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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Wright State

Last updated: Mon May 2 06:55:25 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.461
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.518
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Elon Elon 21 23 0.477 0.503 0.364 0.00009
Elon Elon 21 23 0.477 0.503 0.364 0.00009
Elon Elon 21 23 0.477 0.503 0.364 0.00009
Elon Elon 21 23 0.477 0.503 0.364 0.00009
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 11 0.738 0.601 0.519 0.00370
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 11 0.738 0.601 0.519 0.00370
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 11 0.738 0.601 0.519 0.00370
High Point High Point 26 16 0.619 0.548 0.447 0.00202
High Point High Point 26 16 0.619 0.548 0.447 0.00202
Georgia Georgia 22 22 0.500 0.644 0.411 0.00119
Georgia Georgia 22 22 0.500 0.644 0.411 0.00119
Georgia Georgia 22 22 0.500 0.644 0.411 0.00119
Xavier Wright State 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327 -0.00077
Dayton Dayton 16 29 0.356 0.479 0.298 -0.00144
Eastern Michigan Wright State 17 22 0.436 0.502 0.344 -0.00037
Eastern Michigan Wright State 17 22 0.436 0.502 0.344 -0.00037
Louisville Louisville 35 9 0.795 0.581 0.543 0.00426
Youngstown State Wright State 10 27 0.270 0.517 0.264 -0.00223
Youngstown State Wright State 10 27 0.270 0.517 0.264 -0.00223
Youngstown State Wright State 10 27 0.270 0.517 0.264 -0.00223
Valparaiso Valparaiso 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389 0.00067
Valparaiso Valparaiso 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389 0.00067
Valparaiso Valparaiso 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389 0.00067
Xavier Xavier 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327 -0.00077
Northern Kentucky Wright State 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00170
Northern Kentucky Wright State 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00170
Northern Kentucky Wright State 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00170
Cincinnati Cincinnati 21 22 0.488 0.546 0.381 0.00049
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 18 19 0.486 0.469 0.360 0.00000
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 18 19 0.486 0.469 0.360 0.00000
Cincinnati neutral 21 22 0.488 0.546 0.381 0.00049
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 21 21 0.500 0.483 0.371 0.00026
Toledo Wright State 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228 -0.00307
Toledo Wright State 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228 -0.00307
Toledo Toledo 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228 -0.00307
Bowling Green State Wright State 15 27 0.357 0.436 0.287 -0.00170
Youngstown State Youngstown State 10 27 0.270 0.517 0.264 -0.00223
Youngstown State Youngstown State 10 27 0.270 0.517 0.264 -0.00223
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00170
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00170
Oakland Wright State 17 17 0.500 0.466 0.366 0.00014
Oakland Wright State 17 17 0.500 0.466 0.366 0.00014
Oakland Wright State 17 17 0.500 0.466 0.366 0.00014

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 78.64 27 18 0.600 0.435 0.409
Bowling Green State 112.40 15 27 0.357 0.436 0.287
Butler 112.61 10 29 0.256 0.463 0.244
Cincinnati 51.68 21 22 0.488 0.546 0.381
Dayton 8.99 16 29 0.356 0.479 0.298
Eastern Kentucky 142.24 20 25 0.444 0.465 0.338
IPFW 107.58 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317
Indiana 138.30 25 16 0.610 0.459 0.420
Kentucky 123.83 26 17 0.605 0.560 0.443
Louisville 142.80 35 9 0.795 0.581 0.543
Miami, Ohio 41.04 21 21 0.500 0.483 0.371
Morehead State 114.94 25 19 0.568 0.510 0.411
Northern Kentucky 56.87 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
Ohio 108.04 17 23 0.425 0.440 0.323
Ohio State 56.31 27 14 0.659 0.458 0.444
Toledo 130.41 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228
Xavier 49.49 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 160.34 0.000
Appalachian State 278.16 13 31 0.295 0.501 0.273
Austin Peay State 287.47 26 16 0.619 0.531 0.442
Belmont 292.41 24 19 0.558 0.420 0.384
Bradley 299.29 17 16 0.515 0.478 0.377
Central Michigan 264.67 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243
Chicago State 229.15 10 32 0.238 0.436 0.228
East Tennessee State 256.95 18 24 0.429 0.424 0.321
Eastern Illinois 220.97 5 36 0.122 0.519 0.191
Eastern Michigan 172.08 17 22 0.436 0.502 0.344
Evansville 225.33 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420
Illinois 222.58 21 18 0.538 0.522 0.400
Illinois State 266.33 13 28 0.317 0.489 0.281
Illinois-Chicago 236.86 16 23 0.410 0.468 0.322
Indiana State 180.51 26 16 0.619 0.508 0.436
James Madison 292.14 18 25 0.419 0.500 0.335
Kent State 170.08 31 11 0.738 0.451 0.482
Lipscomb 295.30 23 21 0.523 0.443 0.372
Marshall 163.49 24 17 0.585 0.523 0.423
Michigan 172.27 29 11 0.725 0.516 0.491
Michigan State 204.89 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482
Middle Tennessee State 299.82 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329
North Carolina-Asheville 299.05 14 27 0.341 0.430 0.278
Northern Illinois 288.44 17 25 0.405 0.462 0.318
Northwestern 247.13 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245
Notre Dame 174.56 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440
Oakland 204.24 17 17 0.500 0.466 0.366
Pittsburgh 220.37 21 16 0.568 0.561 0.424
Purdue 159.45 7 33 0.175 0.532 0.221
Radford 263.56 14 30 0.318 0.552 0.297
Tennessee 265.10 24 20 0.545 0.555 0.411
Tennessee Tech 261.73 22 19 0.537 0.418 0.373
VMI 283.70 18 29 0.383 0.480 0.311
Valparaiso 194.70 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389
Vanderbilt 293.10 33 10 0.767 0.535 0.517
Virginia Tech 264.22 15 29 0.341 0.538 0.305
West Virginia 216.05 23 19 0.548 0.501 0.399
Western Kentucky 233.57 24 20 0.545 0.528 0.405
Western Michigan 190.78 13 25 0.342 0.472 0.289
Youngstown State 199.28 10 27 0.270 0.517 0.264

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation