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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Xavier

Last updated: Fri Apr 29 07:02:21 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.523
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.493
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38475


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Arizona State Arizona State 23 15 0.605 0.511 0.430 0.00108
Arizona State Arizona State 23 15 0.605 0.511 0.430 0.00108
Arizona State Arizona State 23 15 0.605 0.511 0.430 0.00108
Arizona State Arizona State 23 15 0.605 0.511 0.430 0.00108
Mercer Mercer 26 16 0.619 0.494 0.433 0.00115
Mercer Mercer 26 16 0.619 0.494 0.433 0.00115
Mercer Mercer 26 16 0.619 0.494 0.433 0.00115
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332 -0.00126
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332 -0.00126
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332 -0.00126
Wright State Wright State 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464 0.00189
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512 0.00303
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512 0.00303
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512 0.00303
Louisville Louisville 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535 0.00358
Miami, Ohio Xavier 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368 -0.00040
Central Michigan Xavier 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252 -0.00316
Central Michigan Xavier 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252 -0.00316
Central Michigan Xavier 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252 -0.00316
Ohio State Ohio State 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439 0.00129
Cincinnati Cincinnati 20 21 0.488 0.542 0.380 -0.00011
Cincinnati Cincinnati 20 21 0.488 0.542 0.380 -0.00011
Cincinnati Xavier 20 21 0.488 0.542 0.380 -0.00011
Wright State Xavier 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464 0.00189
Kentucky Kentucky 26 15 0.634 0.572 0.460 0.00179
Illinois State Illinois State 12 27 0.308 0.481 0.274 -0.00264
Illinois State Illinois State 12 27 0.308 0.481 0.274 -0.00264
Illinois State Illinois State 12 27 0.308 0.481 0.274 -0.00264
Ball State Ball State 25 17 0.595 0.440 0.407 0.00053
Morehead State Xavier 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404 0.00046
Morehead State Xavier 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404 0.00046
Morehead State Xavier 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404 0.00046
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368 -0.00040
Cincinnati neutral 20 21 0.488 0.542 0.380 -0.00011
Georgetown Georgetown 19 23 0.452 0.484 0.347 -0.00090
Georgetown Georgetown 19 23 0.452 0.484 0.347 -0.00090
Georgetown Georgetown 19 23 0.452 0.484 0.347 -0.00090
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 15 27 0.357 0.459 0.293 -0.00218
Indiana Xavier 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414 0.00070
St. John's Xavier 21 16 0.568 0.431 0.392 0.00017
St. John's Xavier 21 16 0.568 0.431 0.392 0.00017
St. John's Xavier 21 16 0.568 0.431 0.392 0.00017

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 89.23 25 17 0.595 0.440 0.407
Butler 102.14 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246
Cincinnati 2.44 20 21 0.488 0.542 0.380
Dayton 42.93 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284
Eastern Kentucky 98.19 17 25 0.405 0.484 0.324
IPFW 139.97 16 21 0.432 0.415 0.320
Indiana 109.36 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414
Kentucky 77.58 26 15 0.634 0.572 0.460
Louisville 95.23 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 28.55 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368
Morehead State 87.10 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404
Northern Kentucky 8.47 15 27 0.357 0.459 0.293
Ohio 127.28 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327
Ohio State 97.44 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439
Wright State 49.49 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 205.44 0.000
Appalachian State 253.73 11 30 0.268 0.506 0.261
Austin Peay State 239.28 25 14 0.641 0.530 0.453
Belmont 243.05 24 17 0.585 0.401 0.393
Bowling Green State 160.45 15 25 0.375 0.427 0.294
Bradley 291.36 15 15 0.500 0.465 0.366
Chicago State 241.89 9 31 0.225 0.432 0.221
East Tennessee State 227.66 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306
Eastern Illinois 199.29 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199
Eastern Michigan 219.02 15 22 0.405 0.509 0.330
Evansville 183.97 22 15 0.595 0.507 0.424
Illinois 210.13 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400
Illinois State 257.80 12 27 0.308 0.481 0.274
Illinois-Chicago 250.88 16 22 0.421 0.460 0.326
Indiana State 158.74 24 16 0.600 0.495 0.424
Kent State 215.00 30 10 0.750 0.446 0.486
Lipscomb 245.93 20 21 0.488 0.446 0.355
Marshall 163.34 21 17 0.553 0.528 0.409
Michigan 218.80 28 10 0.737 0.511 0.496
Michigan State 247.47 28 10 0.737 0.465 0.485
Middle Tennessee State 250.36 17 25 0.405 0.562 0.343
Murray State 272.63 19 20 0.487 0.456 0.357
North Carolina-Asheville 265.57 14 27 0.341 0.424 0.277
Northern Illinois 296.71 15 25 0.375 0.469 0.305
Northwestern 262.81 10 29 0.256 0.488 0.250
Notre Dame 198.56 24 16 0.600 0.541 0.435
Oakland 252.23 16 15 0.516 0.443 0.369
Pittsburgh 255.57 21 14 0.600 0.554 0.439
Purdue 158.21 7 31 0.184 0.520 0.222
Radford 255.15 12 29 0.293 0.541 0.282
Southern Illinois 275.49 23 17 0.575 0.506 0.414
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 298.62 8 28 0.222 0.543 0.247
Tennessee 223.19 24 18 0.571 0.560 0.425
Tennessee Tech 213.08 21 18 0.538 0.412 0.372
Toledo 178.25 9 32 0.220 0.506 0.236
VMI 288.11 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322
Valparaiso 208.82 18 18 0.500 0.530 0.383
Vanderbilt 243.76 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512
Virginia Tech 257.38 14 28 0.333 0.539 0.301
West Virginia 242.26 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394
Western Carolina 275.33 21 19 0.525 0.508 0.390
Western Kentucky 184.56 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415
Western Michigan 224.44 11 25 0.306 0.485 0.274
Youngstown State 242.88 9 26 0.257 0.516 0.258

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation