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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Western Kentucky

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:40 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.528
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.524
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.395


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Southern Illinois Western Kentucky 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350 -0.00092
Southern Illinois Western Kentucky 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350 -0.00092
Southern Illinois Western Kentucky 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350 -0.00092
Belmont Belmont 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333 -0.00127
North Carolina-Asheville Western Kentucky 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265 -0.00265
North Carolina-Asheville Western Kentucky 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265 -0.00265
North Carolina-Asheville Western Kentucky 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265 -0.00265
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509 0.00233
East Carolina East Carolina 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419 0.00049
Ohio State neutral 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00027
Pittsburgh neutral 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366 -0.00059
Lipscomb Lipscomb 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395 0.00000
Illinois Western Kentucky 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00080
Illinois Western Kentucky 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00080
Illinois Western Kentucky 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00080
Georgia Georgia 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401 0.00012
Georgia Georgia 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401 0.00012
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00059
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00059
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00059
Kentucky Kentucky 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452 0.00116
Texas State Western Kentucky 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00039
Texas State Western Kentucky 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00039
Texas State Western Kentucky 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00039
Louisville neutral 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524 0.00263
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 43 7 0.860 0.511 0.558 0.00333
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 43 7 0.860 0.511 0.558 0.00333
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 43 7 0.860 0.511 0.558 0.00333
Austin Peay State Western Kentucky 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320 -0.00153
Lipscomb Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395 0.00000
Arkansas State Western Kentucky 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426 0.00063
Arkansas State Western Kentucky 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426 0.00063
Arkansas State Western Kentucky 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426 0.00063
Troy Troy 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345 -0.00102
Troy Troy 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345 -0.00102
Troy Troy 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345 -0.00102
Indiana Indiana 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00222
South Alabama Western Kentucky 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00082
South Alabama Western Kentucky 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00082
South Alabama Western Kentucky 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00082
Louisville Louisville 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524 0.00263
Arkansas-Little Rock Western Kentucky 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354 -0.00084
Arkansas-Little Rock Western Kentucky 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354 -0.00084
Arkansas-Little Rock Western Kentucky 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354 -0.00084
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320 -0.00153
Belmont Western Kentucky 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333 -0.00127
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00120
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00120
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00120

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 58.34 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Belmont 60.73 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Eastern Kentucky 129.55 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Evansville 90.32 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
Kentucky 129.51 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Lipscomb 63.69 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Louisville 92.70 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Middle Tennessee State 78.41 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Murray State 105.68 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328
Tennessee Tech 76.58 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
Tennessee-Martin 140.71 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215
Vanderbilt 61.16 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 268.06 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459
Alabama A&M 152.31 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304
Alabama-Birmingham 240.93 30 16 0.652 0.484 0.447
Appalachian State 269.77 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Arkansas State 246.84 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426
Ball State 230.40 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Butler 198.39 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Cincinnati 182.24 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Clemson 257.46 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Dayton 226.03 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
East Tennessee State 231.81 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Eastern Illinois 196.03 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Furman 266.07 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Gardner-Webb 293.19 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
Georgia 272.45 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia State 258.77 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366
Georgia Tech 250.25 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442
IPFW 294.85 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288
Illinois 235.39 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 279.72 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Indiana 151.58 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Indiana State 180.02 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Jacksonville State 221.61 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402
Kennesaw State 229.58 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415
Marshall 280.79 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Memphis 233.13 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388
Miami, Ohio 198.34 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Mississippi 249.89 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497
Mississippi State 276.59 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455
Morehead State 185.99 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
North Carolina-Asheville 236.28 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
Northern Kentucky 178.22 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Ohio 286.44 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Ohio State 279.64 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Purdue 240.07 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Samford 243.95 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429
South Carolina-Upstate 285.83 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
Southeast Missouri State 170.90 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439
Southern Illinois 159.57 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 230.96 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317
St. Louis 235.18 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406
Tennessee 157.77 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Western Carolina 216.78 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
Wofford 289.29 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367
Wright State 233.57 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 184.56 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation