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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Western Carolina

Last updated: Tue May 31 06:48:11 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.526
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.502
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3885


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 39 17 0.696 0.512 0.476 0.00148
Richmond neutral 28 24 0.538 0.458 0.384 -0.00008
St. John's neutral 28 26 0.519 0.492 0.383 -0.00009
Louisiana-Monroe Western Carolina 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00116
Louisiana-Monroe Western Carolina 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00116
Louisiana-Monroe Western Carolina 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00116
Niagara Western Carolina 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00209
Niagara Western Carolina 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00209
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00106
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00106
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00106
Presbyterian Western Carolina 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354 -0.00058
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00035
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00035
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00035
Gardner-Webb Western Carolina 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428 0.00067
Kansas State Kansas State 26 31 0.456 0.540 0.363 -0.00043
Kansas State Kansas State 26 31 0.456 0.540 0.363 -0.00043
Kansas State Kansas State 26 31 0.456 0.540 0.363 -0.00043
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.594 0.458 0.00118
East Tennessee State Western Carolina 27 30 0.474 0.430 0.344 -0.00075
East Tennessee State Western Carolina 27 30 0.474 0.430 0.344 -0.00075
East Tennessee State Western Carolina 27 30 0.474 0.430 0.344 -0.00075
Clemson Western Carolina 42 18 0.700 0.584 0.496 0.00182
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377 -0.00019
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377 -0.00019
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377 -0.00019
VMI VMI 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306 -0.00140
VMI VMI 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306 -0.00140
VMI VMI 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306 -0.00140
Clemson Clemson 42 18 0.700 0.584 0.496 0.00182
Samford Western Carolina 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00036
Samford Western Carolina 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00036
Samford Western Carolina 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00036
North Carolina-Asheville Western Carolina 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00221
Virginia Tech Western Carolina 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303 -0.00145
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270 -0.00201
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270 -0.00201
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270 -0.00201
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428 0.00067
Mercer Western Carolina 38 23 0.623 0.485 0.433 0.00075
Mercer Western Carolina 38 23 0.623 0.485 0.433 0.00075
Mercer Western Carolina 38 23 0.623 0.485 0.433 0.00075
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.528 0.378 -0.00018
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.528 0.378 -0.00018
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.528 0.378 -0.00018
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.620 0.392 0.00006
North Carolina-Greensboro Western Carolina 38 21 0.644 0.500 0.447 0.00099
North Carolina-Greensboro Western Carolina 38 21 0.644 0.500 0.447 0.00099
North Carolina-Greensboro Western Carolina 38 21 0.644 0.500 0.447 0.00099
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00035
Kent State Kent State 43 14 0.754 0.446 0.488 0.00169
Kent State Kent State 43 14 0.754 0.446 0.488 0.00169
Wofford neutral 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377 -0.00019
Samford neutral 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00036
Mercer neutral 38 23 0.623 0.485 0.433 0.00075
Samford neutral 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00036
Mercer neutral 38 23 0.623 0.485 0.433 0.00075
Mercer neutral 38 23 0.623 0.485 0.433 0.00075

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 104.48 18 36 0.333 0.498 0.291
Clemson 46.94 42 18 0.700 0.584 0.496
Davidson 132.51 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382
East Tennessee State 83.39 27 30 0.474 0.430 0.344
Furman 49.29 29 30 0.492 0.528 0.378
Gardner-Webb 85.37 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
Georgia 94.67 27 30 0.474 0.620 0.392
Georgia State 127.81 23 30 0.434 0.480 0.337
Georgia Tech 125.92 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451
Kennesaw State 118.34 29 27 0.518 0.489 0.381
North Carolina-Asheville 40.71 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 137.70 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344
Presbyterian 94.51 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
South Carolina-Upstate 71.41 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331
Tennessee 61.42 29 28 0.509 0.550 0.392
Tennessee Tech 144.14 31 24 0.564 0.440 0.392
Winthrop 124.63 28 27 0.509 0.481 0.375
Wofford 74.47 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 287.89 32 26 0.552 0.552 0.414
Alabama A&M 195.53 12 44 0.214 0.403 0.208
Alabama State 270.28 38 15 0.717 0.400 0.459
Alabama-Birmingham 241.20 21 34 0.382 0.554 0.330
Auburn 228.77 23 33 0.411 0.569 0.348
Austin Peay State 248.70 34 23 0.596 0.499 0.423
Belmont 210.26 33 27 0.550 0.453 0.388
Campbell 250.58 26 27 0.491 0.512 0.373
Charleston Southern 239.47 19 33 0.365 0.489 0.305
Cincinnati 274.48 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Coastal Carolina 268.11 44 15 0.746 0.556 0.512
College of Charleston 255.32 31 26 0.544 0.557 0.411
Duke 242.67 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445
Eastern Kentucky 179.34 24 31 0.436 0.473 0.336
Elon 213.49 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354
Georgia Southern 214.03 36 24 0.600 0.508 0.427
High Point 184.82 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414
Jacksonville State 179.46 34 24 0.586 0.519 0.423
Kentucky 202.03 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418
Liberty 263.98 31 28 0.525 0.524 0.394
Lipscomb 210.40 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Longwood 299.85 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Louisville 246.33 47 12 0.797 0.583 0.544
Marshall 227.48 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440
Mercer 172.98 38 23 0.623 0.485 0.433
Middle Tennessee State 182.98 20 35 0.364 0.544 0.318
Morehead State 200.28 31 27 0.534 0.505 0.393
North Carolina 236.16 34 21 0.618 0.594 0.458
North Carolina A&T 198.42 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234
North Carolina Central 245.03 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322
North Carolina State 255.26 35 20 0.636 0.613 0.471
North Carolina-Greensboro 196.24 38 21 0.644 0.500 0.447
Northern Kentucky 267.03 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302
Ohio 284.16 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331
Radford 194.35 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Samford 242.10 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410
Savannah State 256.84 12 40 0.231 0.449 0.228
South Carolina 151.72 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510
The Citadel 253.08 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270
Troy 289.86 32 26 0.552 0.525 0.407
VMI 269.67 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306
Vanderbilt 211.59 43 17 0.717 0.572 0.501
Virginia Tech 202.82 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303
Wake Forest 173.99 34 25 0.576 0.568 0.430
Western Kentucky 216.78 24 30 0.444 0.533 0.355
Xavier 275.33 30 28 0.517 0.532 0.392

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation