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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Wagner

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:40 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.511
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.466
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.372


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Elon Elon 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00081
Elon Elon 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00081
Elon Elon 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00081
Texas State Texas State 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00098
Texas State Texas State 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00098
Texas State Texas State 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00098
Army neutral 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443 0.00165
Army neutral 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443 0.00165
Army neutral 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443 0.00165
Rider neutral 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265 -0.00249
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00363
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00363
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00363
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 27 14 0.659 0.502 0.455 0.00193
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 27 14 0.659 0.502 0.455 0.00193
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 27 14 0.659 0.502 0.455 0.00193
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 27 14 0.659 0.502 0.455 0.00193
Villanova Villanova 13 30 0.302 0.522 0.281 -0.00212
Monmouth Monmouth 19 20 0.487 0.426 0.350 -0.00051
St. John's Wagner 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444 0.00167
LIU Brooklyn LIU Brooklyn 23 20 0.535 0.418 0.372 0.00000
LIU Brooklyn LIU Brooklyn 23 20 0.535 0.418 0.372 0.00000
LIU Brooklyn LIU Brooklyn 23 20 0.535 0.418 0.372 0.00000
LIU Brooklyn LIU Brooklyn 23 20 0.535 0.418 0.372 0.00000
Seton Hall Seton Hall 33 11 0.750 0.382 0.471 0.00230
Fairleigh Dickinson Wagner 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288 -0.00195
Fairleigh Dickinson Wagner 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288 -0.00195
Fairleigh Dickinson Wagner 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288 -0.00195
Fairleigh Dickinson Wagner 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288 -0.00195
Rider Rider 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265 -0.00249
St. Peter's Wagner 11 34 0.244 0.508 0.249 -0.00286
New Jersey Tech Wagner 16 21 0.432 0.328 0.298 -0.00172
New Jersey Tech Wagner 16 21 0.432 0.328 0.298 -0.00172
New Jersey Tech New Jersey Tech 16 21 0.432 0.328 0.298 -0.00172
Rutgers Wagner 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392 0.00047
Central Connecticut State Central Connecticut State 20 17 0.541 0.481 0.391 0.00044
Central Connecticut State Central Connecticut State 20 17 0.541 0.481 0.391 0.00044
Central Connecticut State Central Connecticut State 20 17 0.541 0.481 0.391 0.00044
Central Connecticut State Central Connecticut State 20 17 0.541 0.481 0.391 0.00044
Mount St. Mary's Wagner 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321 -0.00119
Mount St. Mary's Wagner 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321 -0.00119
Mount St. Mary's Wagner 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321 -0.00119
Mount St. Mary's Wagner 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321 -0.00119

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 141.11 9 30 0.231 0.478 0.235
Army 52.04 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443
Binghamton 140.36 19 21 0.475 0.493 0.361
Bucknell 148.74 25 17 0.595 0.474 0.416
Central Connecticut State 99.79 20 17 0.541 0.481 0.391
Columbia 17.88 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Connecticut 123.73 23 24 0.489 0.505 0.371
Delaware 111.32 21 21 0.500 0.531 0.383
Delaware State 127.49 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412
Fairfield 55.74 26 19 0.578 0.451 0.402
Fairleigh Dickinson 17.88 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288
Fordham 18.05 21 24 0.467 0.429 0.341
Hartford 106.85 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
Hofstra 25.58 17 20 0.459 0.438 0.339
Iona 24.64 11 27 0.289 0.451 0.257
LIU Brooklyn 6.01 23 20 0.535 0.418 0.372
LaSalle 70.58 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268
Lafayette 61.18 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303
Lehigh 67.33 23 21 0.523 0.410 0.364
Manhattan 19.27 13 29 0.310 0.458 0.270
Marist 74.52 13 30 0.302 0.433 0.259
Massachusetts 144.53 11 28 0.282 0.491 0.264
Monmouth 25.69 19 20 0.487 0.426 0.350
New Jersey Tech 8.46 16 21 0.432 0.328 0.298
New York Tech 27.30 4 41 0.089 0.466 0.161
Pennsylvania 76.26 23 17 0.575 0.464 0.403
Princeton 36.45 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300
Quinnipiac 81.75 15 24 0.385 0.451 0.305
Rhode Island 144.43 11 34 0.244 0.520 0.252
Rider 43.25 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265
Rutgers 20.90 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392
Sacred Heart 58.97 22 22 0.500 0.513 0.378
Seton Hall 11.14 33 11 0.750 0.382 0.471
Siena 144.26 17 28 0.378 0.443 0.300
St. John's 15.86 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444
St. Joseph's 76.20 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478
St. Peter's 5.68 11 34 0.244 0.508 0.249
Stony Brook 53.47 27 15 0.643 0.450 0.434
Temple 67.64 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275
Villanova 73.31 13 30 0.302 0.522 0.281
Yale 74.17 18 22 0.450 0.446 0.337

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Boston College 190.63 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336
Brown 161.65 13 24 0.351 0.477 0.295
Bryant 158.61 33 12 0.733 0.487 0.488
Buffalo 291.52 22 18 0.550 0.480 0.395
Canisius 292.10 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457
Coppin State 173.75 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Cornell 175.75 18 21 0.462 0.442 0.342
Dartmouth 230.27 17 19 0.472 0.491 0.359
George Mason 212.83 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 203.02 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 197.55 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
Harvard 193.40 11 28 0.282 0.472 0.259
Holy Cross 160.98 13 31 0.295 0.527 0.279
James Madison 297.37 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Maryland 190.38 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 169.48 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Maryland-Eastern Shore 188.81 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Massachusetts-Lowell 198.80 18 18 0.500 0.415 0.354
Mount St. Mary's 185.05 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 172.07 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Norfolk State 287.69 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
Northeastern 192.79 21 23 0.477 0.471 0.356
Old Dominion 286.36 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Penn State 198.02 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311
Richmond 281.72 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
St. Bonaventure 249.18 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262
Towson 159.63 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
Virginia 297.38 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Virginia Commonwealth 279.37 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
William and Mary 272.22 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation