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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Western Carolina

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:15 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.485
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.505
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36875


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Purdue Western Carolina 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285 -0.00220
Purdue Western Carolina 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285 -0.00220
Purdue Western Carolina 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285 -0.00220
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501 0.00348
Wake Forest neutral 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 0.00085
George Mason neutral 16 22 0.421 0.449 0.323 -0.00120
Valparaiso Western Carolina 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314 -0.00144
Valparaiso Western Carolina 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314 -0.00144
Holy Cross Western Carolina 20 21 0.488 0.498 0.368 -0.00002
Holy Cross Western Carolina 20 21 0.488 0.498 0.368 -0.00002
Holy Cross Western Carolina 20 21 0.488 0.498 0.368 -0.00002
Holy Cross Western Carolina 20 21 0.488 0.498 0.368 -0.00002
Presbyterian Presbyterian 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398 0.00077
Liberty Liberty 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449 0.00211
Penn State neutral 13 24 0.351 0.560 0.316 -0.00139
Liberty Liberty 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449 0.00211
Kennesaw State Western Carolina 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396 0.00072
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347 -0.00057
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347 -0.00057
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347 -0.00057
Clemson Western Carolina 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 0.00085
The Citadel Western Carolina 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367 -0.00005
The Citadel Western Carolina 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367 -0.00005
The Citadel Western Carolina 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367 -0.00005
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396 0.00072
Wofford Western Carolina 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434 0.00172
Wofford Western Carolina 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434 0.00172
Wofford Western Carolina 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434 0.00172
Mercer Mercer 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431 0.00164
Mercer Mercer 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431 0.00164
Mercer Mercer 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431 0.00164
Clemson Clemson 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 0.00085
Furman Western Carolina 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352 -0.00044
Furman Western Carolina 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352 -0.00044
Furman Western Carolina 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352 -0.00044
Appalachian State Western Carolina 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272 -0.00255
Appalachian State Appalachian State 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272 -0.00255
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00184
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00184
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00184

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 104.48 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Clemson 46.94 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Davidson 132.51 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
East Tennessee State 83.39 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Furman 49.29 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Gardner-Webb 85.37 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
Georgia 94.67 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Georgia State 127.81 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430
Georgia Tech 125.92 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451
Kennesaw State 118.34 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
North Carolina-Asheville 40.71 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
North Carolina-Charlotte 137.70 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
Presbyterian 94.51 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
South Carolina-Upstate 71.41 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
Tennessee 61.42 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Tennessee Tech 144.14 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
Winthrop 124.63 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462
Wofford 74.47 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 287.89 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425
Alabama A&M 195.53 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348
Alabama State 270.28 28 12 0.700 0.431 0.458
Alabama-Birmingham 241.20 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427
Auburn 228.77 28 16 0.636 0.598 0.468
Austin Peay State 248.70 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Belmont 210.26 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Campbell 250.58 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Charleston Southern 239.47 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367
Cincinnati 274.48 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Coastal Carolina 268.11 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484
College of Charleston 255.32 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515
Duke 242.67 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421
Eastern Kentucky 179.34 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Elon 213.49 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392
Georgia Southern 214.03 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427
High Point 184.82 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
Jacksonville State 179.46 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376
Kentucky 202.03 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Liberty 263.98 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Lipscomb 210.40 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Longwood 299.85 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346
Louisville 246.33 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Marshall 227.48 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Mercer 172.98 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431
Middle Tennessee State 182.98 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
Morehead State 200.28 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
North Carolina 236.16 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465
North Carolina A&T 198.42 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202
North Carolina Central 245.03 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324
North Carolina State 255.26 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405
North Carolina-Greensboro 196.24 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347
Northern Kentucky 267.03 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Ohio 284.16 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Radford 194.35 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
Samford 242.10 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417
Savannah State 256.84 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289
South Carolina 151.72 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439
The Citadel 253.08 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367
Troy 289.86 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399
VMI 269.67 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Vanderbilt 211.59 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Virginia Tech 202.82 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
Wake Forest 173.99 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401
Western Kentucky 216.78 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400
Xavier 275.33 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation