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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Wake Forest

Last updated: Mon May 30 06:46:50 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.568
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.544
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.42


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Georgetown Wake Forest 24 29 0.453 0.498 0.351 -0.00117
Maryland-Baltimore County Wake Forest 28 23 0.549 0.449 0.387 -0.00056
VMI Wake Forest 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306 -0.00193
Davidson Wake Forest 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382 -0.00064
Southern California Southern California 27 28 0.491 0.553 0.384 -0.00061
Southern California Southern California 27 28 0.491 0.553 0.384 -0.00061
Southern California Southern California 27 28 0.491 0.553 0.384 -0.00061
Mount St. Mary's Wake Forest 11 37 0.229 0.437 0.224 -0.00332
St. Peter's Wake Forest 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203 -0.00368
Towson Wake Forest 20 35 0.364 0.494 0.305 -0.00195
Harvard Wake Forest 17 24 0.415 0.451 0.320 -0.00169
Richmond Wake Forest 28 24 0.538 0.458 0.384 -0.00061
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 44 15 0.746 0.557 0.512 0.00156
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 44 15 0.746 0.557 0.512 0.00156
Clemson Wake Forest 41 18 0.695 0.583 0.493 0.00124
Clemson Wake Forest 41 18 0.695 0.583 0.493 0.00124
Clemson Wake Forest 41 18 0.695 0.583 0.493 0.00124
High Point Wake Forest 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414 -0.00010
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344 -0.00129
Virginia Virginia 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470 0.00085
Virginia Virginia 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470 0.00085
Virginia Virginia 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470 0.00085
North Carolina-Charlotte Wake Forest 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344 -0.00129
Duke Wake Forest 33 22 0.600 0.580 0.445 0.00042
Duke Wake Forest 33 22 0.600 0.580 0.445 0.00042
Duke Wake Forest 33 22 0.600 0.580 0.445 0.00042
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354 -0.00112
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.542 0.386 -0.00058
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.542 0.386 -0.00058
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.542 0.386 -0.00058
Davidson Davidson 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382 -0.00064
North Carolina State North Carolina State 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472 0.00088
North Carolina State North Carolina State 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472 0.00088
North Carolina State North Carolina State 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472 0.00088
North Carolina-Greensboro Wake Forest 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447 0.00046
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447 0.00046
Florida State Wake Forest 37 19 0.661 0.598 0.480 0.00102
Florida State Wake Forest 37 19 0.661 0.598 0.480 0.00102
Florida State Wake Forest 37 19 0.661 0.598 0.480 0.00102
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.498 0.291 -0.00219
North Carolina Wake Forest 34 21 0.618 0.595 0.458 0.00064
North Carolina Wake Forest 34 21 0.618 0.595 0.458 0.00064
North Carolina Wake Forest 34 21 0.618 0.595 0.458 0.00064
Appalachian State neutral 18 36 0.333 0.498 0.291 -0.00219
Boston College Boston College 31 20 0.608 0.537 0.438 0.00031
Boston College Boston College 31 20 0.608 0.537 0.438 0.00031
Boston College Boston College 31 20 0.608 0.537 0.438 0.00031
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414 -0.00010
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303 -0.00198
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303 -0.00198
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303 -0.00198
Marshall Marshall 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440 0.00034
Louisville Wake Forest 47 12 0.797 0.583 0.544 0.00210
Louisville Wake Forest 47 12 0.797 0.583 0.544 0.00210
Louisville Wake Forest 47 12 0.797 0.583 0.544 0.00210
Duke neutral 33 22 0.600 0.580 0.445 0.00042
Louisville neutral 47 12 0.797 0.583 0.544 0.00210
Virginia neutral 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470 0.00085
Clemson neutral 41 18 0.695 0.583 0.493 0.00124

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 80.57 18 36 0.333 0.498 0.291
Campbell 98.46 26 27 0.491 0.513 0.374
Davidson 54.40 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382
Duke 73.62 33 22 0.600 0.580 0.445
East Tennessee State 118.39 27 30 0.474 0.431 0.345
Elon 41.58 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354
Furman 148.79 29 30 0.492 0.529 0.378
Gardner-Webb 100.37 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
High Point 17.88 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414
Liberty 103.30 31 28 0.525 0.524 0.394
Longwood 130.50 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
North Carolina 69.30 34 21 0.618 0.595 0.458
North Carolina A&T 26.74 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234
North Carolina Central 75.88 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322
North Carolina State 91.08 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472
North Carolina-Asheville 134.54 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 63.00 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344
North Carolina-Greensboro 24.85 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447
Presbyterian 146.78 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Radford 71.40 19 39 0.328 0.540 0.299
South Carolina-Upstate 123.99 22 30 0.423 0.478 0.331
VMI 123.30 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306
Virginia Tech 75.81 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303
Winthrop 92.46 28 27 0.509 0.481 0.375
Wofford 124.31 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 217.66 19 33 0.365 0.489 0.305
Clemson 177.30 41 18 0.695 0.583 0.493
Coastal Carolina 184.16 44 15 0.746 0.557 0.512
College of Charleston 231.23 31 26 0.544 0.559 0.412
Coppin State 284.70 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
East Carolina 165.70 34 21 0.618 0.550 0.447
Eastern Kentucky 249.57 24 31 0.436 0.474 0.337
George Mason 246.56 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 255.20 24 33 0.421 0.493 0.334
Georgetown 262.69 24 29 0.453 0.498 0.351
Georgia 232.78 27 30 0.474 0.622 0.392
Georgia Southern 270.15 36 23 0.610 0.506 0.431
Georgia State 283.74 23 30 0.434 0.481 0.337
Georgia Tech 285.35 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451
James Madison 177.06 24 31 0.436 0.509 0.345
Kennesaw State 284.39 29 27 0.518 0.492 0.382
Kentucky 268.26 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418
Marshall 170.90 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440
Maryland 268.03 30 27 0.526 0.569 0.405
Maryland-Baltimore County 289.81 28 23 0.549 0.449 0.387
Maryland-Eastern Shore 289.59 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Mercer 299.22 38 21 0.644 0.484 0.443
Morehead State 225.51 31 27 0.534 0.505 0.393
Mount St. Mary's 291.91 11 37 0.229 0.437 0.224
Navy 285.08 41 14 0.745 0.416 0.476
Norfolk State 227.05 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina-Wilmington 188.20 39 15 0.722 0.512 0.489
Ohio 242.92 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331
Old Dominion 225.07 32 24 0.571 0.523 0.416
Pittsburgh 298.56 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383
Richmond 180.22 28 24 0.538 0.458 0.384
Savannah State 287.36 12 40 0.231 0.450 0.228
South Carolina 154.73 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510
Tennessee 205.81 29 28 0.509 0.551 0.392
Tennessee Tech 293.51 31 24 0.564 0.441 0.392
The Citadel 231.30 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270
Virginia 163.40 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470
Virginia Commonwealth 183.54 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456
West Virginia 243.72 36 21 0.632 0.512 0.444
Western Carolina 173.99 28 29 0.491 0.523 0.376
William and Mary 210.74 27 29 0.482 0.525 0.372

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation