Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Western Kentucky

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:15 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.549
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.528
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4065


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Maryland neutral 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478 0.00179
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484 0.00194
Evansville neutral 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404 -0.00006
Evansville neutral 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404 -0.00006
Evansville neutral 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404 -0.00006
Belmont Belmont 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385 -0.00054
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499 0.00231
Southern Illinois Western Kentucky 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244 -0.00406
Southern Illinois Western Kentucky 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244 -0.00406
Southern Illinois Western Kentucky 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244 -0.00406
Belmont Western Kentucky 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385 -0.00054
Ohio State Western Kentucky 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506 0.00249
Ohio State Western Kentucky 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506 0.00249
Mississippi State Mississippi State 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402 -0.00011
Mississippi State Mississippi State 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402 -0.00011
Old Dominion Western Kentucky 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376 -0.00076
Old Dominion Western Kentucky 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376 -0.00076
Old Dominion Western Kentucky 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376 -0.00076
Lipscomb Western Kentucky 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455 0.00121
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 25 17 0.595 0.544 0.433 0.00066
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 25 17 0.595 0.544 0.433 0.00066
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 25 17 0.595 0.544 0.433 0.00066
Kentucky Western Kentucky 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442 0.00089
Alabama-Birmingham Western Kentucky 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427 0.00051
Alabama-Birmingham Western Kentucky 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427 0.00051
Alabama-Birmingham Western Kentucky 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427 0.00051
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 19 19 0.500 0.533 0.383 -0.00059
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 19 19 0.500 0.533 0.383 -0.00059
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 19 19 0.500 0.533 0.383 -0.00059
Southern Mississippi Western Kentucky 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427 0.00051
Southern Mississippi Western Kentucky 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427 0.00051
Southern Mississippi Western Kentucky 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427 0.00051
Kentucky Kentucky 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442 0.00089
Murray State Western Kentucky 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274 -0.00331
Florida International Florida International 17 22 0.436 0.501 0.343 -0.00159
Florida International Florida International 17 22 0.436 0.501 0.343 -0.00159
Florida International Florida International 17 22 0.436 0.501 0.343 -0.00159
Louisville Louisville 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516 0.00274
Rice Western Kentucky 28 16 0.636 0.552 0.456 0.00124
Rice Western Kentucky 28 16 0.636 0.552 0.456 0.00124
Rice Western Kentucky 28 16 0.636 0.552 0.456 0.00124

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 58.34 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Belmont 60.73 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Eastern Kentucky 129.55 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Evansville 90.32 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404
Kentucky 129.51 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Lipscomb 63.69 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Louisville 92.70 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Middle Tennessee State 78.41 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
Murray State 105.68 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274
Tennessee Tech 76.58 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
Tennessee-Martin 140.71 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245
Vanderbilt 61.16 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 268.06 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425
Alabama A&M 152.31 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348
Alabama-Birmingham 240.93 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427
Appalachian State 269.77 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Arkansas State 246.84 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349
Ball State 230.40 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428
Butler 198.39 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Cincinnati 182.24 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Clemson 257.46 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Dayton 226.03 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
East Tennessee State 231.81 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Eastern Illinois 196.03 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Furman 266.07 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Gardner-Webb 293.19 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
Georgia 272.45 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Georgia State 258.77 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430
Georgia Tech 250.25 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451
IPFW 294.85 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381
Illinois 235.39 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543
Illinois State 279.72 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368
Indiana 151.58 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Indiana State 180.02 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
Jacksonville State 221.61 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376
Kennesaw State 229.58 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Marshall 280.79 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Memphis 233.13 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468
Miami, Ohio 198.34 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Mississippi 249.89 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407
Mississippi State 276.59 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402
Morehead State 185.99 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
North Carolina-Asheville 236.28 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
Northern Kentucky 178.22 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Ohio 286.44 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Ohio State 279.64 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506
Purdue 240.07 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285
Samford 243.95 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417
South Carolina-Upstate 285.83 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
Southeast Missouri State 170.90 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431
Southern Illinois 159.57 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 230.96 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321
St. Louis 235.18 27 13 0.675 0.488 0.460
Tennessee 157.77 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Western Carolina 216.78 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
Wofford 289.29 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434
Wright State 233.57 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Xavier 184.56 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation