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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia Tech

Last updated: Sat Apr 30 07:01:29 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.538
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.531
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40175


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
The Citadel The Citadel 15 27 0.357 0.505 0.305 -0.00230
The Citadel The Citadel 15 27 0.357 0.505 0.305 -0.00230
The Citadel The Citadel 15 27 0.357 0.505 0.305 -0.00230
East Tennessee State Virginia Tech 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306 -0.00228
Delaware neutral 24 16 0.600 0.451 0.413 0.00027
Old Dominion Old Dominion 25 16 0.610 0.543 0.441 0.00093
Manhattan neutral 13 25 0.342 0.501 0.296 -0.00252
Radford Virginia Tech 12 29 0.293 0.541 0.282 -0.00285
Quinnipiac Virginia Tech 17 23 0.425 0.423 0.318 -0.00199
Quinnipiac Virginia Tech 17 23 0.425 0.423 0.318 -0.00199
Quinnipiac Virginia Tech 17 23 0.425 0.423 0.318 -0.00199
Quinnipiac Virginia Tech 17 23 0.425 0.423 0.318 -0.00199
Campbell Virginia Tech 22 21 0.512 0.503 0.382 -0.00047
Campbell Virginia Tech 22 21 0.512 0.503 0.382 -0.00047
Miami, Florida Virginia Tech 28 8 0.778 0.590 0.536 0.00320
Miami, Florida Virginia Tech 28 8 0.778 0.590 0.536 0.00320
Miami, Florida Virginia Tech 28 8 0.778 0.590 0.536 0.00320
Liberty Virginia Tech 22 22 0.500 0.519 0.380 -0.00052
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 27 14 0.659 0.566 0.471 0.00165
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 27 14 0.659 0.566 0.471 0.00165
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 27 14 0.659 0.566 0.471 0.00165
Radford Radford 12 29 0.293 0.541 0.282 -0.00285
Notre Dame Virginia Tech 24 16 0.600 0.541 0.435 0.00079
Notre Dame Virginia Tech 24 16 0.600 0.541 0.435 0.00079
Notre Dame Virginia Tech 24 16 0.600 0.541 0.435 0.00079
VMI VMI 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322 -0.00190
Louisville Louisville 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535 0.00317
Louisville Louisville 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535 0.00317
Louisville Louisville 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535 0.00317
William and Mary Virginia Tech 20 21 0.488 0.517 0.373 -0.00068
North Carolina North Carolina 28 15 0.651 0.595 0.474 0.00172
North Carolina North Carolina 28 15 0.651 0.595 0.474 0.00172
North Carolina North Carolina 28 15 0.651 0.595 0.474 0.00172
Radford neutral 12 29 0.293 0.541 0.282 -0.00285
Pittsburgh Virginia Tech 21 14 0.600 0.554 0.439 0.00089
Pittsburgh Virginia Tech 21 14 0.600 0.554 0.439 0.00089
Pittsburgh Virginia Tech 21 14 0.600 0.554 0.439 0.00089
Western Carolina Western Carolina 21 19 0.525 0.508 0.390 -0.00028
Duke Virginia Tech 24 18 0.571 0.569 0.428 0.00062
Duke Virginia Tech 24 18 0.571 0.569 0.428 0.00062
Duke Virginia Tech 24 18 0.571 0.569 0.428 0.00062
Liberty Liberty 22 22 0.500 0.519 0.380 -0.00052
Boston College Boston College 21 16 0.568 0.556 0.423 0.00051

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 98.89 11 30 0.268 0.506 0.261
Davidson 120.70 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377
Duke 117.70 24 18 0.571 0.569 0.428
East Tennessee State 124.38 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306
Elon 91.99 20 22 0.476 0.505 0.364
High Point 89.13 26 16 0.619 0.552 0.448
James Madison 119.74 17 24 0.415 0.501 0.333
Liberty 68.99 22 22 0.500 0.519 0.380
Longwood 111.61 24 18 0.571 0.479 0.405
Marshall 101.99 21 17 0.553 0.528 0.409
North Carolina 118.71 28 15 0.651 0.595 0.474
North Carolina A&T 86.47 10 33 0.233 0.478 0.236
North Carolina Central 119.04 20 24 0.455 0.407 0.329
North Carolina State 138.44 29 11 0.725 0.602 0.513
North Carolina-Charlotte 133.14 18 24 0.429 0.538 0.349
North Carolina-Greensboro 86.41 32 11 0.744 0.491 0.495
Radford 8.47 12 29 0.293 0.541 0.282
VMI 66.93 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322
Virginia 119.12 27 17 0.614 0.595 0.456
Wake Forest 75.81 27 17 0.614 0.566 0.449

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 272.68 0.000
Campbell 156.31 22 21 0.512 0.503 0.382
Charleston Southern 293.30 15 26 0.366 0.485 0.304
Cincinnati 258.38 20 21 0.488 0.541 0.379
Clemson 221.77 26 14 0.650 0.589 0.472
Coastal Carolina 257.29 31 11 0.738 0.589 0.516
Coppin State 241.70 9 31 0.225 0.352 0.201
Dayton 268.31 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284
Delaware State 297.59 10 30 0.250 0.437 0.234
East Carolina 203.66 26 15 0.634 0.575 0.461
Eastern Kentucky 215.53 17 25 0.405 0.485 0.324
Furman 194.65 17 24 0.415 0.556 0.347
Gardner-Webb 153.08 30 14 0.682 0.447 0.453
George Mason 202.58 13 28 0.317 0.449 0.271
George Washington 212.99 19 23 0.452 0.468 0.343
Georgetown 217.57 19 23 0.452 0.484 0.347
Georgia 280.83 22 20 0.524 0.644 0.423
Kent State 275.13 30 10 0.750 0.446 0.486
Kentucky 229.87 26 15 0.634 0.571 0.460
Louisville 299.62 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535
Maryland 225.28 22 18 0.550 0.569 0.417
Maryland-Baltimore County 245.67 19 18 0.514 0.435 0.366
Maryland-Eastern Shore 267.88 13 27 0.325 0.374 0.256
Miami, Ohio 282.13 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368
Morehead State 177.38 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404
Mount St. Mary's 237.98 9 27 0.250 0.366 0.216
Navy 246.04 34 11 0.756 0.418 0.482
Norfolk State 230.93 20 17 0.541 0.360 0.361
North Carolina-Asheville 162.72 14 27 0.341 0.424 0.277
North Carolina-Wilmington 251.62 28 10 0.737 0.529 0.501
Northern Kentucky 252.72 15 27 0.357 0.459 0.293
Ohio 171.84 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327
Ohio State 238.56 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439
Old Dominion 228.05 25 16 0.610 0.543 0.441
Penn State 284.08 24 18 0.571 0.509 0.413
Pittsburgh 224.31 21 14 0.600 0.554 0.439
Presbyterian 206.82 21 20 0.512 0.461 0.371
Richmond 160.17 22 16 0.579 0.482 0.410
South Carolina 226.02 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547
South Carolina-Upstate 175.65 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332
Tennessee 213.32 24 18 0.571 0.559 0.425
Tennessee Tech 290.94 21 18 0.538 0.411 0.372
Towson 255.49 15 27 0.357 0.471 0.296
Virginia Commonwealth 164.30 28 14 0.667 0.490 0.456
West Virginia 169.74 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394
Western Carolina 202.82 21 19 0.525 0.508 0.390
William and Mary 203.03 20 21 0.488 0.517 0.373
Winthrop 160.48 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381
Wofford 177.33 25 18 0.581 0.495 0.414
Wright State 264.22 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464
Xavier 257.38 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321
Youngstown State 276.95 9 26 0.257 0.516 0.258

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation