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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia Tech

Last updated: Wed May 25 06:58:11 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.526
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.535
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39675


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
The Citadel The Citadel 16 40 0.286 0.505 0.269 -0.00232
The Citadel The Citadel 16 40 0.286 0.505 0.269 -0.00232
The Citadel The Citadel 16 40 0.286 0.505 0.269 -0.00232
East Tennessee State Virginia Tech 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348 -0.00089
Delaware neutral 31 22 0.585 0.476 0.411 0.00026
Old Dominion Old Dominion 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427 0.00055
Manhattan neutral 22 29 0.431 0.461 0.331 -0.00120
Radford Virginia Tech 17 37 0.315 0.537 0.292 -0.00190
Quinnipiac Virginia Tech 21 31 0.404 0.458 0.317 -0.00145
Quinnipiac Virginia Tech 21 31 0.404 0.458 0.317 -0.00145
Quinnipiac Virginia Tech 21 31 0.404 0.458 0.317 -0.00145
Quinnipiac Virginia Tech 21 31 0.404 0.458 0.317 -0.00145
Campbell Virginia Tech 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374 -0.00041
Campbell Virginia Tech 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374 -0.00041
Miami, Florida Virginia Tech 41 10 0.804 0.599 0.552 0.00282
Miami, Florida Virginia Tech 41 10 0.804 0.599 0.552 0.00282
Miami, Florida Virginia Tech 41 10 0.804 0.599 0.552 0.00282
Liberty Virginia Tech 28 27 0.509 0.524 0.386 -0.00020
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 35 20 0.636 0.579 0.463 0.00120
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 35 20 0.636 0.579 0.463 0.00120
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 35 20 0.636 0.579 0.463 0.00120
Radford Radford 17 37 0.315 0.537 0.292 -0.00190
Notre Dame Virginia Tech 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00020
Notre Dame Virginia Tech 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00020
Notre Dame Virginia Tech 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00020
VMI VMI 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311 -0.00156
Louisville Louisville 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00290
Louisville Louisville 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00290
Louisville Louisville 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00290
William and Mary Virginia Tech 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367 -0.00054
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00115
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00115
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00115
Radford neutral 17 37 0.315 0.537 0.292 -0.00190
Pittsburgh Virginia Tech 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383 -0.00025
Pittsburgh Virginia Tech 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383 -0.00025
Pittsburgh Virginia Tech 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383 -0.00025
Western Carolina Western Carolina 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366 -0.00056
Duke Virginia Tech 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452 0.00100
Duke Virginia Tech 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452 0.00100
Duke Virginia Tech 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452 0.00100
Liberty Liberty 28 27 0.509 0.524 0.386 -0.00020
Boston College Boston College 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445 0.00088
Boston College Boston College 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445 0.00088
Boston College Boston College 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445 0.00088
West Virginia West Virginia 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433 0.00066
Alcorn State Virginia Tech 13 36 0.265 0.419 0.237 -0.00290
Alcorn State Virginia Tech 13 36 0.265 0.419 0.237 -0.00290
Alcorn State Virginia Tech 13 36 0.265 0.419 0.237 -0.00290
Wake Forest Virginia Tech 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431 0.00062
Wake Forest Virginia Tech 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431 0.00062
Wake Forest Virginia Tech 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431 0.00062
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480 0.00151
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480 0.00151
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480 0.00151

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 98.89 18 36 0.333 0.502 0.292
Davidson 120.70 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376
Duke 117.70 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452
East Tennessee State 124.38 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348
Elon 91.99 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363
High Point 89.13 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422
James Madison 119.74 23 29 0.442 0.506 0.348
Liberty 68.99 28 27 0.509 0.524 0.386
Longwood 111.61 30 25 0.545 0.469 0.390
Marshall 101.99 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444
North Carolina 118.71 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460
North Carolina A&T 86.47 13 41 0.241 0.459 0.235
North Carolina Central 119.04 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina State 138.44 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481
North Carolina-Charlotte 133.14 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351
North Carolina-Greensboro 86.41 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456
Radford 8.47 17 37 0.315 0.537 0.292
VMI 66.93 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311
Virginia 119.12 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480
Wake Forest 75.81 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 272.68 0.000
Campbell 156.31 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374
Charleston Southern 293.30 19 33 0.365 0.492 0.305
Cincinnati 258.38 26 28 0.481 0.542 0.376
Clemson 221.77 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485
Coastal Carolina 257.29 40 15 0.727 0.560 0.504
Coppin State 241.70 14 38 0.269 0.372 0.228
Dayton 268.31 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295
Delaware State 297.59 13 37 0.260 0.448 0.242
East Carolina 203.66 34 19 0.642 0.562 0.462
Eastern Kentucky 215.53 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
Furman 194.65 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377
Gardner-Webb 153.08 36 19 0.655 0.435 0.436
George Mason 202.58 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 212.99 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336
Georgetown 217.57 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352
Georgia 280.83 27 29 0.482 0.627 0.398
Kent State 275.13 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496
Kentucky 229.87 32 24 0.571 0.556 0.424
Louisville 299.62 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556
Maryland 225.28 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406
Maryland-Baltimore County 245.67 28 21 0.571 0.456 0.399
Maryland-Eastern Shore 267.88 16 32 0.333 0.375 0.260
Miami, Ohio 282.13 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364
Morehead State 177.38 30 25 0.545 0.503 0.398
Mount St. Mary's 237.98 11 37 0.229 0.440 0.225
Navy 246.04 41 14 0.745 0.418 0.477
Norfolk State 230.93 29 20 0.592 0.368 0.388
North Carolina-Asheville 162.72 16 38 0.296 0.445 0.259
North Carolina-Wilmington 251.62 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485
Northern Kentucky 252.72 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306
Ohio 171.84 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Ohio State 238.56 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467
Old Dominion 228.05 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427
Penn State 284.08 28 27 0.509 0.521 0.385
Pittsburgh 224.31 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383
Presbyterian 206.82 27 28 0.491 0.469 0.363
Richmond 160.17 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384
South Carolina 226.02 42 13 0.764 0.563 0.523
South Carolina-Upstate 175.65 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332
Tennessee 213.32 29 27 0.518 0.553 0.397
Tennessee Tech 290.94 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403
Towson 255.49 20 35 0.364 0.497 0.306
Virginia Commonwealth 164.30 36 17 0.679 0.494 0.463
West Virginia 169.74 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433
Western Carolina 202.82 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366
William and Mary 203.03 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367
Winthrop 160.48 28 25 0.528 0.479 0.384
Wofford 177.33 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387
Wright State 264.22 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483
Xavier 257.38 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378
Youngstown State 276.95 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation