00065
Radford Virginia Tech 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480 0.00134
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00193
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00193
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00193
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00297
North Carolina Virginia Tech 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465 0.00098
North Carolina Virginia Tech 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465 0.00098
Radford Radford 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480 0.00134
Duke Duke 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421 -0.00007
Duke Duke 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421 -0.00007
Duke Duke 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421 -0.00007

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 98.89 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Davidson 120.70 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
Duke 117.70 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421
East Tennessee State 124.38 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Elon 91.99 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392
High Point 89.13 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
James Madison 119.74 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Liberty 68.99 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Longwood 111.61 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346
Marshall 101.99 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
North Carolina 118.71 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465
North Carolina A&T 86.47 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202
North Carolina Central 119.04 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324
North Carolina State 138.44 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405
North Carolina-Charlotte 133.14 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
North Carolina-Greensboro 86.41 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347
Radford 8.47 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
VMI 66.93 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Virginia 119.12 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461
Wake Forest 75.81 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 272.68 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358
Campbell 156.31 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Charleston Southern 293.30 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367
Cincinnati 258.38 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Clemson 221.77 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Coastal Carolina 257.29 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484
Coppin State 241.70 3 31 0.088 0.398 0.144
Dayton 268.31 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
Delaware State 297.59 9 25 0.265 0.403 0.233
East Carolina 203.66 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455
Eastern Kentucky 215.53 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Furman 194.65 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Gardner-Webb 153.08 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
George Mason 202.58 16 22 0.421 0.449 0.323
George Washington 212.99 25 12 0.676 0.425 0.444
Georgetown 217.57 20 18 0.526 0.470 0.381
Georgia 280.83 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Kent State 275.13 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414
Kentucky 229.87 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Louisville 299.62 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Maryland 225.28 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478
Maryland-Baltimore County 245.67 18 15 0.545 0.424 0.379
Maryland-Eastern Shore 267.88 13 26 0.333 0.440 0.277
Miami, Ohio 282.13 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Morehead State 177.38 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Mount St. Mary's 237.98 6 25 0.194 0.424 0.203
Navy 246.04 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410
Norfolk State 230.93 19 10 0.655 0.331 0.410
North Carolina-Asheville 162.72 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
North Carolina-Wilmington 251.62 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501
Northern Kentucky 252.72 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Ohio 171.84 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Ohio State 238.56 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506
Old Dominion 228.05 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376
Penn State 284.08 13 24 0.351 0.560 0.316
Pittsburgh 224.31 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323
Presbyterian 206.82 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
Richmond 160.17 21 15 0.583 0.480 0.411
South Carolina 226.02 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439
South Carolina-Upstate 175.65 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
Tennessee 213.32 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Tennessee Tech 290.94 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
Towson 255.49 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272
Virginia Commonwealth 164.30 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410
West Virginia 169.74 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Western Carolina 202.82 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
William and Mary 203.03 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361
Winthrop 160.48 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462
Wofford 177.33 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434
Wright State 264.22 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Xavier 257.38 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261
Youngstown State 276.95 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation