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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Wake Forest

Last updated: Thu May 5 06:58:18 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.564
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.543
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.41775


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Georgetown Wake Forest 21 24 0.467 0.497 0.358 -0.00136
Maryland-Baltimore County Wake Forest 20 20 0.500 0.449 0.362 -0.00127
VMI Wake Forest 18 30 0.375 0.478 0.307 -0.00252
Davidson Wake Forest 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369 -0.00111
Southern California Southern California 20 22 0.476 0.544 0.374 -0.00099
Southern California Southern California 20 22 0.476 0.544 0.374 -0.00099
Southern California Southern California 20 22 0.476 0.544 0.374 -0.00099
Mount St. Mary's Wake Forest 11 29 0.275 0.367 0.229 -0.00429
St. Peter's Wake Forest 8 33 0.195 0.439 0.207 -0.00479
Towson Wake Forest 17 28 0.378 0.484 0.310 -0.00245
Harvard Wake Forest 17 24 0.415 0.454 0.321 -0.00220
Richmond Wake Forest 23 18 0.561 0.465 0.397 -0.00047
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492 0.00169
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492 0.00169
Clemson Wake Forest 28 15 0.651 0.599 0.475 0.00130
Clemson Wake Forest 28 15 0.651 0.599 0.475 0.00130
Clemson Wake Forest 28 15 0.651 0.599 0.475 0.00130
High Point Wake Forest 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446 0.00064
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 19 26 0.422 0.541 0.346 -0.00163
Virginia Virginia 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473 0.00126
Virginia Virginia 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473 0.00126
Virginia Virginia 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473 0.00126
North Carolina-Charlotte Wake Forest 19 26 0.422 0.541 0.346 -0.00163
Duke Wake Forest 25 20 0.556 0.580 0.423 0.00012
Duke Wake Forest 25 20 0.556 0.580 0.423 0.00012
Duke Wake Forest 25 20 0.556 0.580 0.423 0.00012
Elon Elon 22 23 0.489 0.500 0.369 -0.00111
Notre Dame Notre Dame 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424 0.00014
Notre Dame Notre Dame 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424 0.00014
Notre Dame Notre Dame 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424 0.00014
Davidson Davidson 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369 -0.00111
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511 0.00212
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511 0.00212
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511 0.00212
North Carolina-Greensboro Wake Forest 33 13 0.717 0.498 0.483 0.00148
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 33 13 0.717 0.498 0.483 0.00148
Florida State Wake Forest 29 13 0.690 0.618 0.499 0.00185
Florida State Wake Forest 29 13 0.690 0.618 0.499 0.00185
Florida State Wake Forest 29 13 0.690 0.618 0.499 0.00185
Appalachian State Appalachian State 14 31 0.311 0.496 0.279 -0.00315
North Carolina Wake Forest 29 15 0.659 0.595 0.478 0.00137
North Carolina Wake Forest 29 15 0.659 0.595 0.478 0.00137
North Carolina Wake Forest 29 15 0.659 0.595 0.478 0.00137
Appalachian State neutral 14 31 0.311 0.496 0.279 -0.00315

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 80.57 14 31 0.311 0.496 0.279
Campbell 98.46 22 21 0.512 0.499 0.381
Davidson 54.40 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369
Duke 73.62 25 20 0.556 0.580 0.423
East Tennessee State 118.39 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327
Elon 41.58 22 23 0.489 0.500 0.369
Furman 148.79 20 24 0.455 0.546 0.364
Gardner-Webb 100.37 31 16 0.660 0.430 0.438
High Point 17.88 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446
Liberty 103.30 22 23 0.489 0.523 0.375
Longwood 130.50 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398
North Carolina 69.30 29 15 0.659 0.595 0.478
North Carolina A&T 26.74 10 37 0.213 0.470 0.224
North Carolina Central 75.88 22 25 0.468 0.399 0.334
North Carolina State 91.08 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511
North Carolina-Asheville 134.54 14 27 0.341 0.432 0.279
North Carolina-Charlotte 63.00 19 26 0.422 0.541 0.346
North Carolina-Greensboro 24.85 33 13 0.717 0.498 0.483
Presbyterian 146.78 23 21 0.523 0.463 0.377
Radford 71.40 14 30 0.318 0.552 0.297
South Carolina-Upstate 123.99 18 23 0.439 0.452 0.333
VMI 123.30 18 30 0.375 0.478 0.307
Virginia Tech 75.81 15 31 0.326 0.539 0.298
Winthrop 92.46 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381
Wofford 124.31 26 20 0.565 0.480 0.402

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 217.66 15 26 0.366 0.478 0.302
Clemson 177.30 28 15 0.651 0.599 0.475
Coastal Carolina 184.16 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492
College of Charleston 231.23 23 19 0.548 0.552 0.412
Coppin State 284.70 11 32 0.256 0.352 0.216
East Carolina 165.70 27 16 0.628 0.573 0.457
Eastern Kentucky 249.57 21 25 0.457 0.466 0.345
George Mason 246.56 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
George Washington 255.20 20 25 0.444 0.484 0.343
Georgetown 262.69 21 24 0.467 0.497 0.358
Georgia 232.78 22 23 0.489 0.648 0.406
Georgia Southern 270.15 27 18 0.600 0.470 0.417
Georgia State 283.74 20 22 0.476 0.473 0.356
Georgia Tech 285.35 30 14 0.682 0.570 0.484
James Madison 177.06 18 26 0.409 0.501 0.330
Kennesaw State 284.39 20 23 0.465 0.502 0.358
Kentucky 268.26 27 18 0.600 0.554 0.439
Marshall 170.90 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Maryland 268.03 24 19 0.558 0.564 0.420
Maryland-Baltimore County 289.81 20 20 0.500 0.449 0.362
Maryland-Eastern Shore 289.59 14 30 0.318 0.373 0.252
Mercer 299.22 28 17 0.622 0.499 0.436
Morehead State 225.51 25 20 0.556 0.511 0.406
Mount St. Mary's 291.91 11 29 0.275 0.367 0.229
Navy 285.08 37 12 0.755 0.410 0.480
Norfolk State 227.05 23 18 0.561 0.350 0.368
North Carolina-Wilmington 188.20 31 10 0.756 0.517 0.507
Ohio 242.92 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346
Old Dominion 225.07 27 17 0.614 0.538 0.442
Pittsburgh 298.56 22 17 0.564 0.558 0.421
Richmond 180.22 23 18 0.561 0.465 0.397
Savannah State 287.36 11 34 0.244 0.461 0.237
South Carolina 154.73 34 9 0.791 0.582 0.541
Tennessee 205.81 24 21 0.533 0.553 0.405
Tennessee Tech 293.51 23 19 0.548 0.417 0.378
The Citadel 231.30 15 30 0.333 0.493 0.290
Virginia 163.40 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473
Virginia Commonwealth 183.54 30 16 0.652 0.494 0.450
West Virginia 243.72 24 19 0.558 0.499 0.404
Western Carolina 173.99 22 21 0.512 0.522 0.387
William and Mary 210.74 22 22 0.500 0.532 0.383

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation