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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia Tech

Last updated: Fri Jul 1 06:47:29 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.518
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.532
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.392


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269 -0.00224
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269 -0.00224
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269 -0.00224
East Tennessee State Virginia Tech 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00087
Delaware neutral 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411 0.00035
Old Dominion Old Dominion 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415 0.00042
Manhattan neutral 24 31 0.436 0.460 0.333 -0.00107
Radford Virginia Tech 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298 -0.00171
Quinnipiac Virginia Tech 21 31 0.404 0.456 0.316 -0.00138
Quinnipiac Virginia Tech 21 31 0.404 0.456 0.316 -0.00138
Quinnipiac Virginia Tech 21 31 0.404 0.456 0.316 -0.00138
Quinnipiac Virginia Tech 21 31 0.404 0.456 0.316 -0.00138
Campbell Virginia Tech 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373 -0.00035
Campbell Virginia Tech 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373 -0.00035
Miami, Florida Virginia Tech 48 14 0.774 0.596 0.536 0.00262
Miami, Florida Virginia Tech 48 14 0.774 0.596 0.536 0.00262
Miami, Florida Virginia Tech 48 14 0.774 0.596 0.536 0.00262
Liberty Virginia Tech 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393 0.00002
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00100
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00100
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00100
Radford Radford 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298 -0.00171
Notre Dame Virginia Tech 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00013
Notre Dame Virginia Tech 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00013
Notre Dame Virginia Tech 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00013
VMI VMI 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306 -0.00156
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00260
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00260
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00260
William and Mary Virginia Tech 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 -0.00013
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00116
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00116
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00116
Radford neutral 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298 -0.00171
Pittsburgh Virginia Tech 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381 -0.00020
Pittsburgh Virginia Tech 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381 -0.00020
Pittsburgh Virginia Tech 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381 -0.00020
Western Carolina Western Carolina 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00016
Duke Virginia Tech 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00076
Duke Virginia Tech 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00076
Duke Virginia Tech 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00076
Liberty Liberty 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393 0.00002
Boston College Boston College 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00095
Boston College Boston College 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00095
Boston College Boston College 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00095
West Virginia West Virginia 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439 0.00085
Alcorn State Virginia Tech 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236 -0.00284
Alcorn State Virginia Tech 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236 -0.00284
Alcorn State Virginia Tech 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236 -0.00284
Wake Forest Virginia Tech 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00058
Wake Forest Virginia Tech 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00058
Wake Forest Virginia Tech 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00058
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00125
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00125
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00125

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 98.89 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Davidson 120.70 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
Duke 117.70 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
East Tennessee State 124.38 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Elon 91.99 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
High Point 89.13 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414
James Madison 119.74 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Liberty 68.99 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Longwood 111.61 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Marshall 101.99 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
North Carolina 118.71 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina A&T 86.47 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina Central 119.04 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina State 138.44 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471
North Carolina-Charlotte 133.14 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 86.41 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
Radford 8.47 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
VMI 66.93 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Virginia 119.12 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
Wake Forest 75.81 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 272.68 0.000
Campbell 156.31 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373
Charleston Southern 293.30 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304
Cincinnati 258.38 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Clemson 221.77 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
Coastal Carolina 257.29 54 18 0.750 0.578 0.519
Coppin State 241.70 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Dayton 268.31 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Delaware State 297.59 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240
East Carolina 203.66 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451
Eastern Kentucky 215.53 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
Furman 194.65 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 153.08 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
George Mason 202.58 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 212.99 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 217.57 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
Georgia 280.83 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Kent State 275.13 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
Kentucky 229.87 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Louisville 299.62 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Maryland 225.28 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 245.67 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Maryland-Eastern Shore 267.88 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259
Miami, Ohio 282.13 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Morehead State 177.38 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Mount St. Mary's 237.98 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
Navy 246.04 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
Norfolk State 230.93 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina-Asheville 162.72 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Wilmington 251.62 41 19 0.683 0.520 0.472
Northern Kentucky 252.72 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Ohio 171.84 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 238.56 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Old Dominion 228.05 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Penn State 284.08 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383
Pittsburgh 224.31 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Presbyterian 206.82 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Richmond 160.17 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
South Carolina 226.02 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501
South Carolina-Upstate 175.65 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
Tennessee 213.32 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Tennessee Tech 290.94 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
Towson 255.49 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305
Virginia Commonwealth 164.30 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
West Virginia 169.74 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Western Carolina 202.82 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
William and Mary 203.03 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385
Winthrop 160.48 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374
Wofford 177.33 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377
Wright State 264.22 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 257.38 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393
Youngstown State 276.95 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation