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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Xavier

Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:13 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.538
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.503
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39475


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Arizona State Arizona State 36 23 0.610 0.547 0.442 0.00076
Arizona State Arizona State 36 23 0.610 0.547 0.442 0.00076
Arizona State Arizona State 36 23 0.610 0.547 0.442 0.00076
Arizona State Arizona State 36 23 0.610 0.547 0.442 0.00076
Mercer Mercer 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432 0.00060
Mercer Mercer 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432 0.00060
Mercer Mercer 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432 0.00060
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331 -0.00103
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331 -0.00103
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331 -0.00103
Wright State Wright State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00144
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00150
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00150
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00150
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00226
Miami, Ohio Xavier 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00061
Central Michigan Xavier 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00132
Central Michigan Xavier 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00132
Central Michigan Xavier 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00132
Ohio State Ohio State 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00123
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00045
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00045
Cincinnati Xavier 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00045
Wright State Xavier 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00144
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00034
Illinois State Illinois State 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285 -0.00177
Illinois State Illinois State 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285 -0.00177
Illinois State Illinois State 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285 -0.00177
Ball State Ball State 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 -0.00014
Morehead State Xavier 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393 -0.00003
Morehead State Xavier 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393 -0.00003
Morehead State Xavier 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393 -0.00003
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00061
Cincinnati neutral 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00045
Georgetown Georgetown 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00072
Georgetown Georgetown 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00072
Georgetown Georgetown 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00072
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00151
Indiana Xavier 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00023
St. John's Xavier 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382 -0.00021
St. John's Xavier 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382 -0.00021
St. John's Xavier 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382 -0.00021
Butler Butler 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00251
Butler Butler 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00251
Butler Butler 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00251
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438 0.00070
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438 0.00070
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438 0.00070
Creighton Xavier 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00120
Creighton Xavier 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00120
Creighton Xavier 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00120
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00061
Villanova Xavier 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314 -0.00130
Villanova Xavier 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314 -0.00130
Villanova Xavier 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314 -0.00130
St. John's neutral 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382 -0.00021
Creighton neutral 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00120
Creighton neutral 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00120
Vanderbilt neutral 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00150
UC Santa Barbara neutral 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00137
Washington neutral 33 23 0.589 0.538 0.429 0.00055
UC Santa Barbara neutral 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00137

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 89.23 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Butler 102.14 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Cincinnati 2.44 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Dayton 42.93 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Eastern Kentucky 98.19 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
IPFW 139.97 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Indiana 109.36 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Kentucky 77.58 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Louisville 95.23 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 28.55 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Morehead State 87.10 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Northern Kentucky 8.47 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Ohio 127.28 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 97.44 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Wright State 49.49 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 205.44 0.000
Appalachian State 253.73 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Austin Peay State 239.28 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Belmont 243.05 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Bowling Green State 160.45 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Bradley 291.36 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393
Chicago State 241.89 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
East Tennessee State 227.66 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Eastern Illinois 199.29 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Eastern Michigan 219.02 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
Evansville 183.97 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
Illinois 210.13 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Illinois State 257.80 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 250.88 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341
Indiana State 158.74 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
Kent State 215.00 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
Lipscomb 245.93 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Marshall 163.34 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Michigan 218.80 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Michigan State 247.47 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Middle Tennessee State 250.36 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
Murray State 272.63 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
North Carolina-Asheville 265.57 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
Northern Illinois 296.71 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 262.81 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262
Notre Dame 198.56 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Oakland 252.23 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339
Pittsburgh 255.57 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Purdue 158.21 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Radford 255.15 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Southern Illinois 275.49 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 298.62 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215
Tennessee 223.19 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Tennessee Tech 213.08 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
Toledo 178.25 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
VMI 288.11 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Valparaiso 208.82 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
Vanderbilt 243.76 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Virginia Tech 257.38 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
West Virginia 242.26 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Western Carolina 275.33 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
Western Kentucky 184.56 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355
Western Michigan 224.44 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315
Youngstown State 242.88 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation