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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Winthrop

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:15 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.483
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.515
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37025


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Kent State Winthrop 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414 0.00099
Kent State Winthrop 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414 0.00099
Kent State Winthrop 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414 0.00099
Toledo Winthrop 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00130
Toledo Winthrop 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00130
Toledo Winthrop 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00130
Jacksonville Winthrop 18 22 0.450 0.546 0.362 -0.00019
Jacksonville Winthrop 18 22 0.450 0.546 0.362 -0.00019
Jacksonville Winthrop 18 22 0.450 0.546 0.362 -0.00019
Clemson Clemson 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 0.00070
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293 -0.00176
Maryland-Eastern Shore Winthrop 13 26 0.333 0.440 0.277 -0.00212
Maryland-Eastern Shore Winthrop 13 26 0.333 0.440 0.277 -0.00212
Maryland-Eastern Shore Winthrop 13 26 0.333 0.440 0.277 -0.00212
North Carolina A&T Winthrop 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202 -0.00382
Kennesaw State Winthrop 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396 0.00059
Kennesaw State Winthrop 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396 0.00059
Kennesaw State Winthrop 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396 0.00059
South Carolina South Carolina 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439 0.00156
The Citadel The Citadel 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367 -0.00007
Gardner-Webb Winthrop 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344 -0.00060
Gardner-Webb Winthrop 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344 -0.00060
Gardner-Webb Winthrop 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344 -0.00060
The Citadel Winthrop 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367 -0.00007
South Carolina-Upstate Winthrop 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293 -0.00176
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484 0.00259
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484 0.00259
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484 0.00259
Davidson Winthrop 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389 0.00043
High Point Winthrop 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 0.00054
High Point Winthrop 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 0.00054
High Point Winthrop 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 0.00054
Furman Furman 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352 -0.00041
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202 -0.00382
Radford Radford 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480 0.00249
Radford Radford 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480 0.00249
Radford Radford 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480 0.00249
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328 -0.00096
North Carolina-Asheville Winthrop 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342 -0.00064
North Carolina-Asheville Winthrop 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342 -0.00064
North Carolina-Asheville Winthrop 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342 -0.00064
Davidson Davidson 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389 0.00043
East Tennessee State Winthrop 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00162
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367 -0.00007
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367 -0.00007
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367 -0.00007

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 95.31 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Campbell 132.86 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Charleston Southern 146.16 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367
Clemson 105.44 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Coastal Carolina 148.66 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484
Davidson 39.84 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
Duke 137.49 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421
East Tennessee State 120.80 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Elon 116.91 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392
Furman 80.66 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Gardner-Webb 42.13 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
High Point 91.50 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
North Carolina 129.50 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465
North Carolina A&T 104.93 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202
North Carolina Central 139.69 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324
North Carolina State 144.04 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405
North Carolina-Asheville 99.05 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
North Carolina-Charlotte 29.61 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
North Carolina-Greensboro 102.95 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347
Presbyterian 58.52 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
South Carolina 66.34 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439
South Carolina-Upstate 54.01 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
Wake Forest 92.46 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401
Western Carolina 124.63 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
Wofford 51.68 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
College of Charleston 161.79 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515
East Carolina 210.75 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455
Eastern Kentucky 265.51 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Georgia 151.42 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Georgia Southern 179.30 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427
Georgia State 205.35 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430
Georgia Tech 208.76 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451
Jacksonville State 282.08 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376
James Madison 269.43 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Kennesaw State 212.44 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Kentucky 287.53 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Liberty 195.43 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Longwood 218.46 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346
Marshall 237.51 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Mercer 210.32 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431
Morehead State 261.09 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Norfolk State 296.77 19 10 0.655 0.331 0.410
North Carolina-Wilmington 185.79 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501
Old Dominion 295.55 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376
Radford 153.76 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
Richmond 265.72 21 15 0.583 0.480 0.411
Savannah State 201.77 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289
Tennessee 177.88 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Tennessee Tech 266.54 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
The Citadel 160.79 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367
VMI 215.38 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Virginia 255.38 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 268.56 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410
Virginia Tech 160.48 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
William and Mary 288.82 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation